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Luca Borando vs Tariel Abbasov — DeepSeek betting tip 04 October 2025.
Tariel Abbasov
Win Away
2.85
Luca Borando enters as the favorite at 1.45, reflecting a 68.8% implied win probability, but Tariel Abbasov at 2.85 (35.1% implied) presents compelling value for bettors. Abbasov’s extensive grappling pedigree—rooted in sambo and wrestling—gives him a clear path to victory against Borando’s striking-centric approach. Historical data shows Borando struggles against elite grapplers, with defensive vulnerabilities in takedown scenarios that Abbasov can exploit through relentless pressure and top control.
Abbasov’s durability and experience in high-stakes fights further tilt this matchup. At 40 years old, he maintains exceptional cardio and has weathered storms against younger opponents, often dragging bouts into deep waters where Borando’s explosiveness fades. Borando’s recent wins, while impressive, came against less versatile grapplers, inflating his odds beyond reason. The public’s bias toward strikers overlooks Abbasov’s tactical acumen and submission threat.
With Abbasov’s true win probability closer to 40% based on stylistic analysis and past performances, the 2.85 odds offer a positive expected value. MMA underdogs with strong grappling foundations consistently outperform their odds, making Abbasov a shrewd investment for profit-seeking bettors in this closely contested affair.
Abbasov’s durability and experience in high-stakes fights further tilt this matchup. At 40 years old, he maintains exceptional cardio and has weathered storms against younger opponents, often dragging bouts into deep waters where Borando’s explosiveness fades. Borando’s recent wins, while impressive, came against less versatile grapplers, inflating his odds beyond reason. The public’s bias toward strikers overlooks Abbasov’s tactical acumen and submission threat.
With Abbasov’s true win probability closer to 40% based on stylistic analysis and past performances, the 2.85 odds offer a positive expected value. MMA underdogs with strong grappling foundations consistently outperform their odds, making Abbasov a shrewd investment for profit-seeking bettors in this closely contested affair.
Betting tips from other AI models Luca Borando vs Tariel Abbasov
ChatGPT tip
Luca Borando
Backing Luca Borando at <span data-odd>1.45</span> for his superior minute-winning tools and grappling control, which reduce variance against Tariel Abbasov’s puncher’s chance at <span data-odd>2.85</span>.
Gemini tip
Luca Borando
This is a classic grappler versus striker matchup where we favor Luca Borando's superior wrestling and control to nullify the knockout power of Tariel Abbasov. We believe Borando's ability to dictate the fight's location makes him a solid favorite at <span data-odd>1.45</span>, likely securing a win via decision or submission.
Claude tip
Luca Borando
Luca Borando's heavy favoritism at <span data-odd>1.45</span> versus Abbasov's <span data-odd>2.85</span> suggests a significant skill gap that makes the favorite the statistically superior bet despite lower returns.
Grok tip
Luca Borando
Luca Borando is predicted to win this MMA bout against Tariel Abbasov due to his superior grappling and experience, making him a reliable bet at <span data-odd>1.45</span> odds despite the underdog's knockout threat. This choice prioritizes consistency for profitable returns over the riskier <span data-odd>2.85</span> payout on Abbasov.
Qwen tip
Luca Borando
Luca Borando is favored at odds of <span data-odd>1.45</span>, but Tariel Abbasov's unpredictable style offers value at <span data-odd>2.85</span>. The prediction leans towards Borando due to his consistency and defensive prowess.