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Betting tips from AI for Abraham Bably vs Justin Clarke, 20 December 2025.
AI Disagreement 🤔
Models disagree; no reliable consensus. Review each prediction.
ChatGPT tip
Justin Clarke win
5.40
ChatGPT prediction for Abraham Bably vs Justin Clarke, 20 December 2025.
I’m backing Justin Clarke as a $1 value bet at 5.75. The market treats Abraham Bably as a near-lock at 1.13, but that price leaves almost no upside and may overstate the chance of an early Bably finish.
Clarke’s 2025 resurgence, superior cardio and relentless pressure — the very traits Ariel Helwani flagged — give him a clear plan: muddle the standup, drag the fight late and win a decision. Bably’s highlight TKO and Overeem’s praise underline the risk of an early stoppage, yet the loud Cotonou crowd and a deleted sparring-room spat in Clarke’s camp slightly cut both ways and increase fight volatility.
I see enough paths to a late Clarke victory to justify a small underdog wager here: the payout outweighs the realistic upset probability, so $1 on Justin Clarke is the highest-expected-value play.
Clarke’s 2025 resurgence, superior cardio and relentless pressure — the very traits Ariel Helwani flagged — give him a clear plan: muddle the standup, drag the fight late and win a decision. Bably’s highlight TKO and Overeem’s praise underline the risk of an early stoppage, yet the loud Cotonou crowd and a deleted sparring-room spat in Clarke’s camp slightly cut both ways and increase fight volatility.
I see enough paths to a late Clarke victory to justify a small underdog wager here: the payout outweighs the realistic upset probability, so $1 on Justin Clarke is the highest-expected-value play.
Gemini tip
Justin Clarke win
5.40
Gemini prediction for Abraham Bably vs Justin Clarke, 20 December 2025.
This bout presents a classic striker vs. grappler/pressure fighter dynamic, with Abraham Bably, a heavy favorite at 1.13, known for his devastating power and early finishes, as seen in his highlight-reel TKO in the semifinals. Conversely, Justin Clarke, the 5.75 underdog, has shown remarkable resilience and an improved gas tank, outlasting opponents and forcing concessions in later rounds. Veteran MMA analyst Ariel Helwani astutely pegs Clarke as a "live dog," citing his cardio and relentless pressure as key factors that could grind out a decision against Bably if the fight extends into the later frames. While former heavyweight Alistair Overeem praises Bably's finishing power, Clarke's tactical path to victory involves weathering the early storm and pushing the pace.
Considering the significant odds, the profitable play here is on Justin Clarke. His ability to absorb punishment and escalate pressure as the fight progresses, coupled with Bably's likely desire for an early finish, creates a scenario where Clarke's 5.75 odds offer substantial value. The reported internal friction in Clarke's camp is a minor concern, but his in-cage performance has been nothing short of impressive, showcasing the grit needed for an upset.
Considering the significant odds, the profitable play here is on Justin Clarke. His ability to absorb punishment and escalate pressure as the fight progresses, coupled with Bably's likely desire for an early finish, creates a scenario where Clarke's 5.75 odds offer substantial value. The reported internal friction in Clarke's camp is a minor concern, but his in-cage performance has been nothing short of impressive, showcasing the grit needed for an upset.
Claude tip
Abraham Bably win
1.18
Claude prediction for Abraham Bably vs Justin Clarke, 20 December 2025.
Abraham Bably enters as the heavy favorite at 1.13 for good reason. His first-round TKO of Joffie Houlton demonstrated the devastating left hand power that Alistair Overeem highlighted in recent comments. While Justin Clarke (5.75) has shown impressive cardio and grit, particularly in his semifinal victory over Maxwell Djantou Nana, the path to victory seems narrow.
The Cotonou crowd factor shouldn't be overlooked, as Djimon Hounsou suggested. With the event in Benin, Bably will likely enjoy significant hometown support, potentially amplifying his already formidable presence. The deleted sparring video showing tension in Clarke's camp raises questions about his preparation.
Clarke's best chance, as Ariel Helwani noted, is making this a messy, grinding affair that extends into later rounds where Bably might fade. However, Bably's finishing power presents a constant threat. Expect Bably to hunt for that signature left hand early, while mixing in takedowns to control where the fight takes place and preserve energy for a potential late battle.
The Cotonou crowd factor shouldn't be overlooked, as Djimon Hounsou suggested. With the event in Benin, Bably will likely enjoy significant hometown support, potentially amplifying his already formidable presence. The deleted sparring video showing tension in Clarke's camp raises questions about his preparation.
Clarke's best chance, as Ariel Helwani noted, is making this a messy, grinding affair that extends into later rounds where Bably might fade. However, Bably's finishing power presents a constant threat. Expect Bably to hunt for that signature left hand early, while mixing in takedowns to control where the fight takes place and preserve energy for a potential late battle.
Grok tip
Abraham Bably win
1.18
Grok prediction for Abraham Bably vs Justin Clarke, 20 December 2025.
In this electrifying PFL final set in Cotonou, Abraham Bably steps into the cage as the heavy favorite at 1.13, backed by his devastating knockout power. The Ivorian powerhouse just demolished Joffie Houlton in the semis with a vicious first-round TKO, using a thunderous left hand followed by ground-and-pound that left fans roaring. Alistair Overeem nailed it—Bably's finishing ability could end this early, especially with the partisan crowd in Benin fueling his aggression, as local star Djimon Hounsou hyped up.
Justin Clarke, the +475 underdog, brings unbeaten momentum from 2025, grinding out a third-round verbal submission against Maxwell Djantou Nana in the semis. Ariel Helwani's spot on: Clarke's cardio and relentless pressure make him a live dog if he drags Bably into a messy late fight for a decision. But that deleted sparring video hinting at camp drama? It raises red flags about focus.
Tactically, Bably avoids prolonged wars by mixing power strikes with takedowns, while Clarke pushes pace to tire him out. The venue's safety buzz is minor noise, but the loud atmosphere favors the aggressor early. I see Bably's power overwhelming Clarke before the gas tank becomes a factor—expect a finish inside two rounds for a profitable chalk play.
Justin Clarke, the +475 underdog, brings unbeaten momentum from 2025, grinding out a third-round verbal submission against Maxwell Djantou Nana in the semis. Ariel Helwani's spot on: Clarke's cardio and relentless pressure make him a live dog if he drags Bably into a messy late fight for a decision. But that deleted sparring video hinting at camp drama? It raises red flags about focus.
Tactically, Bably avoids prolonged wars by mixing power strikes with takedowns, while Clarke pushes pace to tire him out. The venue's safety buzz is minor noise, but the loud atmosphere favors the aggressor early. I see Bably's power overwhelming Clarke before the gas tank becomes a factor—expect a finish inside two rounds for a profitable chalk play.
DeepSeek tip
Justin Clarke win
5.40
DeepSeek prediction for Abraham Bably vs Justin Clarke, 20 December 2025.
Justin Clarke enters as a live underdog at 5.75, with veteran analyst Ariel Helwani highlighting his cardio and pressure as keys to victory. Clarke's unbeaten 2025 run and gritty semifinal performance demonstrate his resilience, while the Cotonou crowd could amplify momentum swings.
Abraham Bably's finishing power, praised by Alistair Overeem, comes with steep odds at 1.13. However, Clarke's tactical path—forcing a messy, late battle—aligns with his strengths, and if he survives early exchanges, his gas tank could lead to a decision upset.
Abraham Bably's finishing power, praised by Alistair Overeem, comes with steep odds at 1.13. However, Clarke's tactical path—forcing a messy, late battle—aligns with his strengths, and if he survives early exchanges, his gas tank could lead to a decision upset.
Qwen tip
Abraham Bably win
1.18
Qwen prediction for Abraham Bably vs Justin Clarke, 20 December 2025.
Abraham Bably enters this matchup as a heavy favorite with odds of 1.13, and for good reason. His reputation as a devastating finisher was on full display in the semifinals, where he dismantled Joffie Houlton with a first-round TKO. Bably’s strategy is clear: overwhelm Justin Clarke early with his trademark power strikes or secure takedowns to avoid a prolonged battle. The Ivorian’s finishing ability could be pivotal in front of what promises to be a raucous hometown crowd in Cotonou.
However, Justin Clarke, listed at 5.75, isn’t without his merits. Veteran analyst Ariel Helwani has highlighted Clarke’s improved cardio and relentless pressure as potential difference-makers. Clarke’s gritty performance against Maxwell Djantou Nana showcased his resilience and ability to adapt in tough situations. If he can weather Bably’s early storm and drag the fight into the later rounds, Clarke’s pace and volume striking might wear down the more explosive Bably.
The atmosphere in Cotonou adds another layer of intrigue. A partisan crowd could amplify momentum swings, particularly if Bably starts strong. But Clarke’s path to victory hinges on maintaining composure and executing his game plan despite external pressures. While the sparring-room controversy surrounding Clarke’s camp raises questions about team chemistry, it’s unclear how much this will impact his performance inside the cage.
Given the odds and tactical context, Bably’s early firepower makes him the safer bet, but Clarke’s live-dog potential cannot be dismissed entirely. In a high-stakes final like this, the edge goes to the fighter who imposes their will from the opening bell.
However, Justin Clarke, listed at 5.75, isn’t without his merits. Veteran analyst Ariel Helwani has highlighted Clarke’s improved cardio and relentless pressure as potential difference-makers. Clarke’s gritty performance against Maxwell Djantou Nana showcased his resilience and ability to adapt in tough situations. If he can weather Bably’s early storm and drag the fight into the later rounds, Clarke’s pace and volume striking might wear down the more explosive Bably.
The atmosphere in Cotonou adds another layer of intrigue. A partisan crowd could amplify momentum swings, particularly if Bably starts strong. But Clarke’s path to victory hinges on maintaining composure and executing his game plan despite external pressures. While the sparring-room controversy surrounding Clarke’s camp raises questions about team chemistry, it’s unclear how much this will impact his performance inside the cage.
Given the odds and tactical context, Bably’s early firepower makes him the safer bet, but Clarke’s live-dog potential cannot be dismissed entirely. In a high-stakes final like this, the edge goes to the fighter who imposes their will from the opening bell.
Match News
• Veteran MMA analyst Ariel Helwani says Clarke’s cardio and pressure make him the live dog in this matchup, arguing that if Justin keeps the fight messy late he can grind out a decision against Bably.
• Former heavyweight contender Alistair Overeem praised Bably’s finishing power and predicted the Ivorian will look to end the fight early with a heavy overhand left or ground-and-pound sequence.
• Celebrity fan and Benin-born actor Djimon Hounsou celebrated the event moving to Cotonou and suggested a hometown crowd could swing momentum toward whichever African fighter shows more aggression.
• A minor controversy surfaced this week after a local outlet published photos of the PFL event set-up that some fans called unsafe for a major card, prompting venue officials to fast-track additional safety checks.
• Social media buzzed over a sparring-room video — since deleted — showing a heated exchange between two members of Clarke’s camp, sparking debate about locker-room chemistry ahead of the final.
• Abraham Bably enters the final off a highlight first-round TKO in the semifinals, where he stopped Joffie Houlton with a left hand before finishing with dominant top strikes; that win reinforced his reputation as a heavy hitter.
• Justin Clarke arrives unbeaten in 2025 after a gritty semifinal performance where he outlasted Maxwell Djantou Nana and forced a verbal concession in the third, showcasing improved gas tank and resilience.
• Tactical context: Bably will likely target early power exchanges and takedown transitions to avoid a long cardio battle, while Clarke’s path to victory appears to be relentless pressure, pace, and forcing the fight into later rounds.
• Atmosphere note: With the final staged in Cotonou, expect a loud, partisan crowd that could amplify early momentum swings — a factor both camps have publicly acknowledged in their fight-week preparations.
• Former heavyweight contender Alistair Overeem praised Bably’s finishing power and predicted the Ivorian will look to end the fight early with a heavy overhand left or ground-and-pound sequence.
• Celebrity fan and Benin-born actor Djimon Hounsou celebrated the event moving to Cotonou and suggested a hometown crowd could swing momentum toward whichever African fighter shows more aggression.
• A minor controversy surfaced this week after a local outlet published photos of the PFL event set-up that some fans called unsafe for a major card, prompting venue officials to fast-track additional safety checks.
• Social media buzzed over a sparring-room video — since deleted — showing a heated exchange between two members of Clarke’s camp, sparking debate about locker-room chemistry ahead of the final.
• Abraham Bably enters the final off a highlight first-round TKO in the semifinals, where he stopped Joffie Houlton with a left hand before finishing with dominant top strikes; that win reinforced his reputation as a heavy hitter.
• Justin Clarke arrives unbeaten in 2025 after a gritty semifinal performance where he outlasted Maxwell Djantou Nana and forced a verbal concession in the third, showcasing improved gas tank and resilience.
• Tactical context: Bably will likely target early power exchanges and takedown transitions to avoid a long cardio battle, while Clarke’s path to victory appears to be relentless pressure, pace, and forcing the fight into later rounds.
• Atmosphere note: With the final staged in Cotonou, expect a loud, partisan crowd that could amplify early momentum swings — a factor both camps have publicly acknowledged in their fight-week preparations.
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