Bologna vs AS Roma - AI Predictions Comparison (12 March 2026)

This feels like a tight Europa League first leg where both sides will tread carefully but still find the net. Bookmakers price Bologna at 3.24, AS Roma at 2.50 and the Draw at 3.09. Sports Mole and Football Whispers both lean toward a 1-1 outcome, and that view sits well with recent patterns.

Bologna bring home resilience and momentum after a historic knockout win and a strong run (six wins in ten), while Roma — under Gian Piero Gasperini — have struggled away and conceded heavily of late. Both teams have been scoring consistently (Bologna seven straight, Roma 12 of 13), which increases the likelihood of both teams finding the net without either side running away with victory.

Tactically this should be cagey: a first-leg caution favors a draw with goals. A single $1 bet on the Draw at 3.09 offers fair upside given the form lines, head-to-head balance and expert forecasts pointing to a 1-1 stalemate.

This UEFA Europa League clash between Bologna and AS Roma promises to be a tight affair, with the Rossoblu carrying significant momentum into Stadio Renato Dall'Ara. Bologna's home resilience is well-documented, a factor experts cite in their prediction of a 1-1 draw. They've been in superb form, boasting six wins in their last ten games, and enter this tie after a historic knockout win. Furthermore, Bologna has found the net in seven consecutive matches, showcasing their attacking prowess.

In stark contrast, AS Roma arrives with their form hitting the skids, securing just two wins in their last eight outings, including a shock 2-1 defeat to Genoa. Their road woes are a major concern, and while they've scored in 12 of their last 13, their defense has alarmingly leaked five goals in their previous two games. Despite Roma being priced as favorites at 2.50, Bologna's excellent run and historical dominance against the Giallorossi, before Roma’s recent 1-0 triumph, cannot be ignored.

With both sides prone to scoring but Roma's defensive vulnerabilities highlighted, and Bologna's strong home stand, the value lies firmly with a stalemate. Betting analysts also tip Bologna to frustrate Roma. A draw at 3.09 offers an attractive return given the context of this last-16 first leg.

Bologna host AS Roma in a crucial Europa League last-16 first leg at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, and the home side enters this encounter with compelling momentum. The Rossoblu have captured six wins in their last ten matches across all competitions and just secured their first knockout victory in 26 years by eliminating Brann—a psychological boost that cannot be understated. Crucially, Bologna hold a dominant head-to-head record against Roma, winning three of the last five meetings before Roma's recent 1-0 triumph.

Roma's form has deteriorated significantly, managing just two wins in eight games with a shocking 2-1 loss to Genoa dropping them to fifth in Serie A. Their road woes are particularly concerning heading into hostile territory. However, both teams arrive as prolific attacking forces: Bologna have scored in seven consecutive matches while Roma have netted in 12 of their last 13. This attacking prowess combined with Roma's defensive vulnerabilities—five goals conceded in their last two outings—creates an intriguing dynamic.

Expert consensus from leading analysts leans toward a draw, with Sports Mole and Football Whispers predicting a tight 1-1 scoreline given Bologna's home resilience and Roma's European pedigree under Gian Piero Gasperini. The draw odds at 3.09 represent exceptional value considering the tactical setup and recent form. While Bologna's home advantage and current trajectory suggest they could win at 3.24, the draw captures the essence of this encounter—two teams with attacking intent but defensive fragility, likely to cancel each other out in a competitive European battle.

In this UEFA Europa League last-16 first-leg clash at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna host a faltering AS Roma side, and the stage is set for a gritty, low-scoring affair. Bologna's home resilience shines through, with the Rossoblu boasting six wins in their last ten games across Serie A and Europe, including a historic aggregate knockout victory over Brann—their first in 26 years. This momentum, coupled with a dominant head-to-head record (three wins in the last five against Roma before Roma's recent 1-0 edge), positions them to frustrate the visitors. Roma, under new coach Gian Piero Gasperini, carry European pedigree but are stumbling badly: just two wins in eight games, a shocking 2-1 loss to Genoa, and defensive woes with five goals conceded in their last two outings. Their road form is particularly concerning ahead of this Emilia-Romagna showdown.

Experts at Sports Mole and Football Whispers foresee a tight 1-1 draw, emphasizing Bologna's knack for holding firm at home while Roma's edge is blunted by travel fatigue. Both teams are scoring machines—Bologna in seven straight, Roma in 12 of 13—but expect a cautious approach in this high-stakes opener. Betting analysts highlight value in Bologna frustrating Roma on the Asian Handicap, but the draw offers the sweetest spot at odds of 3.09. Roma are favorites at 2.50, yet their skid suggests overpricing, while Bologna's 3.24 feels generous for an upset bid. With goals likely but defenses tested, a stalemate maximizes profitability on our $1 stake, potentially netting $2.09. This isn't just a bet; it's backing Bologna's resurgence against Roma's unraveling form in a match that could define their European paths.

This UEFA Europa League last-16 first leg at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara sets up a thrilling tactical battle. Experts from Sports Mole and Football Whispers predict a tight 1-1 draw, citing Bologna's home resilience and Roma's European edge under coach Gian Piero Gasperini.

Bologna carries immense momentum with six wins in ten games, including a historic knockout aggregate win over Brann—their first in 26 years. They've scored in seven straight matches and dominate the head-to-head with three wins in the last five encounters, though Roma recently edged them 1-0.

Roma's form has dipped with just two wins in eight games and a shock 2-1 loss to Genoa, exposing defensive woes as they leaked five goals in their last two outings. However, they've netted in 12 of 13 matches, ensuring both teams likely find the net.

With odds at 3.09 for a draw, 3.24 for a Bologna win, and 2.50 for a Roma victory, the draw presents strong value. Bologna's home fortitude and Roma's scoring consistency point to a gripping stalemate, making it the smart bet for profit.

In this highly anticipated UEFA Europa League match, Bologna and AS Roma are set to clash in a battle that promises to be both intense and unpredictable. Bologna, playing at home, has shown remarkable resilience and form, with a strong recent run of six wins in ten games across all competitions. Their defensive solidity and ability to score consistently—having netted in seven straight matches—make them a formidable opponent. Adding to their confidence is their recent 1-0 aggregate win over Brann, marking their first knockout victory in 26 years.
On the other hand, AS Roma, under the guidance of coach Gian Piero Gasperini, brings a European edge and a history of high-scoring matches. However, their recent form has been a cause for concern, with just two wins in their last eight games and a leaky defense that has conceded five goals in their last two outings. The away side's struggles on the road and their recent 2-1 loss to Genoa add to the uncertainty. \
Experts from Sports Mole and Football Whispers predict a tight 1-1 draw, citing Bologna's home advantage and Roma's attacking prowess. Given the odds, Bologna is priced at 3.24, while AS Roma is at 2.50. The draw, with odds of 3.09, also seems like a plausible outcome. Considering the context and the current form, Bologna's strong home record and defensive stability make them a compelling bet. \
With Bologna's momentum and the support of their home crowd, they have a good chance of frustrating Roma and securing a positive result. The odds of 3.24 for Bologna offer a valuable opportunity to capitalize on their potential to win or at least secure a draw.