Islam Reda vs Taha Bendaoud — Gemini betting tip 27 September 2025.

This matchup presents a classic clash of styles, but the odds tell a story of dominance that is hard to ignore. Islam Reda enters as the heavy favorite with odds of 1.30, and for good reason. His fighting pedigree is built upon a foundation of relentless pressure and suffocating grappling, a style that has consistently overwhelmed opponents who lack elite takedown defense and ground game acumen.

Reda's primary path to victory is clear and well-trodden. He will look to close the distance early, negate any striking threat by clinching against the cage, and work tirelessly for the takedown. Once the fight hits the mat, Reda is in his world. He employs heavy top pressure, advances positions methodically, and hunts for submissions or ground-and-pound finishes. He doesn't take unnecessary risks, preferring a grinding, attritional pace that wears his opponents down mentally and physically. This disciplined approach is why bookmakers have him pegged as such a significant favorite; his style minimizes chaos and maximizes control.

On the other side, Taha Bendaoud is the clear underdog at 3.20, but that's where the potential value lies for bettors seeking a higher return. Bendaoud is known for his explosive striking and knockout power. His best, and perhaps only, chance of winning this fight is to keep it standing. He must use sharp footwork, maintain distance, and punish Reda every time he attempts to close the gap. A well-timed uppercut or knee as Reda shoots for a takedown could change the entire complexion of the fight in an instant. The allure of his underdog odds is tied directly to his ability to land that one perfect, fight-altering shot.

However, the fundamental problem for Bendaoud is that Reda's entire game plan is designed to neutralize strikers just like him. While Bendaoud has shown flashes of power, his defensive wrestling has been a question mark. He will need to have made significant improvements in his takedown defense and his ability to get back to his feet to stand a chance. Ultimately, Reda's consistency and specialized skill set present a stylistic nightmare for Bendaoud. Expect Reda to weather an early storm, secure the takedown, and impose his will on the ground for a dominant, controlling victory, likely by submission or a lopsided decision.