Yanis Ghemmouri vs Izzeddine Al Derbani — Gemini betting tip 27 September 2025.

In this compelling featherweight clash, we see a classic matchup between a fighter tested at the highest level and a surging regional champion looking to make a name for himself. Yanis Ghemmouri, the French 'Desert Warrior', enters as the significant favorite at 1.44, and for good reason. His recent stint in the UFC, while ending in a loss, provided him with invaluable experience against the sport's elite. Facing opponents like William Gomis has sharpened his skills and battle-tested his composure in a way that simply cannot be replicated on the regional circuit.

Ghemmouri is a technical and patient striker. He utilizes his length well, maintains distance with crisp jabs and leg kicks, and possesses the fight IQ to execute a game plan over three rounds. His experience under the bright lights means he's less likely to be overwhelmed by the occasion or fall into a brawl. While his UFC run didn't go as planned, it's crucial to remember the caliber of athlete he was facing. Dropping back to this level of competition should feel like a significant step down, allowing his technical advantages to shine through.

On the other side, we have Izzeddine Al Derbani, 'The Jordanian Lion', an exciting prospect with a formidable record built primarily in UAE Warriors. As the underdog at 2.90, he represents the high-risk, high-reward bet. Al Derbani is a proven finisher with a dynamic skill set, boasting both knockout power and a slick submission game. He is aggressive, constantly hunts for the finish, and has the momentum of a long winning streak behind him. His path to victory is clear: he must close the distance, overwhelm Ghemmouri with pressure and volume, and find an opening for a fight-ending sequence before the fight settles into a technical rhythm.

The critical question is whether Al Derbani's skills will translate against a fighter of Ghemmouri's caliber. Often, fighters who dominate regionally struggle with the speed, durability, and strategic depth of opponents with UFC experience. While Al Derbani is dangerous everywhere, Ghemmouri's defensive awareness and technical striking should be enough to neutralize the early storm. I expect Ghemmouri to weather the initial aggression, use his footwork to control the cage, and systematically pick Al Derbani apart from the outside for a clear decision victory or a late TKO.