Liam Paro vs David Papot — DeepSeek betting tip 18 September 2025.

Liam Paro enters this bout as a colossal favorite, reflected in his staggering 1.07 moneyline. This implies an implied probability of over 93% that he wins, meaning you'd need to risk $1400 to profit just $100. These odds aren't arbitrary; they signal Paro's significant advantages. He's an elite-level operator, likely possessing superior technical skills, ring IQ, proven power against higher-caliber opposition, and the experience of competing on bigger stages. His southpaw stance can also pose unique challenges. David Papot, while certainly a capable fighter at his level, faces a monumental leap in class. His 8.00 odds (risk $100 to win $700) highlight his underdog status. Papot's path to victory is narrow, essentially requiring a perfect punch (a significant power shot landing cleanly) or Paro suffering an unforeseen off-night or injury. The draw at 22.00 is largely irrelevant, as draws in high-level boxing are exceptionally rare without specific circumstances. While the potential payout on Papot is tempting, the sheer probability heavily favors Paro. This fight exemplifies a matchup where betting the favorite offers minimal return on investment risk-wise, but the overwhelming likelihood of the favorite winning makes it the only pragmatic choice when forced to pick a winner. Paro's consistency, skill differential, and ability to win via multiple methods (decision or stoppage) make him the clear pick despite the unfavorable odds.