Andrzej Grzebyk vs Muslim Tulshaev — Gemini betting tip 20 September 2025.

We're in for a fascinating stylistic clash as the explosive Polish striker, Andrzej Grzebyk, takes on the formidable Chechen grappler, Muslim Tulshaev. This bout pits Grzebyk's devastating power and technical striking against Tulshaev's relentless wrestling and ground control. The betting lines reflect this dynamic, with Grzebyk positioned as the favorite at 1.63, while Tulshaev enters as a live underdog at 2.20. The central question is simple: can the grappler get the fight into his world, or will the striker keep it on the feet where he holds a decisive advantage?

Andrzej "Double Champ" Grzebyk built his reputation as one of Europe's most dangerous finishers, holding two titles simultaneously in the FEN organization. His game is built on a foundation of pressure, volume, and fight-ending power in both hands. He possesses a diverse striking arsenal, effectively mixing punches, kicks, and knees to break his opponents down. While his chin has been tested, his offensive output is often too much for his adversaries to handle. Crucially, his takedown defense has shown marked improvement over his career. He understands that opponents will try to ground him, and he has worked diligently to develop the footwork, sprawls, and defensive wrestling necessary to keep the fight in his preferred domain. If this fight remains standing for any significant period, Grzebyk's path to victory becomes overwhelmingly clear.

Muslim Tulshaev's strategy is no secret. He must close the distance, negate Grzebyk's reach and power, and drag this fight to the canvas. Tulshaev is a physically imposing fighter with a powerful wrestling base, specializing in chain wrestling to wear his opponents down and secure takedowns against the cage. Once on the mat, he is a suffocating presence, using heavy top control and ground-and-pound to break his opponent's will. His path to victory involves weathering the early storm, making Grzebyk work hard to defend takedowns, and eventually finding an opening to get top position. If Tulshaev can implement this game plan, he can neutralize Grzebyk's greatest weapons and grind out a decision or even find a submission.

Despite Tulshaev's clear strengths, the edge goes to Andrzej Grzebyk. The key factor will be the battle for distance and control in the opening minutes. Grzebyk has faced and overcome strong grapplers before, and his ability to manage distance with his footwork and powerful striking will be critical. We anticipate him using low kicks and a stiff jab to punish Tulshaev every time he attempts to close the distance. While Tulshaev will likely have moments of success, Grzebyk's experience and, most importantly, his fight-ending power, give him more ways to win. He only needs one clean connection to change the entire complexion of the fight. As Tulshaev potentially tires from failed takedown attempts, the openings for Grzebyk's power shots will grow. The 1.63 price on Grzebyk feels justified, as he has the tools to defend the takedown and the superior offensive weapons to secure a finish.