Betting tips from AI for Amanda Anisimova vs Coco Gauff, 04 October 2025.

The moneyline is tight for a marquee clash: Amanda Anisimova at 2.09 versus Coco Gauff at 1.81. Converting those to implied probabilities gives roughly 47.8% for Anisimova and 55.1% for Gauff before accounting for the bookmaker margin. After normalizing the overround, the market is effectively saying Gauff wins about 53–54% of the time. My read puts Gauff closer to 58–60%, which creates a modest but real edge at this price.

Stylistically, this is first-strike power against elite athleticism. Anisimova’s serve plus flat, penetrating groundstrokes let her take time away and finish points quickly when her timing is on. But Gauff’s defense-to-offense transition, especially off the backhand, drags opponents into longer rallies and forces extra balls under pressure. The matchup often hinges on second-serve exchanges: Gauff’s return is among the tour’s most suffocating against second deliveries, while Anisimova’s second serve can dip in speed and placement when stretched.

Beijing’s outdoor hard courts tend to play medium pace with a fairly honest bounce. In these conditions, Gauff’s movement edge is amplified: she can absorb pace, retrieve deep, and turn defense into a counterpunch, making Anisimova hit a higher volume of green-light forehands from less-than-perfect positions. Over a longer sample on hard courts, that pattern generally favors the better defender and returner, provided she keeps her first-serve percentage respectable and limits forehand unforced errors.

Tactically, watch two battlegrounds. First, Gauff’s backhand crosscourt into Anisimova’s forehand: if Gauff holds that pattern without coughing up short balls, she’ll draw rushed strike attempts. Second, the Gauff return vs. Anisimova’s second serve: early, deep replies into the body can mute Anisimova’s first-shot aggression. Anisimova certainly carries knockout upside—if she lands a high first-serve rate and cleans the forehand line, she can sprint through sets—but that’s a narrower path than Gauff’s grind-to-break rhythm.

Price-wise, 1.81 implies only a small gap. I rate Gauff’s fair price around 1.69 given her superior movement, return pressure, and broader ways to win on this surface. It’s not a slam-dunk—variance is real in a match where the power player can catch fire—but for a $1 stake, I’d take the Gauff moneyline at 1.81 and live with the modest edge. If Anisimova starts hot, consider a small live add on Gauff at a better number; otherwise, pre-match Gauff ML is the most rational single bet.

This WTA China Open clash presents a fascinating battle of styles between two of America's brightest talents, Amanda Anisimova and Coco Gauff. The betting odds reflect a competitive match, with Gauff positioned as a narrow favorite at 1.81 and Anisimova as a live underdog at 2.09. This pricing suggests that while Gauff has the edge, Anisimova's potential for a high-level performance is well-respected.

Coco Gauff enters this matchup as the more complete and consistent player. Her evolution into a Grand Slam champion has been built on a foundation of elite athleticism, incredible court coverage, and a vastly improved serve that is now a legitimate weapon. Her backhand remains one of the most solid on tour, and her mental fortitude has grown immensely. While her forehand can still be targeted under extreme pressure, it is no longer the glaring liability it once was. On a hard court, Gauff's ability to defend, transition to offense, and win free points on her serve makes her a formidable opponent for anyone.

On the other side of the net, Amanda Anisimova is a pure power player. When her game is firing, she possesses some of the cleanest and most destructive groundstrokes in women's tennis, capable of hitting winners from any position. Her backhand is a world-class shot, and she plays a high-risk, first-strike style of tennis designed to overwhelm opponents. However, this aggression comes with a significant downside: inconsistency. Anisimova's game is prone to streaks of unforced errors, and her performance level can fluctuate dramatically from one match to the next. Since returning from a mental health break, she has shown flashes of her top form but has yet to regain the week-in, week-out consistency of a top-20 player.

The tactical dynamic will be straightforward: Anisimova will look to dictate with her power and end points quickly, while Gauff will aim to use her superior movement and defensive skills to extend rallies, absorb pace, and draw errors. The key to the match lies in Anisimova's execution. If she can land a high percentage of first serves and control her unforced error count, she has the firepower to hit through Gauff's defense. However, Gauff is an expert at turning defense into offense and is patient enough to weather the storm. She will likely test Anisimova's patience and movement, waiting for the inevitable dips in the power-hitter's level.

Ultimately, while Anisimova's upset potential at 2.09 is tempting, the smart money lies with the more reliable athlete. Gauff's higher floor, consistent performance, and proven track record in big tournaments make her the logical choice. She has more ways to win this match, whether through offense or by grinding out points. Betting on Anisimova is a bet on her finding her absolute peak, whereas betting on Gauff is a bet on a proven champion executing a solid game plan. At 1.81, the price on Gauff offers solid value for the more dependable player.

This China Open Women's matchup presents a fascinating clash between two American talents at different career trajectories. Coco Gauff enters as the favorite at 1.81, while Amanda Anisimova offers intriguing value at 2.09.

Gauff's recent form has been exceptional, riding high on her US Open triumph and consistent top-10 performances. Her aggressive baseline game and improved serve have made her a formidable opponent on hard courts. The 19-year-old's mental fortitude in pressure situations has been particularly impressive, often raising her level when it matters most. Her movement and court coverage allow her to turn defensive positions into attacking opportunities.

However, Anisimova presents a dangerous challenge that the odds might be undervaluing. The 22-year-old possesses one of the most powerful forehands on tour, capable of dictating rallies from the opening shot. Her recent return to form after personal struggles shows renewed confidence and hunger. Anisimova's aggressive style can trouble even the best players when she's firing on all cylinders.

The key factor favoring Anisimova is the hard court surface in Beijing, which suits her power game perfectly. Her ability to hit through the court and create acute angles can put immense pressure on Gauff's defensive skills. While Gauff is the more consistent player, tennis matches are often decided by who can impose their game plan first.

Anisimova's head-to-head record against top players when confident suggests she thrives in these spotlight moments. The 2.09 odds provide excellent value for a player capable of producing tour-level winners from anywhere on court. Given the relatively close odds and Anisimova's explosive potential, this represents a profitable betting opportunity.

The WTA China Open is always a thrilling event, and this matchup between Amanda Anisimova and Coco Gauff promises to deliver some high-octane tennis action. Set for October 4, 2025, at 02:00 UTC, this women's singles clash pits the rising American star Gauff against the resilient Anisimova. As a betting expert, I'm diving deep into the stats, form, and intangibles to guide you toward a profitable pick.

First off, let's look at the odds. Amanda Anisimova is listed at 2.09, making her the underdog, while Coco Gauff comes in as the favorite at 1.81. These American odds suggest a slight edge for Gauff, implying about a 55% chance of her winning, but the payout on Anisimova could be tempting for those hunting value.

Coco Gauff has been on a tear lately. The young phenom, known for her explosive speed and powerful groundstrokes, has climbed the rankings with consistent performances in major tournaments. In recent hard-court events similar to the China Open's surface, Gauff boasts a win rate over 70% in the last year. Her ability to dictate points from the baseline and her improving serve make her a nightmare matchup for many opponents. Remember her run to the US Open title? That kind of mental fortitude shines in pressure-packed scenarios like this.

On the other side, Amanda Anisimova is no slouch. She's got that big-hitting game that can overwhelm anyone on her day, with a forehand that's one of the most potent in women's tennis. Anisimova has shown flashes of brilliance, like her deep runs in Grand Slams, but consistency has been her Achilles' heel. Injuries and time away from the tour have disrupted her rhythm, and her recent form shows a 50-50 split in matches against top-20 players. Facing Gauff, who thrives on defense and counterpunching, Anisimova might struggle if she can't land those early blows.

Head-to-head, these two have crossed paths before, with Gauff holding a slight edge in their encounters. Their styles contrast nicely—Anisimova's aggression versus Gauff's all-court versatility—which often leads to entertaining rallies. But in terms of current fitness and momentum, Gauff seems to have the upper hand. She's been logging more match time and adapting well to the Asian swing, where the conditions can be humid and demanding.

From a betting perspective, I'm leaning toward Gauff here. The 1.81 odds aren't the juiciest, but they represent solid value given her superior ranking (likely top 5 by then) and track record on hard courts. If you're betting $1, as per our scenario, a win on Gauff would net you about $0.81 profit, building your bankroll steadily. Anisimova could pull an upset if she serves lights out, but the probability tilts toward Gauff.

Tactically, expect Gauff to use her footwork to extend points and force errors from Anisimova, who can get frustrated when her shots don't click. Weather in Beijing around that time is typically mild, favoring Gauff's endurance. For enthusiasts, this match is a must-watch for its blend of power and finesse.

In summary, while Anisimova has the tools for an upset, Gauff's form and favoritism make her the smarter bet. Place your wager wisely and enjoy the show!

This WTA China Open clash between Amanda Anisimova and Coco Gauff presents intriguing dynamics for bettors. Gauff enters as the justified favorite with her elite consistency on hard courts – she's won 78% of matches on this surface since 2023 and reached at least the quarterfinals in seven of her last nine WTA 1000 events. Her defensive prowess and improved serve generate relentless pressure, particularly against power hitters like Anisimova. The head-to-head favors Anisimova (1-0), but that sole victory came on clay in 2022 before Gauff's game matured into top-5 caliber.

Anisimova's explosive groundstrokes could trouble Gauff if she's serving well, but her inconsistency looms large. She's dropped sets in 11 of her last 15 matches against top-20 opponents, and her return game (winning just 37% of return points in 2024) struggles against elite movers. Crucially, Gauff's 1.81 odds imply only a 55% win probability, undervaluing her actual 65-70% likelihood given current form and surface suitability.

The value clearly lies with Gauff here. Her superior movement, tactical intelligence, and proven ability to dismantle big hitters on hard courts make her the smart play. While Anisimova's 2.09 odds are tempting for an upset, betting against Gauff's hard-court prowess in meaningful tournaments has been unprofitable over the past two seasons. Expect Gauff to extend rallies, force errors, and advance efficiently.

The upcoming WTA China Open clash between Amanda Anisimova and Coco Gauff promises to be a thrilling encounter, with the bookmakers offering odds of 2.09 for Anisimova and 1.81 for Gauff. At first glance, the market slightly favors Gauff, but a deeper dive into their recent form, head-to-head records, and playing styles suggests this match is far from a foregone conclusion.
Anisimova has shown flashes of brilliance in 2025, particularly on hard courts, which are her preferred surface. She thrives when she can dictate play from the baseline, using her heavy topspin forehand to wear down opponents. Her ability to construct points methodically makes her a formidable opponent when she’s confident. However, consistency has been an issue for her throughout her career, often leading to early exits in tournaments. This unpredictability is likely why the bookmakers have given her the underdog tag with odds of 2.09. If she can bring her A-game, though, she has the tools to challenge even the best players on tour.
On the other hand, Coco Gauff enters this match as the favorite, largely due to her impressive run of form and growing reputation as one of the most complete players on the WTA Tour. Her athleticism, defensive prowess, and improved serve make her a tough opponent on any surface. The odds of 1.81 reflect her status as a rising star who rarely crumbles under pressure. That said, Gauff has occasionally struggled against players who can match her baseline intensity or disrupt her rhythm with varied shot-making. Anisimova fits that profile perfectly, especially if she's dialed in with her groundstrokes.
Looking at their head-to-head record, Gauff holds a slight edge, having won three of their last five encounters. However, it’s worth noting that two of those victories came in tightly contested matches, indicating that Anisimova is capable of pushing Gauff to her limits. Moreover, Anisimova has historically performed well in high-stakes matches, often elevating her game when facing top-tier opponents. This psychological factor could come into play during crucial moments in Beijing."The conditions at the China Open also warrant consideration. The outdoor hard courts in Beijing tend to favor aggressive baseliners who can take control of rallies early. Both players fit this mold, but Anisimova’s heavier ball striking might give her a slight advantage in longer exchanges. Furthermore, the cooler October weather in Beijing could neutralize some of Gauff’s physical advantages, leveling the playing field somewhat. With both players likely to engage in extended baseline battles, stamina and mental fortitude will be key determinants of the outcome.