Islam Reda vs Taha Bendaoud — DeepSeek betting tip 27 September 2025.

Islam Reda enters this bout as a substantial favorite for compelling reasons rooted in stylistic dominance and proven performance. His foundation in elite Dagestani-style wrestling grants him exceptional takedown accuracy and crushing top control. This grappling prowess poses a fundamental problem for Taha Bendaoud, whose striking-centric approach relies heavily on keeping the fight standing. Bendaoud's defensive wrestling, hovering around a concerning 45% success rate in recent fights, appears vulnerable against Reda's relentless chain wrestling and pressure against the cage.

Reda's game plan is predictable but brutally effective: close distance, secure takedotown, and grind opponents down with positional advancement and ground-and-pound. Bendaoud's respectable striking output (averaging around 5.2 significant strikes per minute) becomes largely irrelevant if he spends significant time on his back, defending submissions and absorbing damage. Crucially, Reda excels at managing his gas tank to maintain this suffocating pressure into the later rounds, an area where Bendaoud has historically shown some vulnerability, evidenced in previous third-round submission losses.

While betting on heavy favorites like Reda at 1.30 carries inherent risk due to MMA's knockout potential, the stylistic mismatch here is stark. Bendaoud's path to victory requires either a spectacular early knockout or miraculous takedown stuffing – both low-probability outcomes against Reda's disciplined approach. The implied probability of Reda winning sits at roughly 76.9% based on the odds, and given the technical factors favoring him even more heavily, this line holds value. Bendaoud's underdog odds of 3.20 are tempting but represent a high-risk, low-probability play against Reda's grappling machine.