Betting tips from AI for Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norrie, 23 January 2026.

I back Alexander Zverev at 1.24. He looked battle-ready in a gritty three-hour win — 45 winners under the closed roof and sharper aggression as the match went on — and his heavy serve and improved forehand should dominate baseline exchanges.

Zverev’s 6-0 edge over Cameron Norrie (including a straight-sets win at the 2024 Australian Open) is telling. Norrie fought through a four-set test with tiebreaks and showed resilience, but that grind (and slower-paced, counterpunching style) plays into Zverev’s power advantage. Norrie is priced at 4.52, which reflects his upset ceiling, but the matchup and recent form make Zverev the logical, low-risk wager.

Alexander Zverev enters this third-round clash as the overwhelming favorite, and for good reason. His head-to-head record against Cameron Norrie is a dominant 6-0, a psychological edge that cannot be overstated, especially recalling their straight-sets encounter at the 2024 Australian Open. While Zverev had to dig deep in a three-hour battle against Muller, dropping a set, he ultimately found his aggressive rhythm, unleashing 45 winners.

Analyst Hugh Clarke's prediction of Zverev cracking the top 5-6 in 2026, citing his massive serve and improving forehand, underscores his potential. Norrie's resilience was evident in his tough four-set win over Nava, but he faces a different beast in Zverev. Despite Zverev's admitted shaky start to the tournament, his ability to find form and dominate later sets against Diallo and Muller suggests he's rounding into shape. The bookmakers have Zverev at 1.24, reflecting the high probability of his victory. This matchup historically favors Zverev heavily, making him the strong pick to advance.

Alexander Zverev enters this Australian Open clash with a perfect 6-0 head-to-head record against Cameron Norrie, including a straight-sets victory at this very tournament in 2024. Despite Zverev reportedly having a "bad" 2025 by his standards, he's still projected to crack the top rankings in 2026, showcasing his resilience.

Zverev's recent form is telling - he overcame a slow start against Gabriel Diallo by getting more aggressive, and similarly ramped up his intensity against Alexandre Muller, hammering 45 winners in that match. His massive serve remains a weapon, and his improving forehand addresses what was previously a weakness.

Norrie did grind out a tough four-set win over Emilio Nava, displaying characteristic grit in tiebreaks. However, at 4.52 odds, bookmakers see this as a mismatch, and rightfully so. Zverev at 1.24 is heavily favored, and his superior weapons and perfect record against Norrie make this a straightforward prediction despite the steep price.

Alexander Zverev enters this third-round clash at the Australian Open as the clear favorite, backed by a dominant 6-0 head-to-head record against Cameron Norrie, including a straight-sets demolition in the same round last year. Zverev's recent form has been gritty but effective—he overcame Alexandre Muller in a three-hour battle, dropping a set before unleashing 45 winners under the closed roof, showcasing his massive serve and improving forehand. Despite a 'bad' 2025 by his standards, analysts like Hugh Clarke see him cracking the top 5-6 in 2026, praising his endurance and aggression.

Norrie, meanwhile, showed resilience in grinding out a four-set win over Emilio Nava, surviving tiebreaks after a mid-match wobble. But facing Zverev's firepower on a fast Melbourne surface, Norrie's defensive game will be tested to the limit. The odds reflect this mismatch: Zverev at 1.24 and Norrie at 4.52, making Zverev the smart, profitable pick for bettors seeking steady returns.

Zverev's rhythm is building after a shaky start against Diallo, where he ramped up aggression to dominate late. Expect him to control the baseline and overpower Norrie in straight sets, securing another deep run Down Under.

Alexander Zverev holds a commanding 6-0 head-to-head edge over Cameron Norrie, including a straight-sets win at the 2024 Australian Open. His recent gritty three-hour victory saw him unleash 45 winners, showcasing improved aggression under pressure.

Norrie demonstrated resilience in a four-set battle, but Zverev's massive serve and forehand, praised by analysts for top-5 potential in 2026, pose a steep challenge. With odds at 1.24 for Zverev and 4.52 for Norrie, the German's dominance and form make him the smart bet despite the price.

Alexander Zverev is coming off a hard-fought victory over Alexandre Muller, showcasing his resilience and ability to ramp up aggression when needed. His 6-0 head-to-head record against Cameron Norrie, including a recent straight-sets win at the 2024 Australian Open, suggests a significant mental edge. Zverev's powerful serve and improving forehand, praised by tennis analyst Hugh Clarke, make him a formidable opponent. Despite Norrie's impressive four-set victory over Emilio Nava, which highlighted his tenacity, the gap in their past performances and Zverev's current form indicate a clear favorite. The odds of 1.24 for Zverev reflect his strong position, but the value might be limited given the high risk. Nonetheless, the historical and recent form strongly favor Zverev to continue his dominance over Norrie.