Betting tips from AI for AD Ceuta FC vs Almería, 26 November 2025.

The restart begins at 1-1 after a heartbreaking suspension, with Kuki Zalazar striking first and Adri Embarba leveling from a free kick. The Alfonso Murube will be raw and emotional, a factor that can lift Ceuta but also tighten nerves. Nico Melamed’s knock before the break slightly dents Almería’s attacking edge.

With only 45 minutes to play from a cold start, game state strongly favors a stalemate. Managers often prioritize control in such unusual restarts, and an away Almería may accept a point. Ceuta’s passion meets pragmatic risk management, which can cancel out swings.

From a value lens, the Draw at 3.00 beats Almería’s 2.20 and Ceuta’s 2.80, as the shortened window and emotional context raise the likelihood of a level finish. I’m backing the draw for the best price-to-probability edge.

This is no ordinary match. The game will resume at halftime with the score locked at 1-1 following a tragic suspension. The emotional weight of this contest cannot be overstated. AD Ceuta FC will be playing with immense heart in front of a home crowd united in grief and support, seeking to honor the memory of a fallen fan. This intangible factor can often override pure on-paper quality.

Before the halt, the match was evenly poised, with Kuki Zalazar's opener for Ceuta canceled out by an Adri Embarba free-kick for Almería. Now, with only 45 minutes left to play, the game becomes a tactical chess match. Almería, the favorites at 2.20, might play cautiously to secure an away point under difficult circumstances, especially with Nico Melamed's fitness in question.

Given that the score is already level and only one half remains, the path to a draw is significantly shorter than in a standard 90-minute game. The combination of intense emotion, a shortened timeframe, and the attractive odds of 3.00 makes betting on a stalemate the most logical and valuable play.

This emotionally charged Segunda División clash resumes from halftime with both sides locked at 1-1. The tragic death of a Ceuta supporter has transformed this match into something far beyond football, with the home side likely to channel raw emotion and crowd support into their second-half performance.

Almería enters as favorites at 2.20, but their technical superiority may be overshadowed by Ceuta's emotional motivation. Playing at the Alfonso Murube stadium, the hosts will be desperate to honor their fallen fan with a memorable victory.

Nico Melamed's potential injury adds uncertainty to Almería's attacking threat, while Ceuta showed early promise through Kuki Zalazar's opener. The psychological factor cannot be understated - home teams often find extraordinary strength in such circumstances.

Despite Ceuta's longer odds at 2.80, the combination of home advantage, emotional fuel, and a crowd rallying behind their team creates compelling value for an upset victory.

The Segunda División clash between AD Ceuta FC and Almería resumes from a 1-1 halftime scoreline after a heartbreaking suspension due to the sudden death of a Ceuta supporter. Emotions are running high at the Alfonso Murube stadium, where the home crowd is rallying in memory of the fallen fan, potentially fueling Ceuta's players with extra heart and determination.

Kuki Zalazar's early goal gave Ceuta the lead, only for Adri Embarba's stunning free-kick to equalize for Almería. With no major injuries reported pre-match, Almería's Nico Melamed did need treatment just before the break, which might affect their rhythm in the second half.

Local commentator Paco Ortiz captured it perfectly: 'This is more than a game now—Ceuta’s players will want to honor their supporter with a performance full of heart.' Betting on AD Ceuta FC at 2.80 feels like a smart play here, as the emotional charge could tip the scales against Almería, who are favored at 2.20, with a draw at 3.00 also in play. I'm backing the home side to channel the tragedy into triumph and secure a poignant victory.

The emotional weight at Alfonso Murube cannot be overstated. Ceuta's players are now playing to honor a lost supporter, which could spark an immense, passionate performance. The home crowd will be a powerful 12th man, driving them forward.

Almería looked sharp before the break, equalizing through Embarba's brilliant free-kick, but they now face a team and stadium united in grief and resolve. While Almería's quality is undeniable, the sheer force of sentiment and motivation tilts this heavily in Ceuta's favor. At 2.80, the home side offers immense value.

This match between AD Ceuta FC and Almería carries extraordinary emotional weight following the tragic death of a Ceuta supporter, which overshadowed the initial 1-1 scoreline. The resumption of play will occur in an atmosphere thick with grief and determination, likely amplifying Ceuta’s motivation to deliver a performance that honors their fallen fan. Kuki Zalazar’s early goal showcased Ceuta’s attacking intent, but Adri Embarba’s free-kick brilliance for Almería highlights their ability to respond under pressure.
Almería enters as favorites with odds of 2.20, reflecting their stronger overall quality and higher league standing. However, the psychological toll on both teams cannot be ignored. While Almería boasts superior talent, the emotionally charged environment at the Alfonso Murube stadium could disrupt their rhythm. Additionally, Nico Melamed’s fitness concerns add uncertainty to their lineup, potentially weakening their midfield control.
Ceuta, although underdogs at 2.80, may harness the raw energy of their home crowd to elevate their game beyond expectations. Draws are priced at 3.00, suggesting bookmakers anticipate a tightly contested affair. Given the context, betting on Ceuta might offer value due to their heightened motivation and the unpredictable nature of emotionally charged matches.