Piotr Kacprzak vs Łukasz Charzewski — DeepSeek betting tip 20 September 2025.

This regional MMA bout presents an interesting betting opportunity. Łukasz Charzewski enters as the significant favorite, reflected in his 1.68 moneyline odds, implying roughly a 60% implied probability. His 7-1 professional record demonstrates a higher level of proven success compared to Piotr Kacprzak's 4-2 record. Crucially, Charzewski possesses a well-rounded game with a strong grappling base, evidenced by multiple submission victories. Kacprzak, while showing promise and fighting at +106 odds, often relies more on his striking and has faced less seasoned opposition.

Stylistically, Charzewski's ability to control fights on the ground poses a significant threat to Kacprzak. The odds suggest Charzewski has multiple paths to victory, whether via submission, ground-and-pound, or potentially outlasting Kacprzak over the distance. Kacprzak's path primarily involves keeping the fight standing and landing significant strikes, a harder task against a disciplined grappler like Charzewski.

While the underdog price on Kacprzak is tempting, Charzewski's experience, superior record against tougher competition, and stylistic advantage in grappling control make him the more reliable pick. The odds on Charzewski, though requiring a larger stake to win $1, still represent solid value given the skill disparity and consistency he's shown. Betting the favorite here offers the higher probability outcome essential for long-term profitability.