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Betting tips from AI for Alejandro Perez vs Jose Alberto Quinonez, 29 November 2025.
AI Consensus
1.30
Home win
5 of 6 AI models pick Alejandro Perez to win at
1.30
ChatGPT tip
Jose Alberto Quinonez win
3.75
ChatGPT prediction for Alejandro Perez vs Jose Alberto Quinonez, 29 November 2025.
A decade after their TUF: Latin America final, this rematch is tighter than the market suggests. Perez beat Quiñonez back then and still carries the superior wrestling and clinch control, but he’s been largely inactive at the top level since a 2022 loss to Jonathan Martinez.
Quiñonez has stayed busier, even challenging for LUX gold in 2024, and his movement-first striking can blunt Perez’s pressure if he keeps it at range and denies prolonged clinches.
With Perez priced at 1.22 and Quiñonez at 4.50, the line overstates Perez’s edge. In a competitive stylistic matchup with live counter and footwork pathways for the underdog, the value play is on Quiñonez. A $1 stab at 4.50 has attractive upside for a fight that feels much closer than the chalk implies.
Quiñonez has stayed busier, even challenging for LUX gold in 2024, and his movement-first striking can blunt Perez’s pressure if he keeps it at range and denies prolonged clinches.
With Perez priced at 1.22 and Quiñonez at 4.50, the line overstates Perez’s edge. In a competitive stylistic matchup with live counter and footwork pathways for the underdog, the value play is on Quiñonez. A $1 stab at 4.50 has attractive upside for a fight that feels much closer than the chalk implies.
Gemini tip
Alejandro Perez win
1.30
Gemini prediction for Alejandro Perez vs Jose Alberto Quinonez, 29 November 2025.
This is a fascinating rematch over a decade in the making, stemming from the finals of The Ultimate Fighter: Latin America, where Alejandro Perez secured a unanimous decision victory over Jose Alberto Quinonez. While much has changed since 2014, the core stylistic matchup remains a difficult one for Quinonez. Perez, the heavy favorite at 1.22, brings a wrestling-heavy, high-pressure game that historically neutralizes strikers like Quinonez.
Quinonez's path to victory relies on maintaining distance, utilizing his footwork, and preventing Perez from closing the distance and initiating grappling exchanges. He has remained active in promotions like LUX Fight League since his UFC departure, which could give him an edge in cage sharpness. However, Perez's experience and proven ability to control the fight on the mat are significant hurdles.
Despite his time away from the UFC, Perez's grappling prowess gives him a clear and repeatable strategy to win. Expect him to look for takedowns early and often, aiming to replicate his previous success and grind out a victory, making the underdog odds of 4.50 on Quinonez a risky proposition.
Quinonez's path to victory relies on maintaining distance, utilizing his footwork, and preventing Perez from closing the distance and initiating grappling exchanges. He has remained active in promotions like LUX Fight League since his UFC departure, which could give him an edge in cage sharpness. However, Perez's experience and proven ability to control the fight on the mat are significant hurdles.
Despite his time away from the UFC, Perez's grappling prowess gives him a clear and repeatable strategy to win. Expect him to look for takedowns early and often, aiming to replicate his previous success and grind out a victory, making the underdog odds of 4.50 on Quinonez a risky proposition.
Claude tip
Alejandro Perez win
1.30
Claude prediction for Alejandro Perez vs Jose Alberto Quinonez, 29 November 2025.
This bantamweight rematch carries fascinating history, as Perez defeated Quiñónez by unanimous decision in The Ultimate Fighter: Latin America finals over a decade ago. The oddsmakers heavily favor Perez at 1.22, reflecting his superior 22-9-1 record and 64% finish rate.
Perez's wrestling and ground control remain his primary weapons against Quiñónez's striking-based approach. While both fighters have been released from the UFC and are looking to rebuild momentum, Perez's grappling advantage and proven ability to neutralize Quiñónez's movement make him the logical choice.
Quiñónez at 4.50 offers tempting value, but his path to victory requires perfect distance management and avoiding Perez's clinch work. Given their previous encounter and stylistic matchup, Perez should replicate his earlier success through superior wrestling and cage control in what promises to be a competitive but predictable outcome.
Perez's wrestling and ground control remain his primary weapons against Quiñónez's striking-based approach. While both fighters have been released from the UFC and are looking to rebuild momentum, Perez's grappling advantage and proven ability to neutralize Quiñónez's movement make him the logical choice.
Quiñónez at 4.50 offers tempting value, but his path to victory requires perfect distance management and avoiding Perez's clinch work. Given their previous encounter and stylistic matchup, Perez should replicate his earlier success through superior wrestling and cage control in what promises to be a competitive but predictable outcome.
Grok tip
Alejandro Perez win
1.30
Grok prediction for Alejandro Perez vs Jose Alberto Quinonez, 29 November 2025.
The rematch between Alejandro Perez and Jose Alberto Quinonez is steeped in history, dating back to their 2014 clash in The Ultimate Fighter: Latin America finals where Perez claimed a unanimous decision victory. Now, over a decade later, Perez steps in as the heavy favorite at 1.22, leveraging his 22-9-1 record and a 64% finish rate that highlights his pressure-fighting style and grappling dominance.
Quinonez, priced at 4.50, has been active in promotions like LUX Fight League, even challenging for a featherweight title recently, but his reliance on striking and footwork could be neutralized by Perez's clinch work and ground control. While Quinonez needs to keep it standing to have a shot, Perez's experience and adaptability should shine through in this bantamweight bout.
Betting on Perez feels like a smart play here, given his edge in a potentially competitive fight that promises fireworks for MMA fans.
Quinonez, priced at 4.50, has been active in promotions like LUX Fight League, even challenging for a featherweight title recently, but his reliance on striking and footwork could be neutralized by Perez's clinch work and ground control. While Quinonez needs to keep it standing to have a shot, Perez's experience and adaptability should shine through in this bantamweight bout.
Betting on Perez feels like a smart play here, given his edge in a potentially competitive fight that promises fireworks for MMA fans.
DeepSeek tip
Alejandro Perez win
1.30
DeepSeek prediction for Alejandro Perez vs Jose Alberto Quinonez, 29 November 2025.
This rematch carries a decade of history, with Perez having already defeated Quinonez in the TUF Latin America finals back in 2014. Perez's high-pressure style and grappling expertise give him a clear path to victory, allowing him to control the fight on the ground and neutralize Quinonez's striking. While Quinonez must rely on movement and distance to succeed, Perez's adaptability and veteran experience make him the safer pick, even at steep odds of 1.22.
Qwen tip
Alejandro Perez win
1.30
Qwen prediction for Alejandro Perez vs Jose Alberto Quinonez, 29 November 2025.
This rematch between Alejandro Perez and Jose Alberto Quiñónez is steeped in history, dating back to their first encounter over a decade ago. Perez, the more experienced fighter with a 22-9-1 record, has shown resilience and adaptability throughout his career, even if his UFC run ended on a loss. His high-pressure grappling style could overwhelm Quiñónez, who prefers to keep fights standing. Despite Quiñónez's recent activity in promotions like LUX Fight League, his striking-first approach might leave him vulnerable against Perez’s clinch-heavy tactics.
The odds reflect Perez’s dominance, sitting at 1.22, while Quiñónez is listed as a significant underdog at 4.50. While betting on favorites often feels safe, the risk-reward ratio here suggests caution. However, given Perez’s superior wrestling pedigree and historical edge from their prior meeting, backing him seems prudent despite the steep price. A win for Quiñónez would require flawless execution and capitalizing on any lapses by Perez, which appears unlikely based on their track records.
Ultimately, this fight will likely hinge on whether Quiñónez can maintain distance or if Perez imposes his will early. With experience and stylistic advantages favoring Perez, he remains the smarter pick.
The odds reflect Perez’s dominance, sitting at 1.22, while Quiñónez is listed as a significant underdog at 4.50. While betting on favorites often feels safe, the risk-reward ratio here suggests caution. However, given Perez’s superior wrestling pedigree and historical edge from their prior meeting, backing him seems prudent despite the steep price. A win for Quiñónez would require flawless execution and capitalizing on any lapses by Perez, which appears unlikely based on their track records.
Ultimately, this fight will likely hinge on whether Quiñónez can maintain distance or if Perez imposes his will early. With experience and stylistic advantages favoring Perez, he remains the smarter pick.
Match News
# Alejandro Perez vs. Jose Alberto Quiñónez: Fight Preview & Context
## Fighter Matchup Analysis
This rematch carries significant historical weight, as these two Mexican bantamweights previously faced off in the finals of *The Ultimate Fighter: Latin America* tournament back in November 2014, with Perez securing a unanimous decision victory to claim the tournament title.[4] Now, over a decade later, they're set to collide again in what represents a notable reunion between former rivals.
Perez enters as the more experienced and battle-tested competitor, boasting a 22-9-1 professional record with a 64% finish rate across his career.[1] His high-pressure fighting style and grappling prowess have defined his approach inside the octagon, though his UFC tenure concluded after a unanimous decision loss to Jonathan Martinez in February 2022.[1] Quiñónez, meanwhile, has competed across multiple promotions since his UFC release in March 2021, most recently fighting in the LUX Fight League where he faced Édgar Delgado for the featherweight championship in June 2024.[2]
## Fight Dynamics & Predictions
Perez's wrestling and ground control present a significant threat to Quiñónez, who relies heavily on striking and footwork to dictate the pace.[3] For Quiñónez to succeed, he'll need to maintain distance and keep the action standing, leveraging his movement to avoid getting trapped in Perez's clinch work.[3] The bout could prove competitive, though Perez's adaptability and experience give him a slight edge in what promises to be a closely contested affair.[3]
## Fighter Matchup Analysis
This rematch carries significant historical weight, as these two Mexican bantamweights previously faced off in the finals of *The Ultimate Fighter: Latin America* tournament back in November 2014, with Perez securing a unanimous decision victory to claim the tournament title.[4] Now, over a decade later, they're set to collide again in what represents a notable reunion between former rivals.
Perez enters as the more experienced and battle-tested competitor, boasting a 22-9-1 professional record with a 64% finish rate across his career.[1] His high-pressure fighting style and grappling prowess have defined his approach inside the octagon, though his UFC tenure concluded after a unanimous decision loss to Jonathan Martinez in February 2022.[1] Quiñónez, meanwhile, has competed across multiple promotions since his UFC release in March 2021, most recently fighting in the LUX Fight League where he faced Édgar Delgado for the featherweight championship in June 2024.[2]
## Fight Dynamics & Predictions
Perez's wrestling and ground control present a significant threat to Quiñónez, who relies heavily on striking and footwork to dictate the pace.[3] For Quiñónez to succeed, he'll need to maintain distance and keep the action standing, leveraging his movement to avoid getting trapped in Perez's clinch work.[3] The bout could prove competitive, though Perez's adaptability and experience give him a slight edge in what promises to be a closely contested affair.[3]
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