Pat Sabatini vs Richie Lewis — Claude betting tip 21 September 2025.

The odds heavily favor Pat Sabatini at 1.20, making him a substantial favorite against Richie Lewis who sits at 4.75. This significant disparity suggests bookmakers view Sabatini as having an approximately 83% chance of victory, which aligns with his superior technical skillset and recent performance trajectory.

Sabatini brings a well-rounded game built on exceptional grappling fundamentals and improving striking. His wrestling background provides a solid foundation for controlling fights, while his submission game has shown consistent development. The Pennsylvania native has demonstrated the ability to adapt his game plan mid-fight and capitalize on opponents' mistakes, particularly when he can establish dominant positions on the ground.

Lewis, while possessing knockout power and heart, faces a stylistic nightmare in this matchup. His striking-heavy approach could leave him vulnerable to Sabatini's takedowns, especially if the fight extends into later rounds where cardio becomes a factor. Lewis tends to rely on explosive moments rather than sustained pressure, which may not be sufficient against a methodical grappler like Sabatini.

The key factor here is Sabatini's ability to dictate where the fight takes place. If he can successfully implement his wrestling early and often, Lewis will struggle to find the space and timing needed for his striking game. Sabatini's cardio advantage should become more pronounced as the fight progresses, allowing him to maintain his wrestling pace while Lewis potentially fades.

While the 1.20 odds offer minimal profit potential, Sabatini's technical advantages and stylistic matchup favor make him the safer investment. His path to victory is clearer and more reliable than Lewis's need for a knockout or submission. The odds accurately reflect the skill gap and stylistic mismatch in this contest.