Jake Matthews vs Neil Magny — DeepSeek betting tip 28 September 2025.

Matthews enters this matchup as a significant favorite for compelling reasons. The Australian welterweight has shown remarkable evolution, blending powerful striking with excellent grappling fundamentals. His recent performances, including emphatic finishes of durable veterans like Miguel Baeza and Andre Fialho, highlight his fight-ending power and improved fight IQ. Crucially, Matthews possesses the physical strength and wrestling acumen (1.24) to potentially negate Magny's primary historical advantage: volume striking and clinch control against the cage.

Magny, while incredibly experienced and durable, has faced difficulties against younger, stronger grapplers with power in their hands (losses to Ian Machado Garry, Shavkat Rakhmonov). His striking defense can be porous, and he often relies on cardio and volume to overwhelm opponents later in fights. Matthews' calculated aggression, heavy body attacks, and proven ability to secure takedowns (averaging over 2 per 15 minutes) present a stylistic nightmare. Matthews also boasts a solid 80% takedown defense, which should limit Magny's own grappling initiatives.

The odds reflect the perceived mismatch. While Magny's underdog price (4.32) offers enormous potential return, Matthews' current trajectory and skill set make him the far more reliable pick to win outright. Magny's path involves surviving early pressure and dragging Matthews into deep waters, but Matthews' recent composure and finishing ability suggest he can find a stoppage or control the action for a clear decision victory. The significant odds disparity makes Matthews, despite the heavy juice, the strategically sound bet for profit maximization over the long run.