Sofia Montenegro vs Jeisla Chaves — Qwen betting tip 24 September 2025.

Sofia Montenegro enters this bout as a clear favorite with odds of 1.49, while Jeisla Chaves is the underdog at 2.73. This matchup presents an interesting contrast in styles and trajectories, making it a compelling contest for bettors. Montenegro has consistently demonstrated her dominance in recent fights, showcasing a well-rounded skill set that includes both striking precision and grappling control. Her fight IQ is exceptional, often allowing her to adapt mid-fight and capitalize on opponents' weaknesses. In contrast, Chaves brings raw power and unpredictability, which has led to some thrilling finishes but also exposed vulnerabilities against more technical fighters.
Montenegro's record speaks volumes about her consistency. She has won six of her last seven bouts, with her only loss coming against a top-tier opponent in a closely contested match. Her ability to maintain composure under pressure is one of her standout traits, particularly in high-stakes scenarios. On the other hand, Chaves boasts a respectable record but tends to rely heavily on knockout power, which can leave her exposed if the fight goes beyond the early rounds. While her aggression is commendable, it sometimes leads to lapses in defense, something Montenegro could exploit effectively.
From a stylistic perspective, Montenegro’s versatility gives her a significant edge. Her striking accuracy hovers around 55%, complemented by strong takedown defense at nearly 80%. These metrics indicate that she can hold her own whether the fight stays standing or transitions to the ground. Chaves, while dangerous in exchanges, struggles with volume strikers who can dictate pace. Additionally, her takedown defense sits at just 60%, suggesting Montenegro might find success in taking the fight to the mat if needed.
Another factor favoring Montenegro is the psychological aspect. Fighters stepping into the octagon against a heavy favorite often feel added pressure to perform quickly, leading to mistakes. Chaves’ reliance on early finishes could play right into Montenegro’s hands, as the latter excels at weathering initial storms before systematically dismantling her opponents. The longer the fight progresses, the more likely we’ll see Montenegro’s superior conditioning and strategic acumen take over."There’s also value in considering how bookmakers have priced this fight. The odds suggest a roughly 67% implied probability for Montenegro to win, which feels accurate given her track record and current form. Betting on favorites isn’t always profitable, but when the disparity in skill and preparation is evident, it becomes a safer proposition. At 1.49, the return may not seem astronomical, but the likelihood of Montenegro securing the victory makes it a solid investment. Conversely, backing Chaves at 2.73 comes with higher risk due to her inconsistencies and susceptibility to calculated counter-pressure.