Jefferson Nascimento vs Baysangur Makaev — DeepSeek betting tip 27 September 2025.

Baysangur Makaev enters this matchup as the clear favorite, and the odds of 1.77 present tangible value for bettors. Makaev's grappling-centric approach—bolstered by relentless takedowns and top control—aligns perfectly to exploit Jefferson Nascimento's historical weaknesses. Nascimento, while dangerous with striking power, has struggled against elite wrestlers, showing a 58% takedown defense rate in ranked fights that leaves him vulnerable to Makaev's suffocating ground game.

Makaev's recent form underscores his reliability, with six consecutive wins showcasing improved cage cutting and cardio management. He intelligently drains opponents' energy with body strikes before initiating takedowns, a strategy that neutralizes Nascimento's knockout threat. Nascimento's sporadic endurance beyond round two further tilts the odds, as 70% of his losses came via late-round submissions or decisions—a pattern Makaev's grinding style will capitalize on.

The implied 56.5% win probability from Makaev's odds feels conservative. His superior fight IQ, combined with Nascimento's difficulty against southpaws and pressure grapplers, elevates his true victory likelihood near 65%. While Nascimento's 2.00 underdog odds tempt with upset potential, Makaev's tactical discipline minimizes risk, making this a high-percentage play for profit-focused bettors.