Rogerio Bontorin vs Vitaliy Yakimenko — DeepSeek betting tip 20 September 2025.

Rogerio Bontorin enters this bout as the justifiable favorite, carrying significant advantages in experience and proven skill level against elite UFC competition. While Vitaliy Yakimenko boasts a respectable record, his resume is built primarily within regional promotions like AMC Fight Nights, lacking the depth of high-caliber opposition Bontorin has consistently faced. Bontorin's UFC tenure saw him battle formidable flyweights like Kai Kara-France and Brandon Royval, demonstrating durability and well-roundedness even in losses.

Bontorin's core strength lies in his high-level Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu (black belt) and capable wrestling. This grappling prowess is likely the decisive factor. Yakimenko, though potentially dangerous on the feet, hasn't showcased the takedown defense or ground acumen required to consistently thwart a grappler of Bontorin's caliber. Expect Bontorin to methodically close distance, secure takedowns, and dominate positional control on the mat, grinding down Yakimenko over the rounds.

The odds reflect Bontorin's edge, priced at 1.43 (implied ~70% win probability). While not offering massive value, this line is fundamentally sound given the experience chasm and stylistic matchup. Yakimenko's underdog odds of 2.63 (+163) are enticing but represent a high-risk proposition reliant on an early KO or Bontorin making a critical error – scenarios less probable than Bontorin executing his grinding, grappling-heavy gameplan effectively. For sustainable profitability, backing the proven UFC-level operator here is the prudent move.