Betting tips from AI for Calgary Flames vs Edmonton Oilers, 28 December 2025.

Edmonton looks like the smart play here. They crushed Calgary 5-1 in the last meeting behind a Leon Draisaitl hat trick and Connor McDavid’s five assists, arrive 8-2-1 in their last 11 while averaging 4.4 goals and a 34% power play against Calgary’s anemic 13.6% unit. Models and oddsmakers give the Oilers the edge (57–59%) and foresee a high-scoring rematch — the market price is 1.79 for Edmonton versus 2.12 for Calgary (draw 4.20).

Calgary’s captain Backlund is hot and FOX Sports backs the Flames to keep it close, but the underlying numbers favor Edmonton’s firepower and special teams. I’ll side with the Oilers — the safest single-outcome play given form, matchup and the model consensus.

The Battle of Alberta is set to ignite, but all signs point to the Edmonton Oilers continuing their dominance. Fresh off a resounding 5-1 victory over the Flames, fueled by Leon Draisaitl's hat trick and Connor McDavid's five assists, the Oilers are red-hot with an 1.79 moneyline. Their impressive 8-2-1 record in the last 11 games speaks volumes, averaging 4.4 goals per game with a lethal 34% power play. Algorithms and oddsmakers give Edmonton a significant 57-59% edge.

While Flames captain Mikael Backlund is finding his stride with six points in three games, Calgary's anemic 13.6% power play is a glaring weakness against Edmonton's top-ranked unit. Even with FOX Sports suggesting the Flames might cover +1.5, the sheer offensive firepower and recent form of the Oilers make them the profitable play in what's predicted to be a high-scoring affair. The Flames, sitting at 15-18-4, simply don't have the current momentum to match.

The Battle of Alberta rematch tilts heavily toward Edmonton despite the near-even odds. The Oilers' recent 5-1 demolition of Calgary showcased their offensive firepower, with Draisaitl and McDavid combining for eight points. Edmonton's 8-2-1 run with 4.4 goals per game demonstrates consistent dominance.

The special teams mismatch is particularly glaring. Edmonton boasts a lethal 34% power play, while Calgary's league-worst 13.6% unit will struggle to keep pace. Though Backlund has heated up with six points in his last three, individual performances can't overcome systemic advantages.

While FOX Sports suggests Calgary might keep it close at +1.5, the fundamental metrics favor Edmonton. Their 1.79 odds actually represent value considering their offensive ceiling and momentum. The Flames at 2.12 home underdogs reflects bookmakers' recognition of the talent gap. Expect McDavid and company to continue their mastery in this rivalry.

The Battle of Alberta reignites with the Calgary Flames hosting the Edmonton Oilers in a rematch that's got NHL fans buzzing. Edmonton just steamrolled Calgary 5-1 on Tuesday, powered by Leon Draisaitl's hat trick and Connor McDavid's five assists, pushing their record to 19-13-6. They're scorching hot at 8-2-1 in their last 11, averaging 4.4 goals per game and boasting a lethal 34% power play that's the league's best.

Calgary, now 15-18-4 after snapping a mini skid, showed some fight but their anemic 13.6% power play ranks dead last, leaving them vulnerable to Edmonton's top-ranked unit. Captain Mikael Backlund's heating up with six points in three games, and betting experts at FOX Sports like the Flames to cover +1.5 and keep it under 6.5 goals, citing their gritty shorthanded edge.

Still, algorithm models give Edmonton a 57-59% edge to steal the points again on Flames ice, predicting a high-scoring tilt over 6.5. With odds at Calgary 2.12, Edmonton 1.79, and Draw 4.20, the value's in backing the Oilers' momentum for a profitable $1 wager.

The Edmonton Oilers are riding a scorching hot streak, going 8-2-1 in their last 11 games while averaging a blistering 4.4 goals per contest. Their lethal power play, operating at a stunning 34%, is a nightmare matchup for a Calgary Flames team whose own power play ranks dead last at a paltry 13.6%.

While the Flames showed some fight recently and some experts predict a close game, the Oilers' dominance in the recent 5-1 victory, fueled by McDavid and Draisaitl, is too significant to ignore. With models giving Edmonton a clear edge and the odds at 1.79 reflecting their current form, the smart money is on the visitors.

The Battle of Alberta is always a heated affair, but recent form and key player performances suggest Edmonton holds the edge. The Oilers' 5-1 demolition of the Flames earlier this week wasn't just a win—it was a statement. Leon Draisaitl's hat trick and Connor McDavid's five-assist masterclass showcased why they're one of the NHL's most dangerous duos. With Edmonton averaging 4.4 goals per game over their last 11 contests and converting on an absurd 34% of power plays, their offensive firepower is undeniable.

Calgary has shown glimpses of life, particularly through Mikael Backlund’s resurgence (six points in three games). However, their league-worst 13.6% power play success rate looms large against an Oilers team that thrives on special teams. While FOX Sports analysts believe Calgary can cover +1.5 at 2.12, the Flames' overall struggles make that scenario less likely here.

Edmonton enters this matchup as slight favorites with odds of 1.79, reflecting their current momentum and statistical advantages. Algorithm models giving them a 57-59% chance to win feel accurate given the context. A high-scoring affair seems probable, especially with both teams' tendencies to play loose defensively.

While Calgary will have home ice advantage, Edmonton's red-hot streak and superior special teams should prove decisive. Betting on the Oilers might not offer massive returns, but it provides a safer path to profitability in this clash.