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AI betting stats / ChatGPT

ChatGPT betting tips

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Event Date
ROI -4.2%
Win Rate 46.4%
Avg. Odds - 2.91

ChatGPT ROI

ROI based on real bookmaker odds, match outcome market only 1X2 (Win/Draw/Win)

ChatGPT match-outcome win rate (1X2)

Match & Predictions
6 of 6 AI models pick San Diego Padres to win at 1.04
25/09/14 - 20:12 (UTC)
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
Baseball
Major League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

San Diego Padres
Back San Diego at home. Petco suppresses Colorado’s road offense, and the Padres’ deeper pitching and late-inning edge make the -320 price a small but real positive-EV play.
Won

5 of 6 AI models pick Seattle Mariners to win at 1.13
25/09/14 - 20:12 (UTC)
Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels
Baseball
Major League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

Seattle Mariners
Back the Mariners on the moneyline; their run prevention, bullpen depth, and home-park fit push their true win rate above the -215 break-even.
Won

4 of 6 AI models pick Indianapolis Colts to win at 2.49
25/09/14 - 20:06 (UTC)
Indianapolis Colts
Denver Broncos
Football (USA)
NFL

tip from ChatGPT

Indianapolis Colts
Back the home dog. The Colts at 2.05 present positive value given home field, an early body-clock kick for Denver, and a scheme edge that can stress the Broncos’ defense.
Won

Models disagree; no reliable consensus
25/09/14 - 20:05 (UTC)
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
Baseball
Major League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

Los Angeles Dodgers
Dodgers’ deeper lineup and superior run prevention make the short-road price at -128 a buy; I project LA around 58%, yielding a small but real edge.
Won

Models disagree; no reliable consensus
25/09/14 - 20:05 (UTC)
Oakland Athletics
Cincinnati Reds
Baseball
Major League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

Oakland Athletics
Slight value on the home side in a pitcher-friendly park; at +100, Oakland’s home-field and run-suppressing environment nudge this coin flip in their favor.
Won

5 of 6 AI models pick Reno Aces to win at 2.73
25/09/14 - 20:05 (UTC)
Reno Aces
Las Vegas Aviators
Baseball
Minor League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

Reno Aces
Take the home dog. In a volatile PCL environment, Reno at 3.30 offers clear value versus a steep road price on Las Vegas at 1.36.
Won

5 of 6 AI models pick Arizona Cardinals to win at 1.13
25/09/14 - 20:04 (UTC)
Arizona Cardinals
Carolina Panthers
Football (USA)
NFL

tip from ChatGPT

Carolina Panthers
Arizona is the more likely winner, but the price is inflated; at 3.63, Carolina’s moneyline offers superior value in a variance-prone early-season spot.
Lost

6 of 6 AI models pick Washington Nationals to win at 2.03
25/09/14 - 19:35 (UTC)
Washington Nationals
Pittsburgh Pirates
Baseball
Major League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

Washington Nationals
Pick the Nationals moneyline at 1.95; home field and day-game, contact-driven edges nudge their true win probability above the 51.2% break-even.
Won

4 of 6 AI models pick Vasco da Gama to win at 1.96
25/09/14 - 19:30 (UTC)
Vasco da Gama
Ceará
Football
Brasileirão Série A

tip from ChatGPT

Ceará
Ceará at 4.37 is the only side showing positive expected value with the draw overpriced and Vasco inflated by home bias. The matchup favors a counterpunching upset more than the market implies.
Lost

5 of 6 AI models pick Manchester City to win at 1.72
25/09/14 - 19:30 (UTC)
Manchester City
Manchester United
Football
English Premier League

tip from ChatGPT

Manchester City
Backing Manchester City at home at -124 offers a positive value edge over the implied 55.4% break-even; City’s control and chance creation profile justify an estimated 60–63% win probability.
Won

4 of 6 AI models pick Borussia Monchengladbach to win at 2.12
25/09/14 - 19:30 (UTC)
Borussia Monchengladbach
Werder Bremen
Football
Bundesliga 2, Germany

tip from ChatGPT

Draw
Backing the Draw at 4.13 offers the best value, with a realistic draw probability near 27–29% versus a 24% break-even implied by the market.
Lost

4 of 6 AI models pick Metz to win at 2.31
25/09/14 - 19:15 (UTC)
Metz
Angers
Football
Ligue 2, France

tip from ChatGPT

Draw
Tactical symmetry and a likely low-event game make the Draw at 3.32 the best value versus its implied probability.
Lost

5 of 6 AI models pick Brest to win at 2.75
25/09/14 - 19:15 (UTC)
Brest
Paris FC
Football
Ligue 2, France

tip from ChatGPT

Brest
Backing Brest at home at 2.32: our model projects ~48% win probability versus the market’s ~43%, creating a clear positive-EV angle.
Lost

5 of 6 AI models pick Strasbourg to win at 1.83
25/09/14 - 19:15 (UTC)
Strasbourg
Le Havre
Football
Ligue 2, France

tip from ChatGPT

Draw
Value leans to the Draw given both teams’ conservative profiles and a price that underrates stalemate likelihood. Expect a low-event match with 0-0 or 1-1 most plausible.
Lost

5 of 6 AI models pick Paris Saint Germain to win at 1.35
25/09/14 - 19:15 (UTC)
Paris Saint Germain
RC Lens
Football
Ligue 2, France

tip from ChatGPT

Draw
Best value is the Draw at 5.97, with a realistic 19–22% stalemate chance versus a 16.8% implied. PSG should control, but Lens’ structure makes a 1-1 highly plausible.
Lost

5 of 6 AI models pick New York Yankees to win at 13.00
25/09/14 - 19:11 (UTC)
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
Baseball
Major League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

New York Yankees
Take the Yankees at plus money. The +136 price implies ~42% while a realistic win chance is closer to the mid-to-upper 40s, creating positive expected value.
Lost

4 of 6 AI models pick Nashville Sounds to win at 1.46
25/09/14 - 19:05 (UTC)
Nashville Sounds
Gwinnett Stripers
Baseball
Minor League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

Gwinnett Stripers
Taking Gwinnett at the underdog price of 183 offers positive expected value in a high-variance Triple-A spot. The -215 on Nashville overstates the true gap given late-season volatility and modest home-field edges.
Lost

6 of 6 AI models pick Guyana Amazon Warriors to win at 1.55
25/09/14 - 19:00 (UTC)
Guyana Amazon Warriors
Barbados Royals
Cricket
Caribbean Premier League

tip from ChatGPT

Guyana Amazon Warriors
Back the Warriors at home: their spin-led control at Providence and steadier batting profile justify the price at -175. I make Guyana around 66–68%, offering a modest but real edge.
Won

6 of 6 AI models pick Monterrey to win at 1.57
25/09/14 - 19:00 (UTC)
Querétaro
Monterrey
Football
Liga MX, Mexico

tip from ChatGPT

Draw
Backing the Draw at 4.15: Monterrey are deserved favorites, but away volatility and Liga MX’s strong draw tendency make the draw slightly mispriced and the best EV play.
Lost

6 of 6 AI models pick Sturm Graz to win at 2.31
25/09/14 - 19:00 (UTC)
Sturm Graz
Austria Wien
Football
Austrian Bundesliga

tip from ChatGPT

Sturm Graz
Back Sturm Graz at 1.96; their disciplined defense and home control push their true win probability above the market’s ~51%, creating a positive-value angle.
Lost