Simone Patrizi vs Chris Bungard — Gemini betting tip 13 September 2025.

We have a compelling European MMA clash on our hands as Italy's Simone Patrizi squares off against Scotland's Chris 'The Badass' Bungard. The odds paint a picture of a closely contested bout, with Bungard as the slight favorite at 1.74 and Patrizi as a live underdog at 1.95. This pricing reflects a classic stylistic battle, but a deeper dive into their careers reveals a clear edge for the Scottish veteran.

Chris Bungard is a name that should be familiar to fans who follow major promotions. His time in Bellator saw him face a higher caliber of opposition than Patrizi has encountered on the regional scene. Bungard is a relentless grappler with a knack for finding submissions in chaotic scrambles. His nickname, 'The Badass,' is well-earned; he brings an aggressive, in-your-face style and is more than willing to eat a shot to close the distance and initiate his ground game. While his striking can be wild, it serves its purpose: to create openings for the takedown.

Simone Patrizi, on the other hand, will almost certainly want to keep this fight standing. His path to victory lies in his striking, where he'll need to use footwork and precision to keep the marauding Bungard at bay. The primary question for Patrizi is whether he can handle the significant step up in competition and, more specifically, whether his takedown defense is robust enough to neutralize Bungard's primary weapon for 15 minutes. While anything can happen in MMA, and a well-timed punch can end any fight, relying on that outcome against a durable, experienced opponent like Bungard is a risky proposition.

Ultimately, this fight will be decided by who can dictate the geography of the cage. If Patrizi can keep his back off the fence and stuff the initial takedown attempts, he has a chance to out-point or even stop Bungard on the feet. However, the more likely scenario is that Bungard's experience, pressure, and superior grappling will eventually win out. He has more proven ways to win this fight. Whether it's by a grinding decision via top control or a late submission after Patrizi tires from defending takedowns, Bungard's style is tailor-made to nullify his opponent's strengths. The 1.74 line on Bungard represents good value, as his experience and stylistic advantages are more significant than the narrow odds suggest.