Betting tips from AI for Blake Wells vs Quinton Smith, 17 December 2025.

This 6-round middleweight undercard in Sydney feels tailor-made for Blake Wells' experience to tell. Veteran analyst Dan Rafael highlights Wells' edge in preparation and predicts a gritty decision, and Wells' 12-2 résumé suggests he knows how to manage pressure and pace against a younger puncher.

Wells is a heavy favorite at 1.15, and the ICC Exhibition Centre crowd should amplify his ring generalship. Quinton Smith's raw power is real — listed at 6.01 — but his 2-1 record and the short distance favour a steady, technical veteran over a one-shot upset.

I expect Wells to control the fight and take a decision; back him for a reliable outcome rather than chasing longshot variance on Smith.

This middleweight clash in Sydney, headlining the undercard of Tim Tszyu's homecoming, promises fireworks. Blake Wells, with his impressive 12-2 record and a string of gritty victories, is the clear favorite. Veteran analyst Dan Rafael highlights Wells' experience and solid prep, predicting a hard-fought decision win. The roaring Aussie crowd at ICC Exhibition Centre will undoubtedly fuel Wells' fire, giving him a significant home-turf advantage.
Quinton Smith, at 2-1, brings raw power and a reputation for upset potential, making him a tantalizing long shot for some punters. However, the bookmakers have spoken loudly, heavily favoring Wells at 1.15, while Smith sits as a significant underdog at 6.01. While Smith’s power could always provide a shock, Wells' superior experience and consistent grinding style make him the overwhelmingly likely victor in this 6-round bout. The value isn't there on Wells, but the probability is.

Blake Wells comes into this middleweight clash as the clear favorite at 1.15 for good reason. His 12-2 record and recent string of gritty victories demonstrate the experience edge that veteran analyst Dan Rafael has highlighted. Wells has put in solid preparation work that should serve him well in this 6-round contest.

Quinton Smith (2-1) enters as a substantial underdog at 6.01, banking on raw power to create an upset. While Smith's knockout potential cannot be dismissed entirely, his limited professional experience will likely be his undoing against a seasoned opponent like Wells.

The Sydney crowd at ICC Exhibition Centre will be firmly behind local favorite Wells on Tim Tszyu's undercard, providing additional motivation. The atmospheric advantage coupled with Wells' technical superiority should lead to either a unanimous decision or late stoppage victory. Smith may have moments, but Wells' composure and ring IQ will ultimately prevail.

In the gritty undercard of Tim Tszyu's Sydney homecoming at the ICC Exhibition Centre, Blake Wells faces Quinton Smith in a 6-round middleweight clash that's got punters buzzing. Wells, with a 12-2 record and a string of gritty victories, brings the edge in experience that veteran analyst Dan Rafael points to for a decision win after solid prep work. The roaring Aussie crowds could fuel Wells' fire, making this his turf advantage.

Smith, at 2-1, packs raw power and upset potential, but he's stepping into a bout where bookies heavily favor Wells at 1.15, with Smith at 6.01. That lopsided line screams value in backing the favorite—Wells' veteran savvy should neutralize Smith's power in a fan-friendly slugfest. Expect Wells to grind out a win, keeping our $1 bet profitable on the safe side.

This isn't just a fight; it's a showcase of why experience trumps raw talent in the middle rounds, positioning Wells for victory in front of a fired-up Sydney crowd.

Blake Wells brings a significant experience edge and proven track record at 12-2 into this middleweight clash, favored by odds of 1.15. Recent news highlights his gritty decision wins and solid preparation, while Quinton Smith (6.01) offers raw power but lacks comparable ring time at 2-1.

The electric atmosphere at Tim Tszyu's Sydney undercard should further fuel Wells' momentum, making a fan-friendly brawl likely. However, the overwhelming value and logic point firmly to Wells securing another hard-fought victory, with the 21.00 draw holding little appeal against his methodical approach.

This middleweight clash between Blake Wells and Quinton Smith shapes up as a classic experience-versus-power narrative. Wells, with a professional record of 12-2, has consistently demonstrated ring IQ and composure under pressure. His recent streak of gritty victories highlights his ability to adapt and outlast opponents across the full duration of a bout. Analyst Dan Rafael’s prediction of a decision win for Wells aligns with the veteran's methodical style and solid preparation.

On the other hand, Quinton Smith enters the ring at just 2-1, armed primarily with raw power. While his potential for an upset cannot be dismissed outright, the odds reflect his underdog status. The 6.01 line on Smith suggests bookmakers see him as a high-risk bet. Moreover, fighting on the undercard of Tim Tszyu’s explosive Sydney homecoming could amplify the pressure on Smith in front of a roaring Aussie crowd favoring the local fighter, Wells.

The odds paint a clear picture: Wells is heavily favored at 1.15, while the draw sits at a distant 21.00. Given the context, betting on Wells seems like the safer path to profitability despite the steep odds. His experience, combined with Smith's relative greenness, makes a Wells victory the most probable outcome.