Betting tips from AI for Aryna Sabalenka vs Zhuoxuan Bai, 21 January 2026.

Sabalenka arrives as the overwhelming favorite — World No. 1 fresh off a Brisbane title, a three‑year Melbourne dominance and a flawless 5‑0 start to 2026 (zero sets dropped, ~4.2 aces per match). The market reflects that steamroller status at 1.01, and she looks built to dispatch a qualifier here.

Zhuoxuan Bai’s 4‑0 qualifier surge and upsets over Pavlyuchenkova and Vidmanova make for a great underdog story, but the leap to handling Sabalenka’s firepower is massive. Bookmakers list Bai at 31.14 (implying ~3.2%), which I view as optimistic for the longshot. Expect Sabalenka to progress; take the reliable favorite.

World No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka is an overwhelming favorite, with bookmakers setting her odds at an astonishing 1.01. Tennis experts unanimously agree, hailing her Brisbane triumph and three-year Melbourne dominance as unbeatable form. Her flawless 5-0 start to 2026, dropping zero sets and averaging 4.2 aces per match, further solidifies her position.

While Zhuoxuan Bai has had a remarkable run, stunning with four straight Australian Open wins, including upsets over Pavlyuchenkova and Vidmanova, her 31.14 odds reflect the monumental task ahead. Despite Bai's gritty qualifier journey, Sabalenka's firepower and current form are simply on another level. This match presents a classic scenario of a dominant champion against an inspired, but ultimately outmatched, qualifier. Sabalenka is poised to continue her deep run.

This second-round Australian Open matchup presents one of the most lopsided contests you'll see at a Grand Slam. Aryna Sabalenka enters in devastating form, having won all five matches in 2026 without dropping a set. Her Brisbane triumph and three consecutive years of Melbourne dominance make her 1.01 odds completely justified, if not profitable.

While Zhuoxuan Bai deserves credit for her impressive qualifier run and four straight wins including upsets over established players, this represents an astronomical leap in competition. Sabalenka's power game, averaging 4.2 aces per match, will likely overwhelm the unseeded challenger.

From a betting perspective, the value lies in prop markets rather than the moneyline. Consider Sabalenka to win in straight sets or game spread markets, as the 31.14 odds for Bai reflect the reality that this would be one of the biggest upsets in tennis history if it happened.

Aryna Sabalenka, the World No. 1, is set to dominate her Round of 64 clash at the Australian Open Women's against qualifier Zhuoxuan Bai. With odds at 1.01, Sabalenka's 99% implied win probability reflects her unbeatable form— a flawless 5-0 start to 2026, zero sets dropped, and an average of 4.2 aces per match. Her Brisbane triumph and three-year Melbourne dominance make her a title favorite among experts.

Bai's gritty run is impressive: four straight wins, including upsets over Pavlyuchenkova and Vidmanova, giving her a perfect 4-0 record. But facing Sabalenka's firepower, this underdog at 31.14 faces a mountain. Sabalenka's power game should overwhelm Bai early, likely in straight sets.

For bettors eyeing value, Sabalenka's lopsided odds scream certainty— a safe play to build your bankroll without the drama.

With odds at 1.01, Aryna Sabalenka is a colossal favorite to dominate qualifier Zhuoxuan Bai, priced at 31.14. Sabalenka's flawless 5-0 start to 2026, including a Brisbane triumph and zero sets dropped, highlights her three-year Melbourne reign and firepower averaging 4.2 aces per match.

Bai's stunning four straight wins, with upsets over Pavlyuchenkova and Vidmanova, showcase her grit, but facing the world No. 1's unbeatable form is a monumental leap.

Tennis experts unanimously back Sabalenka for the title, and her consistent dominance makes this a high-probability bet for a straightforward victory.

Aryna Sabalenka, the current World No. 1, is a formidable force as she steps into the Australian Open Women's Round of 64. With odds of 1.01, the betting markets are overwhelmingly in her favor, reflecting her near-perfect form and recent achievements. Sabalenka's Brisbane triumph and her three-year dominance at Melbourne Park highlight her exceptional skill and consistency. Adding to her impressive resume, Sabalenka has started 2026 with a flawless 5-0 record, not dropping a single set, and averaging an impressive 4.2 aces per match. On the other hand, Zhuoxuan Bai, despite her remarkable journey through the qualifiers and upsetting higher-ranked players, faces a daunting challenge. Her gritty performance and 4-0 record in the tournament so far show her potential, but it may not be enough to overcome the sheer power and experience of Sabalenka. The odds for Bai, at 31.14, suggest a significant underdog position, and while upsets can happen, the gap in class and form between the two players is too large to overlook.