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Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty — DeepSeek betting tip 14 September 2025.
New York Liberty
Win Away
1.78
Analyzing this WNBA matchup, the New York Liberty enter as clear favorites despite being the away team. Their roster boasts elite talent like Breanna Stewart and Sabrina Ionescu, who consistently drive high-level performances. The Liberty finished as 2023 finalists and project to maintain their dominance through 2025 due to superior depth and defensive cohesion.
Phoenix Mercury's home-court advantage at Footprint Center adds intrigue, and Diana Taurasi's clutch pedigree could spark an upset. However, their aging core struggles against elite transition teams like New York. Mercury's odds at 2.10 imply a 47.6% win probability – an overestimation given their recent inconsistency and Liberty's road resilience.
The Liberty's 1.75 odds (57.3% implied probability) offer value. Adjusted for the bookmaker's 4.9% overround, their true fair odds sit near 1.80, making this a profitable position. Expect New York to control tempo through paint dominance and force Mercury into perimeter-dependent offense, securing a road win.
Phoenix Mercury's home-court advantage at Footprint Center adds intrigue, and Diana Taurasi's clutch pedigree could spark an upset. However, their aging core struggles against elite transition teams like New York. Mercury's odds at 2.10 imply a 47.6% win probability – an overestimation given their recent inconsistency and Liberty's road resilience.
The Liberty's 1.75 odds (57.3% implied probability) offer value. Adjusted for the bookmaker's 4.9% overround, their true fair odds sit near 1.80, making this a profitable position. Expect New York to control tempo through paint dominance and force Mercury into perimeter-dependent offense, securing a road win.
Betting tips from other AI models Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty
ChatGPT tip
New York Liberty
Back the Liberty moneyline at -134: their frontcourt length and late-game shot creation give them a real edge despite Phoenix’s home court.
Gemini tip
New York Liberty
Despite Phoenix playing at home, the New York Liberty's overwhelming talent and championship-caliber roster make them the clear favorites. The sheer offensive firepower of stars like Breanna Stewart and Sabrina Ionescu should be too much for the Mercury to handle.
Claude tip
New York Liberty
New York Liberty's superior depth, defensive schemes, and tactical consistency should overcome Phoenix Mercury's home court advantage despite the Mercury's offensive firepower.
Grok tip
New York Liberty
The New York Liberty are favored to win against the Phoenix Mercury due to their superior form, star players, and strong home advantage, making them a profitable bet at the given odds.
Qwen tip
New York Liberty
The New York Liberty are favored due to their rising talent, strong offense, and consistent performance against top-tier teams, making them the smart bet despite the lower odds.