Amin Ayoub vs Donovan Desmae — Gemini betting tip 26 September 2025.

When the odds are as wide as Amin Ayoub at 1.13 against Donovan Desmae at 5.25, the market is sending a clear signal. In this case, the signal is one of overwhelming confidence in Ayoub, and for good reason. While laying this kind of price is a risky proposition for any single MMA fight, the stylistic and physical gulf between these two competitors justifies Ayoub's status as a colossal favorite.

Amin "Fierceness" Ayoub is a former two-division champion in respectable organizations and has consistently proven he belongs at the upper echelon of the sport outside of the major American promotions. His game is built on a foundation of raw power and relentless pressure. On the feet, he throws with vicious intent, possessing true one-punch knockout power. He’s not just a brawler, however; he effectively mixes in kicks and can work from the clinch, using his superior strength to bully opponents against the cage. His grappling is more than just defensive; he has solid top control and can deliver punishing ground-and-pound if he achieves a dominant position.

Donovan "Vegas" Desmae's path to victory is narrow and fraught with peril. He is a legitimate submission specialist, and his best, perhaps only, chance is to get this fight to the mat and entangle Ayoub in a submission. The problem is twofold. First, Desmae has to initiate the grappling exchange against a stronger, more physically imposing athlete who has demonstrated solid takedown defense throughout his career. Second, even if he manages to get Ayoub down, he'll need to work quickly before Ayoub can use his strength to scramble back to his feet or reverse position into a ground-and-pound scenario.

Ultimately, this fight will likely be contested in Ayoub's world. He will control the center of the octagon, walk Desmae down, and force striking exchanges where he holds a massive advantage. Desmae has shown durability, but he has also been stopped by strikes before, and Ayoub represents one of the most powerful strikers he will have faced. Whether by a thudding knockout in the early rounds or a lopsided unanimous decision born from three rounds of dominance, Ayoub has every tool needed to win this fight convincingly. The odds reflect a near-certainty, and while anything can happen in MMA, this matchup heavily favors the favorite.