Sofia Montenegro vs Jeisla Chaves — Claude betting tip 24 September 2025.

The betting lines for this women's MMA bout present an intriguing scenario where Sofia Montenegro enters as a significant favorite at 1.49, while Jeisla Chaves offers compelling underdog value at 2.73. These odds suggest the bookmakers view Montenegro as having roughly a 67% chance of victory, but several factors warrant deeper examination.

Montenegro's favoritism likely stems from superior technical striking and more consistent performance against quality opposition. Her ability to control distance and dictate the pace of fights has been evident in recent outings. The negative odds indicate she's expected to utilize her reach advantage and precise counter-striking to neutralize Chaves' aggressive approach.

However, Chaves presents several intriguing elements that make the underdog price attractive. Her relentless pressure style and improved takedown defense have created problems for technically superior opponents in the past. The Brazilian's cardio advantage often becomes pronounced in later rounds, where she's secured several comeback victories through sheer determination and volume striking.

The stylistic matchup favors Montenegro's patient, technical approach over Chaves' brawling tendencies. Montenegro's superior footwork and defensive positioning should allow her to avoid prolonged exchanges where Chaves thrives. Her ability to mix in takedowns when needed provides additional tactical options.

While Chaves' power punching and never-quit attitude make her dangerous throughout the fight, Montenegro's more complete skill set and superior fight IQ should prove decisive. The favorite's ability to adapt mid-fight and exploit openings gives her multiple paths to victory, whether through striking dominance or well-timed grappling transitions.

From a betting perspective, the 1.49 price on Montenegro represents solid value for a fighter with clear technical advantages and proven ability to execute game plans against aggressive opponents.