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Edmen Shahbazyan vs Andre Muniz — Gemini betting tip 05 October 2025.
Andre Muniz
Win Away
3.64
This middleweight clash presents a quintessential striker versus grappler dynamic, creating a fascinating puzzle for bettors. Edmen Shahbazyan enters as the significant favorite at 1.31, a line heavily influenced by his explosive striking and knockout power. Shahbazyan's game plan is no secret: he will look to apply immediate pressure, leverage his boxing advantage, and hunt for an early finish. In his best moments, he looks like a future title contender, overwhelming opponents with speed and precision. However, his past performances reveal a critical flaw that cannot be ignored.
Shahbazyan's cardio and grappling defense have been major liabilities. In his losses to Derek Brunson and Jack Hermansson, he looked phenomenal in the first round only to fade dramatically once the fight hit the mat or extended into deeper waters. While he has worked to address these issues, he has yet to prove he can consistently fend off an elite submission artist for fifteen minutes. This makes him a risky proposition at such short odds, as his path to victory feels narrow and time-sensitive. If he doesn't secure a knockout in the first five to seven minutes, the complexion of the fight could change drastically.
On the other side, Andre Muniz comes in as the live underdog at 3.64. Muniz is a world-class Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu black belt with some of the most dangerous submission skills in the entire division. His ability to find an armbar from almost any position is legendary, famously demonstrated when he snapped Jacare Souza's arm. His game plan is the polar opposite of Shahbazyan's: survive the initial onslaught, close the distance, secure a takedown, and let his grappling prowess take over. While his striking is rudimentary compared to his opponent's, it only needs to be functional enough to create an opening for a takedown.
Muniz's recent back-to-back TKO losses to Brendan Allen and Paul Craig are a cause for concern and are likely why his odds are so long. However, those losses came against powerful opponents who could stuff his takedowns and punish him on the feet. While Shahbazyan fits that mold, his takedown defense is not on the same level as Allen's. This fight is a calculated risk. The value lies squarely with Muniz. He possesses the perfect stylistic weapon to exploit Shahbazyan's most significant weakness. If Muniz can weather the early storm and drag this fight to the canvas just once, he has a very high probability of finding a submission. Betting on Muniz is a bet on his chin holding up long enough for his elite skills to dictate the outcome, and at 3.64, that's a risk well worth taking.
Shahbazyan's cardio and grappling defense have been major liabilities. In his losses to Derek Brunson and Jack Hermansson, he looked phenomenal in the first round only to fade dramatically once the fight hit the mat or extended into deeper waters. While he has worked to address these issues, he has yet to prove he can consistently fend off an elite submission artist for fifteen minutes. This makes him a risky proposition at such short odds, as his path to victory feels narrow and time-sensitive. If he doesn't secure a knockout in the first five to seven minutes, the complexion of the fight could change drastically.
On the other side, Andre Muniz comes in as the live underdog at 3.64. Muniz is a world-class Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu black belt with some of the most dangerous submission skills in the entire division. His ability to find an armbar from almost any position is legendary, famously demonstrated when he snapped Jacare Souza's arm. His game plan is the polar opposite of Shahbazyan's: survive the initial onslaught, close the distance, secure a takedown, and let his grappling prowess take over. While his striking is rudimentary compared to his opponent's, it only needs to be functional enough to create an opening for a takedown.
Muniz's recent back-to-back TKO losses to Brendan Allen and Paul Craig are a cause for concern and are likely why his odds are so long. However, those losses came against powerful opponents who could stuff his takedowns and punish him on the feet. While Shahbazyan fits that mold, his takedown defense is not on the same level as Allen's. This fight is a calculated risk. The value lies squarely with Muniz. He possesses the perfect stylistic weapon to exploit Shahbazyan's most significant weakness. If Muniz can weather the early storm and drag this fight to the canvas just once, he has a very high probability of finding a submission. Betting on Muniz is a bet on his chin holding up long enough for his elite skills to dictate the outcome, and at 3.64, that's a risk well worth taking.
Betting tips from other AI models Edmen Shahbazyan vs Andre Muniz
ChatGPT tip
Andre Muniz
Taking Andre Muniz at <span data-odd>3.64</span> for the value: his grappling path targets Shahbazyan’s historical TDD/cardio issues, while the favorite’s <span data-odd>1.31</span> tag overstates his edge.
Claude tip
Edmen Shahbazyan
Shahbazyan's improved takedown defense and superior striking power should overcome Muniz's grappling threat, making the <span data-odd>1.31</span> favorite a solid value despite the heavy odds.
Grok tip
Edmen Shahbazyan
Edmen Shahbazyan is predicted to win due to his superior striking power and takedown defense, making him a strong favorite at <span data-odd>1.31</span> against Andre Muniz's grappling style at <span data-odd>3.64</span>. This matchup favors Shahbazyan's athleticism for a likely TKO victory.
DeepSeek tip
Andre Muniz
Muniz offers exceptional value at <span data-odd>3.64</span> due to his elite submission skills directly targeting Shahbazyan's well-documented grappling vulnerabilities and recent struggles against pressure fighters, making the favorite's odds inflated.
Qwen tip
Andre Muniz
Andre Muniz offers excellent value at <span data-odd>3.64</span> due to his grappling superiority and Edmen Shahbazyan's defensive vulnerabilities on the ground.