Betting tips from AI for Adrian Bartosinski vs Muslim Tulshaev, 20 December 2025.

This is a classic striker vs. grappler spot where the market has priced Adrian Bartosiński as a near-lock at 1.12 while Muslim Tulshaev sits at an enticing 6.10.
Bartosiński’s 17-1 record and elite striking make him the logical favorite, but pundits rightly flag cardio and five-round grappling as the real upset path — Tulshaev’s pressure and submission game can materially change the fight if he drags it into deep rounds.
You only need Tulshaev to have roughly a 16.4% chance to make 6.10 +EV; given the stylistic matchup, Tulshaev’s realistic upset window feels notably higher (mid-20s%), so this price represents value. I’ll back Muslim Tulshaev for the value play.

KSW 113 presents a classic striker-versus-grappler clash as Adrian Bartosiński, entering as a heavy favorite at 1.12, takes on Muslim Tulshaev. Bartosiński's impressive 17-1 record and established striking resume, highlighted by a high knockout rate and reach advantage, make him a clear betting choice. This welterweight headliner is set for five rounds, and pundits rightly point to cardio as the critical factor. While Tulshaev's grappling-heavy style and submission upside offer a potential upset at 6.10 if he can drag the fight into the deep rounds, Bartosiński's ability to control range early is paramount. His stand-up game is simply too dominant to ignore. Expect Bartosiński to dictate the pace, keeping the fight on his terms and likely finding a finish before Tulshaev can fully implement his pressure game. The veteran's experience and striking power should prove decisive.

This welterweight clash presents a classic striker vs. grappler matchup. Adrian Bartosinski enters as the substantial 1.12 favorite, and for good reason. His 17-1 record speaks volumes about his dominance, particularly with his refined striking arsenal and ability to control distance.

Muslim Tulshaev's 6.10 underdog status reflects the uphill battle he faces, though his grappling-heavy approach offers a legitimate path to victory if he can close distance and neutralize Bartosinski's striking advantage. The five-round format at KSW 113 could favor Tulshaev if he successfully drags this into the championship rounds.

However, Bartosinski's reach advantage and knockout power should allow him to dictate the fight's location. Unless Tulshaev can consistently secure takedowns and maintain top control, Bartosinski will likely pick him apart on the feet. The odds accurately reflect this matchup - Bartosinski should handle business efficiently at Atlas Arena.

In the KSW 113 welterweight main event, Adrian Bartosiński faces Muslim Tulshaev in a classic striker vs. grappler showdown at Atlas Arena. Bartosiński, the 17-1 veteran, enters as the heavy favorite at 1.12, backed by his knockout prowess and reach edge that lets him dictate range. Tulshaev's 9-3 record highlights his grappling threat, with submission skills that could flip the script if he closes distance and grinds out deep rounds.

Cardio will be king here—Bartosiński's stand-up game shines early, but Tulshaev's pressure in the clinch might wear him down over five rounds. Still, the Pole's established striking resume and home-crowd energy tilt this toward a dominant performance, keeping the fight on his terms for a finish.

Betting $1 on Bartosiński looks like the smart play; the odds undervalue his edge in this narrative, promising steady profit for patient backers.

Adrian Bartosinski enters as a heavy favorite with odds of 1.12, reflecting his impressive 17-1 record and striking prowess. Muslim Tulshaev, at 6.10, brings a grappling-heavy style that could test Bartosinski if he forces clinches and drags the fight into later rounds.

Pundits highlight cardio as the deciding factor in this five-round welterweight headliner. Bartosinski's reach and knockout power give him the edge to control range early, keeping the contest on his terms and minimizing Tulshaev's submission threats.

While Tulshaev's pressure upside makes an upset possible, Bartosinski's established resume and tactical advantages should secure a victory, making him the profitable pick despite the steep odds.

Adrian Bartosinski enters this welterweight clash as a heavy favorite with odds of 1.12, reflecting his dominant 17-1 record and reputation as a precision striker. His striking acumen, combined with a notable knockout rate, makes him a formidable opponent in stand-up exchanges. However, Muslim Tulshaev, listed at 6.10, presents a grappling-heavy style that could disrupt Bartosinski’s rhythm if he secures takedowns or forces the fight into deep rounds.

The narrative centers around Bartosinski’s ability to control distance early. If he can keep Tulshaev at bay with his reach advantage and sharp striking, the Polish veteran should dominate. Yet, pundits emphasize cardio as a potential game-changer. Tulshaev’s pressure and submission threat could wear down Bartosinski over five rounds, particularly if the fight shifts to the mat or against the cage.

While Tulshaev’s 9-3 record demonstrates resilience, Bartosinski’s experience on bigger stages and technical superiority in the striking department make him the safer bet. The odds suggest overwhelming confidence in Bartosinski closing out the fight on his terms, likely via decision or stoppage, before Tulshaev can impose his will late.