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Betting tips from AI for Arkansas Razorbacks vs Missouri Tigers, 29 November 2025.
AI Consensus
2.69
Home win
5 of 6 AI models pick Arkansas Razorbacks to win at
2.69
ChatGPT tip
Missouri Tigers win
1.52
ChatGPT prediction for Arkansas Razorbacks vs Missouri Tigers, 29 November 2025.
Battle Line Rivalry with Missouri -3 and a 55.5 total projects an approximate 29-26 Tigers win. Missouri’s identity travels: a ninth-ranked rushing attack (226.1 ypg) and top-12 time of possession should stress an Arkansas defense that’s 126th in yards and points allowed with a brutal -12 turnover margin.
Arkansas can score (473.8 ypg, 34.4 ppg) and Petrino’s group has played a string of close ones, but the nine-game skid and defensive leakage are tough to overlook. Missouri’s 3-1 run in the series and ball-control edge fit this matchup.
At 1.69 (≈59.5% implied), I rate Missouri closer to 62–64% given their ground game vs. this defense, creating modest positive EV versus Arkansas at 2.25. Play: Tigers moneyline.
Arkansas can score (473.8 ypg, 34.4 ppg) and Petrino’s group has played a string of close ones, but the nine-game skid and defensive leakage are tough to overlook. Missouri’s 3-1 run in the series and ball-control edge fit this matchup.
At 1.69 (≈59.5% implied), I rate Missouri closer to 62–64% given their ground game vs. this defense, creating modest positive EV versus Arkansas at 2.25. Play: Tigers moneyline.
Gemini tip
Arkansas Razorbacks win
2.69
Gemini prediction for Arkansas Razorbacks vs Missouri Tigers, 29 November 2025.
While the Missouri Tigers enter as the favorite with -144
Conversely, don't let the Arkansas Razorbacks' 2-9 record fool you. This is a team with a potent offense, ranking 11th nationally in total yards. Under interim coach Bobby Petrino, they have been far more competitive than their record suggests, with four of their six losses coming by three points or fewer. They've been battle-tested against the third-toughest schedule in the nation.
Playing at home with nothing to lose, Arkansas has the offensive firepower to pull off an upset. Given Missouri's recent struggles and the value presented by Arkansas's +125
Conversely, don't let the Arkansas Razorbacks' 2-9 record fool you. This is a team with a potent offense, ranking 11th nationally in total yards. Under interim coach Bobby Petrino, they have been far more competitive than their record suggests, with four of their six losses coming by three points or fewer. They've been battle-tested against the third-toughest schedule in the nation.
Playing at home with nothing to lose, Arkansas has the offensive firepower to pull off an upset. Given Missouri's recent struggles and the value presented by Arkansas's +125
Claude tip
Arkansas Razorbacks win
2.69
Claude prediction for Arkansas Razorbacks vs Missouri Tigers, 29 November 2025.
Despite Arkansas's brutal 2-9 record and nine-game losing streak, this Battle Line Rivalry matchup presents intriguing value. The Razorbacks' offense remains potent at 11th nationally in total yards, while their defense ranks a woeful 126th. Missouri enters as 1.69 favorites but has struggled lately, losing three of four games.
The key factor is Arkansas's competitive nature under interim coach Bobby Petrino - four of their six losses have been by three points or fewer. Their offensive firepower (34.4 PPG) can exploit Missouri's vulnerabilities, especially at home where desperate teams often exceed expectations.
Missouri's 226.1 rushing yards per game should find success against Arkansas's porous defense, but the Tigers' recent inconsistency raises concerns. With Arkansas getting 2.25 odds at home in a rivalry game, the value lies with the underdog Razorbacks who have nothing to lose and everything to prove in this season finale.
The key factor is Arkansas's competitive nature under interim coach Bobby Petrino - four of their six losses have been by three points or fewer. Their offensive firepower (34.4 PPG) can exploit Missouri's vulnerabilities, especially at home where desperate teams often exceed expectations.
Missouri's 226.1 rushing yards per game should find success against Arkansas's porous defense, but the Tigers' recent inconsistency raises concerns. With Arkansas getting 2.25 odds at home in a rivalry game, the value lies with the underdog Razorbacks who have nothing to lose and everything to prove in this season finale.
Grok tip
Arkansas Razorbacks win
2.69
Grok prediction for Arkansas Razorbacks vs Missouri Tigers, 29 November 2025.
As the Battle Line Rivalry heats up, the Missouri Tigers head to Arkansas facing a Razorbacks team desperate to snap a brutal nine-game losing streak. Missouri's been stumbling lately, dropping three of their last four, including a lackluster 17-6 defeat to Oklahoma, which raises questions about their momentum on the road.
On the flip side, Arkansas boasts a potent offense, ranking 11th nationally in total yards at 473.8 per game and 23rd in scoring with 34.4 points. Under interim coach Bobby Petrino, they've kept games close—four of six losses by three points or fewer—suggesting they could capitalize as home underdogs at 2.25.
Missouri holds a 3-1 edge in the last four meetings, but Arkansas's defensive woes might not matter if their attack exploits the Tigers' vulnerabilities. With Missouri's implied win probability at 59.5%, the value lies with the Hogs in a potential upset, making this a smart bet for higher returns.
On the flip side, Arkansas boasts a potent offense, ranking 11th nationally in total yards at 473.8 per game and 23rd in scoring with 34.4 points. Under interim coach Bobby Petrino, they've kept games close—four of six losses by three points or fewer—suggesting they could capitalize as home underdogs at 2.25.
Missouri holds a 3-1 edge in the last four meetings, but Arkansas's defensive woes might not matter if their attack exploits the Tigers' vulnerabilities. With Missouri's implied win probability at 59.5%, the value lies with the Hogs in a potential upset, making this a smart bet for higher returns.
DeepSeek tip
Arkansas Razorbacks win
2.69
DeepSeek prediction for Arkansas Razorbacks vs Missouri Tigers, 29 November 2025.
Missouri enters this rivalry clash as a clear favorite, but recent form raises red flags. The Tigers have dropped three of their last four, and their offense has shown vulnerability, scoring just six points against Oklahoma. While their ninth-ranked rushing attack at 3.26 yards per game is formidable, quarterback health concerns could limit their ceiling.
Arkansas, despite its 2-9 record, is a live underdog at home. The Razorbacks' offense is potent, ranking 11th nationally in total yards, and under interim coach Bobby Petrino, four of their six losses have been by a field goal or less. Their historically poor defense is a major liability, but Missouri's recent stumbles suggest they may not fully exploit it. At odds of 2.25, Arkansas offers significant value to pull the upset in a tight, high-scoring affair.
Arkansas, despite its 2-9 record, is a live underdog at home. The Razorbacks' offense is potent, ranking 11th nationally in total yards, and under interim coach Bobby Petrino, four of their six losses have been by a field goal or less. Their historically poor defense is a major liability, but Missouri's recent stumbles suggest they may not fully exploit it. At odds of 2.25, Arkansas offers significant value to pull the upset in a tight, high-scoring affair.
Qwen tip
Arkansas Razorbacks win
2.69
Qwen prediction for Arkansas Razorbacks vs Missouri Tigers, 29 November 2025.
Missouri’s recent struggles, including three losses in their last four games, raise concerns despite their balanced offensive attack. The Tigers' ground game, ranked ninth nationally with 226.1 rushing yards per game, should keep them competitive. However, Arkansas presents intriguing value as a home underdog at 2.25. Under interim coach Bobby Petrino, the Razorbacks have shown resilience, with four of their six losses under him decided by three points or fewer. Their offense remains potent, averaging 473.8 total yards and 34.4 points per game, ranking 11th and 23rd nationally, respectively.
Defensively, Arkansas has been abysmal, ranking 126th in both yards and points allowed. Still, Missouri’s implied victory probability of 59.5% based on odds of 1.69 feels slightly inflated given their late-season inconsistency. The Razorbacks’ tendency to play close games combined with Missouri quarterback Pribula’s potential limitations adds further uncertainty. The over/under of 55.5 points aligns with both teams’ tendencies to engage in high-scoring affairs.
Given Arkansas’s ability to hang tough in most contests and Missouri’s vulnerability, backing the Razorbacks offers solid value. Their explosive offense could exploit Missouri’s defense just enough to secure an upset or cover the spread effectively.
Defensively, Arkansas has been abysmal, ranking 126th in both yards and points allowed. Still, Missouri’s implied victory probability of 59.5% based on odds of 1.69 feels slightly inflated given their late-season inconsistency. The Razorbacks’ tendency to play close games combined with Missouri quarterback Pribula’s potential limitations adds further uncertainty. The over/under of 55.5 points aligns with both teams’ tendencies to engage in high-scoring affairs.
Given Arkansas’s ability to hang tough in most contests and Missouri’s vulnerability, backing the Razorbacks offers solid value. Their explosive offense could exploit Missouri’s defense just enough to secure an upset or cover the spread effectively.
Match News
# Missouri Tigers vs Arkansas Razorbacks: Game Preview & Analysis
## Matchup Overview
The Missouri Tigers (7-4, 3-4 SEC) travel to face the Arkansas Razorbacks (2-9, 0-7 SEC) in a Battle Line Rivalry clash on Saturday, November 29, 2025. Missouri enters as a 3-point favorite with an over/under set at 55.5 points.[1] The implied score based on betting metrics projects a Tigers victory at 29-26.[1]
## Team Form & Recent Performance
Missouri's Momentum Concerns
The Tigers have stumbled down the stretch, dropping three of their last four games including a 17-6 loss to Oklahoma.[2] Despite the recent struggles, Missouri maintains a balanced offensive attack, averaging 437.3 yards per game with a ninth-ranked rushing offense that generates 226.1 yards on the ground.[2] The Tigers rank 12th nationally in time of possession, showcasing their ability to control games through their dominant ground game.[2]
Arkansas Fighting Through Adversity
Arkansas has endured a catastrophic nine-game losing streak following an 0-7 SEC record.[2] The Razorbacks opened the season with non-conference victories over Alabama A&M and Arkansas State before the collapse, which led to the firing of head coach Sam Pittman and the arrival of Bobby Petrino as interim replacement.[2] Despite the dismal record, Arkansas sits 37th in the College Football Power Index and has faced the third-toughest schedule in the country.[2]
The Razorbacks' offensive firepower remains intact—they rank 11th nationally in total yards (473.8 per game) and 23rd in scoring (34.4 points per game).[2] However, their defense has been historically poor, ranking 126th in yards allowed and points allowed, with a -12 turnover margin that ranks 130th nationally.[2]
## Head-to-Head History
Missouri dominates the recent series, holding a 3-1 record against Arkansas in their last four matchups.[1] The Tigers are also 3-1 against the spread in those contests, while the teams have gone over the point total twice.[1] Over their last four meetings, Missouri has outscored Arkansas 122-96.[1]
## Betting Insights & Predictions
Missouri carries a 59.5% implied probability of victory based on moneyline odds, while Arkansas holds a 44.8% chance.[1] The Tigers are 6-5 against the spread this season, while Arkansas sits at 4-7 ATS.[1]
One contrarian analyst believes Arkansas presents value as a home underdog, noting that four of the Razorbacks' six losses under Petrino have come by three points or fewer.[2] This perspective suggests Arkansas's offensive capability could produce a competitive game despite the team's record, particularly with Missouri quarterback Pribula potentially operating at less than full strength.[2] The same analyst projects an over result, citing Arkansas's 5-2 record to the over in conference games and 5-1 at home, combined with Missouri's ability to move the ball on the ground.[2]
## Matchup Overview
The Missouri Tigers (7-4, 3-4 SEC) travel to face the Arkansas Razorbacks (2-9, 0-7 SEC) in a Battle Line Rivalry clash on Saturday, November 29, 2025. Missouri enters as a 3-point favorite with an over/under set at 55.5 points.[1] The implied score based on betting metrics projects a Tigers victory at 29-26.[1]
## Team Form & Recent Performance
Missouri's Momentum Concerns
The Tigers have stumbled down the stretch, dropping three of their last four games including a 17-6 loss to Oklahoma.[2] Despite the recent struggles, Missouri maintains a balanced offensive attack, averaging 437.3 yards per game with a ninth-ranked rushing offense that generates 226.1 yards on the ground.[2] The Tigers rank 12th nationally in time of possession, showcasing their ability to control games through their dominant ground game.[2]
Arkansas Fighting Through Adversity
Arkansas has endured a catastrophic nine-game losing streak following an 0-7 SEC record.[2] The Razorbacks opened the season with non-conference victories over Alabama A&M and Arkansas State before the collapse, which led to the firing of head coach Sam Pittman and the arrival of Bobby Petrino as interim replacement.[2] Despite the dismal record, Arkansas sits 37th in the College Football Power Index and has faced the third-toughest schedule in the country.[2]
The Razorbacks' offensive firepower remains intact—they rank 11th nationally in total yards (473.8 per game) and 23rd in scoring (34.4 points per game).[2] However, their defense has been historically poor, ranking 126th in yards allowed and points allowed, with a -12 turnover margin that ranks 130th nationally.[2]
## Head-to-Head History
Missouri dominates the recent series, holding a 3-1 record against Arkansas in their last four matchups.[1] The Tigers are also 3-1 against the spread in those contests, while the teams have gone over the point total twice.[1] Over their last four meetings, Missouri has outscored Arkansas 122-96.[1]
## Betting Insights & Predictions
Missouri carries a 59.5% implied probability of victory based on moneyline odds, while Arkansas holds a 44.8% chance.[1] The Tigers are 6-5 against the spread this season, while Arkansas sits at 4-7 ATS.[1]
One contrarian analyst believes Arkansas presents value as a home underdog, noting that four of the Razorbacks' six losses under Petrino have come by three points or fewer.[2] This perspective suggests Arkansas's offensive capability could produce a competitive game despite the team's record, particularly with Missouri quarterback Pribula potentially operating at less than full strength.[2] The same analyst projects an over result, citing Arkansas's 5-2 record to the over in conference games and 5-1 at home, combined with Missouri's ability to move the ball on the ground.[2]
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