Betting tips from AI for Baltimore Ravens vs New England Patriots, 22 December 2025.

I favor the New England Patriots on the moneyline at 2.50 because this market underprices clear weaknesses for Baltimore.

Yes, sportsbooks list the Ravens as favorites at 1.58, but Lamar Jackson's illness, Baltimore's back-to-back home losses and a shaky pass defense create opportunity. New England has scored 23+ points in 11 straight games and Drake Maye's mobility should stress the Ravens' secondary. Derrick Henry may help Baltimore, but the Pats' consistent scoring and matchup advantages in the passing game make the underdog price attractive.

At +150 a small $1 play on New England offers strong upside if you believe their win chance sits nearer to the mid-40s rather than the ~40% the line implies.

The Baltimore Ravens are heavily favored at 1.58 for this M&T Bank Stadium showdown, yet this encounter promises more tension than a simple favorite's walkover. Despite their dominant 24-0 road victory against Cincinnati, the Ravens have suffered two consecutive home losses, creating an urgent need to perform. Lamar Jackson's reported illness is a concern, though the expectation is for Derrick Henry to be a red-zone force. The Patriots, however, boast a strong run defense, which could limit Henry's impact. Crucially, New England's offense has been consistent, scoring 23+ points in 11 straight games, and a betting analyst even pushes their team total over 23.5 points. This is particularly relevant given Baltimore's shaky pass defense, which concedes over eight yards per throw. Patriots QB Drake Maye is also projected to scramble for 28+ rushing yards. While the Patriots have the tools to make this a tight affair and exploit Baltimore's defensive vulnerabilities, the Ravens' overall talent and hunger to rectify their home record should ultimately prevail, albeit in a hard-fought contest.

The Ravens come into this matchup with contradictory momentum - a dominant 24-0 road win over Cincinnati showcasing their rushing prowess, but concerning back-to-back home losses that raise questions about their consistency at M&T Bank Stadium. While Baltimore is favored at 1.58, there's reason for caution.

Lamar Jackson's illness compounds concerns, potentially limiting the Ravens' offensive ceiling. Meanwhile, Patriots rookie QB Drake Maye has shown dual-threat capabilities, with analysts projecting 28+ rushing yards against Baltimore's defense.

Most telling is New England's offensive consistency - scoring 23+ points in eleven straight games - against a Ravens pass defense allowing over eight yards per throw. The Patriots' strong run defense could also neutralize Baltimore's primary strength.

Despite these factors, Derrick Henry's red-zone effectiveness should be the difference-maker for Baltimore. The Ravens' rushing attack (189 yards last week) should eventually wear down New England's defense, securing a narrow home victory.

In this NFL clash at M&T Bank Stadium, the Baltimore Ravens enter as heavy favorites at 1.58, but the New England Patriots at 2.50 present intriguing value for bettors eyeing an upset. Baltimore's recent dominance shone through in a 24-0 road shutout of Cincinnati, racking up 189 rushing yards behind Derrick Henry, who's primed to exploit New England's stout run defense. Yet, Lamar Jackson's illness adds uncertainty, potentially hampering the Ravens' explosive offense amid back-to-back home stumbles.

Meanwhile, the Patriots are on fire, scoring 23+ points in 11 straight games, with rookie QB Drake Maye poised to scramble for 28+ rushing yards against Baltimore's tricky but vulnerable pass defense that surrenders over eight yards per throw. Analysts are bullish on New England's team total over 23.5, signaling they could keep pace in a projected nail-biter like 33-27. While the books peg Baltimore's win probability at 62%, the Pats' momentum and Baltimore's inconsistencies make this a prime spot to bet on the underdog for profit.

Betting $1 on the Patriots at 2.50 could yield solid returns if Maye's mobility and the team's scoring streak shine through, turning this into a high-reward play for savvy fans.

The Ravens are installed as 1.58 favorites, yet Lamar Jackson's illness and back-to-back home losses inject risk. New England's offense has topped 23 points in 11 consecutive games, and their run defense can stifle Baltimore's strength.

However, the Ravens' dominant 24-0 road win over Cincinnati, coupled with their improving offense, suggests they can overcome these hurdles. With the Patriots at 2.50, there's value in the underdog, but Baltimore's superior roster should secure a narrow victory.

The Baltimore Ravens enter this Week 16 clash as clear favorites with odds of 1.58, reflecting their strong offensive performance and dominant defensive showing in recent weeks. Their 24-0 shutout of Cincinnati showcased their ability to control games on both sides of the ball, particularly through a punishing rushing attack that amassed 189 yards. However, the absence of Lamar Jackson due to illness could be a significant factor. While Derrick Henry is expected to play a pivotal role in the red zone, his presence alone may not fully compensate for Jackson's dual-threat capabilities.

On the other side, the New England Patriots, listed at 2.50, bring momentum from their consistent scoring streak, having tallied 23+ points in 11 consecutive games. Rookie QB Drake Maye’s mobility could exploit gaps in Baltimore’s defense, which has shown vulnerability against the pass, allowing over eight yards per attempt. If Maye can extend plays and find open receivers downfield, the Patriots have a real chance to keep this game competitive—or even pull off the upset.

Despite the Ravens' home struggles in their last two games, their overall talent edge and M&T Bank Stadium advantage make them the safer bet. Sportsbooks project a close contest, but Baltimore’s superior roster depth should ultimately prevail.