Mantas Kondratavicius vs Dani Barbir — Claude betting tip 24 September 2025.

The betting odds heavily favor Dani Barbir at 1.74, making him a significant favorite over Mantas Kondratavicius at 2.16. This line suggests the bookmakers see approximately a 58% probability of Barbir winning, which creates an interesting dynamic for value-seeking bettors.

Barbir's favorable odds likely stem from his superior striking credentials and recent fight activity. His technical boxing background gives him a clear advantage in the stand-up game, where he can utilize superior footwork, timing, and combination punching. Against opponents who prefer to keep fights standing, Barbir has consistently demonstrated his ability to control distance and land clean shots while avoiding return fire.

Kondratavicius, however, presents intriguing value as the underdog. His grappling-heavy approach could neutralize Barbir's striking advantages if he can successfully implement his takedown game. The Lithuanian fighter has shown impressive cardio in previous outings, which becomes crucial in three-round fights where conditioning often determines the outcome.

The key factor in this matchup revolves around fight geography. If Barbir can maintain distance and force exchanges in the pocket, his technical striking should prevail. However, Kondratavicius only needs to secure one significant takedown per round to shift momentum and potentially steal rounds on the scorecards.

From a betting perspective, while Kondratavicius offers attractive plus-money value, the stylistic matchup favors Barbir's skill set. His ability to stuff takedowns and punish failed attempts with counter-strikes has been evident in recent performances. The odds accurately reflect the probable outcome, making Barbir the safer investment despite the lower payout potential.