Betting tips from AI for Birmingham City vs Southampton, 29 December 2025.

St Andrew’s promises an end-of-year scrap: pundit Will Evans-Jones expects a tight draw, but deeper read of form points to a narrow Birmingham edge.
Birmingham have scored most of their goals at home and, despite inconsistent results and recent red cards in a 1-1 draw with Derby, they create clear chances at St Andrew’s. Southampton arrive off a frustrating run — a 2-1 loss at Oxford and a pattern of poor finishing — and have just one clean sheet in 13, which undermines their defensive reliability.
Bookmakers give Birmingham the slight nod at 2.37, with Southampton at 2.92 and the Draw at 3.49. I back Birmingham City: home momentum and attacking value make 2.37 the best $1 play here.

This EFL Championship clash at St Andrew's looks set to be a tightly contested affair, with the bookmakers seeing Birmingham City as a slight favorite at 2.37. However, the smart money might be on a draw, priced attractively at 3.49. Pundit Will Evans-Jones backs this outcome, citing Birmingham's home momentum, which could frustrate a Southampton side struggling for consistency. The Saints arrive after a 2-1 defeat at Oxford and a winless run, exposing finishing issues despite retaining possession.

Meanwhile, Birmingham, fresh off a 1-1 draw with Derby, are still searching for form. Both teams have leaky defenses – Birmingham hasn't kept a clean sheet in several matches, and Southampton has managed just one in their last 13. This, combined with a head-to-head history of open, high-scoring encounters, strongly suggests goals from both sides. Expect a lively, end-of-year fixture where neither team can quite secure all three points.

Birmingham City's home advantage looks crucial in this Championship clash against a Southampton side struggling for form. The Blues' strong scoring record at St Andrew's, coupled with Southampton's defensive fragility (just one clean sheet in their last 13 matches), creates a perfect storm for the hosts.

Southampton's recent 2-1 defeat at Oxford highlighted their finishing issues despite dominating possession. With Birmingham priced at 2.48, there's value in backing the home side who will be buoyed by their passionate support.

While Will Evans-Jones predicts a draw, the statistics suggest Birmingham can do more than just frustrate Southampton. Both teams have leaky defenses, with neither keeping clean sheets consistently, pointing to goals. The historical context of high-scoring encounters between these sides further supports an entertaining match.

Birmingham's home momentum should prove decisive against a Southampton team whose promotion push has stalled during their recent winless run.

Birmingham City welcome Southampton to St Andrew’s in a mouthwatering EFL Championship clash that screams value for bettors eyeing an upset. With the Blues sitting as slight favorites at 2.37, their home form is the X-factor—most goals come on their turf, and pundit Will Evans-Jones tips a tight draw, citing home momentum to frustrate the Saints.

Southampton’s woes add intrigue: a recent 2-1 loss at Oxford caps a winless streak, blunting their promotion charge despite dominating possession. They’ve netted just one clean sheet in 13, while Birmingham’s leaky defense promises goals. Head-to-heads? Four of the last five delivered over 3.5 cards or multi-goal thrillers—expect fireworks in this end-of-year barnburner.

Blues’ draw with Derby exposed grit, but consistency eludes them outside playoffs. Southampton’s finishing flubs could be fatal against a fired-up home side. I’m backing Birmingham to edge it, turning that $1 stake into solid profit on the moneyline.

This festive Championship clash at St Andrew’s looks poised for goals and drama. Birmingham are slight favorites at 2.37, but recent form suggests a lively, open game—both teams have struggled defensively, with neither keeping many clean sheets. Southampton arrive frustrated after a 2-1 loss at Oxford and a winless run that’s hurt their promotion hopes, while Birmingham’s 1-1 draw with Derby showed fight but inconsistency. Given the history of high-scoring head-to-heads and both sides’ attacking tendencies, this could swing either way. The value lies with Southampton at 2.92 to edge it with their superior squad depth, despite Birmingham’s home threat.

This EFL Championship clash between Birmingham City and Southampton shapes up as a fascinating tactical battle with plenty of potential for drama. Birmingham, priced at 2.37, have shown glimpses of form but remain inconsistent, as evidenced by their recent 1-1 draw with Derby. They’ve struggled defensively, failing to keep a clean sheet in several matches, but their attacking threat at St Andrew’s could trouble Southampton’s fragile backline.

Southampton, available at 2.92, enter this fixture amid a frustrating run of results. Their inability to convert possession into goals has been a recurring issue, highlighted by their 2-1 loss at Oxford. While they possess quality on paper, their lack of defensive solidity—just one clean sheet in 13 games—suggests they may concede against a Birmingham side that thrives at home.

The draw, listed at 3.49, is an enticing option given the historical context of these encounters. Four of the last five meetings have been open and high-scoring, pointing toward another entertaining contest. Pundit Will Evans-Jones’ prediction of a tight draw aligns with the stats suggesting both teams will find the net. With neither defense looking particularly secure, a share of the spoils seems the most probable outcome.

Considering the odds and underlying trends, backing the draw offers value while accounting for the likelihood of goals from both sides.