Jonathan Micallef vs Oban Elliott — DeepSeek betting tip 28 September 2025.

Oban Elliott presents the clear value play here at 1.83. While Jonathan Micallef's underdog odds at 2.02 might tempt some, Elliott's superior level of competition and well-rounded skillset make him the rightful favorite. Elliott boasts UFC experience, facing significantly tougher opposition than Micallef, who has largely fought on the regional circuit against opponents with weaker records. This exposure to elite training and high-pressure fights is invaluable.

Stylistically, Elliott holds advantages. He possesses strong grappling fundamentals, excellent top control, and a relentless pace that often wears down opponents. Micallef, while game, has shown vulnerabilities in his defensive wrestling and striking defense when pressured. Elliott's cardio and durability, tested in deeper waters, suggest he can maintain a high output throughout the fight.

The odds imply Elliott has roughly a 54.5% chance of winning, which feels slightly conservative given the talent gap. Micallef's inactivity (last fought June 2024) is another concern against an active UFC-level athlete. Elliott's path to victory is clearer – utilizing his grappling to control or finding opportunities on the feet as Micallef tires. The value lies firmly with the more proven, active fighter at near-even money.