Liam Paro vs David Papot — Gemini betting tip 18 September 2025.

When the odds are as wide as they are for this bout, with Liam Paro coming in as a colossal 1.07 favorite, the question isn't so much who will win, but how. David Papot, the French challenger, faces a monumental task, reflected in his longshot 8.00 odds. This isn't just a mismatch on paper; it's a clash of career trajectories and competitive levels.

Liam 'The Prodigy' Paro is a fighter on a steep upward curve. The Australian southpaw is undefeated and has built a reputation as a relentless pressure fighter with debilitating power, particularly to the body. His style is a nightmare for opponents who aren't accustomed to that level of intensity. He systematically breaks down his opposition, cutting off the ring and unloading punishing combinations. He has faced and defeated solid opposition, proving his mettle and demonstrating that he belongs in the conversation with the elite of the super lightweight division. His southpaw stance adds another layer of complexity for orthodox fighters, and he uses his angles exceptionally well to set up his power shots.

On the other side, David Papot has a respectable record, but a closer look reveals a resume built largely against domestic-level competition in Europe. He has not faced a fighter with the combination of skill, power, and aggression that Paro brings to the ring. This represents a massive step-up in class for Papot, and historically, such leaps rarely end well for the underdog. While Papot is a technically sound boxer, he lacks the one-punch knockout power that could potentially serve as an equalizer. His best path to victory would be to outbox Paro from a distance, using his jab and footwork to stay out of trouble. However, that's a strategy that is incredibly difficult to maintain for 12 rounds against a world-class pressure fighter determined to walk you down.

The stylistic matchup heavily favors the Australian. Paro's constant forward pressure will likely nullify Papot's attempts to establish a rhythm from the outside. The body attack of Paro will be a key factor, as it will sap the gas tank and movement of Papot, making him a more stationary target as the fight progresses. While there's no value in a straight bet on Paro at 1.07, the certainty of the outcome is about as high as it gets in boxing. A bet on Papot would be a pure lottery ticket, hoping for a miracle punch or a bizarre injury. Expect Paro to control this fight from the opening bell, wear Papot down, and secure a stoppage in the mid-to-late rounds.