Betting tips from AI for Billy Polkinghorn vs Jomar Paliwen, 16 January 2026.

I back Jomar Paliwen to pull the upset against Billy Polkinghorn. Paliwen’s on a clear upswing—recent wins over Randy Tanodra, Yudai Yakabu and Glenn Bismanos—and Dan Rafael singled this 6-round lightweight as a can’t-miss undercard gem, suggesting the bout has real competitive juice.
Bookmakers have heavy money on Polkinghorn at 1.05, which creates value on the underdog. Paliwen’s activity, experience (his 12th pro outing) and proven work-rate mean he can pressure the less-tested Polkinghorn and either nick a decision or force late trouble. A $1 bet on Paliwen at 12.82 offers strong upside versus the stale favorite.

In this lightweight clash, Billy Polkinghorn enters the ring as a formidable favorite, with bookmakers listing him at 1.05. While Jomar Paliwen has garnered attention for his recent 'hot streak' and boasts more professional bouts, the overwhelming odds suggest a significant gulf in class or potential that isn't immediately apparent from mere win-loss records. Paliwen's wins against Randy Tanodra, Yudai Yakabu, and Glenn Bismanos show consistency, and his experience is certainly a factor.

However, Polkinghorn is spotlighted by veteran boxing scribe Dan Rafael as a 'key undercard gem' on a 'stacked Australian lineup.' This indicates he is a highly-regarded prospect with significant backing. Despite being 'lesser-tested,' the market's conviction in Polkinghorn's ability is undeniable. The massive disparity in odds, with Paliwen at 12.82, points to a clear expectation of Polkinghorn dominating this encounter. While Paliwen aims for a 'statement victory,' the smart money remains firmly on Polkinghorn to deliver a commanding performance and extend his promising career.

The Brisbane card features an intriguing lightweight clash between Billy Polkinghorn and the more experienced Jomar Paliwen. While Polkinghorn enters as a heavy 1.05 favorite, I'm looking beyond the odds at Paliwen's recent momentum. The Filipino fighter is on a notable win streak, having dispatched Randy Tanodra, Yudai Yakabu, and Glenn Bismanos in his recent outings. This activity and proven experience across 11 professional bouts gives him a significant edge over the less-tested Polkinghorn.

Despite the overwhelming odds favoring Polkinghorn, Paliwen at 12.82 represents tremendous value. His busy fight schedule has kept him sharp, and as Dan Rafael noted in his preview, this bout stands as a key undercard attraction for good reason. When fighters are this mismatched in the odds but closely matched in reality, the underdog often delivers. Paliwen's experience advantage should prove decisive in this 6-round contest, making him my pick for a potential upset special on the Brisbane card.

In the bustling Brisbane boxing scene, Billy Polkinghorn faces Jomar Paliwen in a 6-round lightweight showdown that's generating buzz as an undercard highlight. Polkinghorn, listed as a massive favorite at 1.05, carries the weight of home expectations, but Paliwen's momentum can't be ignored. The Filipino scrapper enters his 12th pro fight on a tear, fresh off triumphs over Randy Tanodra, Yudai Yakabu, and Glenn Bismanos—wins that showcase his relentless pressure and finishing power.

Polkinghorn, while promising, remains lesser-tested against this caliber of grinder. Veteran scribe Dan Rafael calls this a 'key undercard gem' amid a stacked card headlined by Nikita Tszyu vs. Michael Zerafa, but Paliwen's busy schedule and hot streak suggest he's primed for an upset. At 12.82 for the away fighter, the value screams underdog potential in a sport where experience often trumps hype.

This clash pits raw prospect against seasoned warrior, and I'm betting Paliwen's volume and durability force a statement win, flipping the script on the odds.

In a thrilling lightweight undercard clash on Brisbane's stacked lineup, veteran scribe Dan Rafael spotlights Billy Polkinghorn vs. Jomar Paliwen as a gem. Paliwen rides a hot streak with wins over Tanodra, Yakabu, and Bismanos, entering his 12th pro bout with confidence and momentum.
Polkinghorn, lesser-tested, aims to upset but faces a seasoned opponent who has proven his mettle in recent bouts. The odds heavily favor Polkinghorn at 1.05, while Paliwen offers enticing value at 12.82.
For betting profitability, Paliwen's experience and current form suggest he's underrated by the market, making him a smart pick for an upset in this six-round lightweight collision.

Billy Polkinghorn enters this lightweight clash as a heavy favorite with odds of 1.05, and for good reason. The Brisbane card, highlighted by veteran scribe Dan Rafael, places this bout in the spotlight despite it being an undercard fight. Polkinghorn’s challenge against Jomar Paliwen is intriguing because it pits a relatively lesser-tested fighter against a seasoned opponent riding a wave of momentum.

Paliwen’s recent streak includes wins over Randy Tanodra, Yudai Yakabu, and Glenn Bismanos, showcasing his ability to handle various styles. However, this will be his 12th pro bout, while Polkinghorn remains somewhat unproven at this level. The odds for Paliwen stand at 12.82, reflecting his underdog status, but his experience could make him a live dog in this matchup.

That said, Polkinghorn has home advantage in a stacked Australian lineup headlined by Nikita Tszyu vs. Michael Zerafa. The energy of the crowd and the pressure of the big stage might favor the local fighter. Moreover, six rounds provide limited time for Paliwen to adjust if Polkinghorn starts strong. Given the dynamics, backing the favorite seems like the safer, more profitable play despite the steep odds.