Betting tips from AI for Bologna vs Salzburg, 27 November 2025.

Bologna are in a groove: 12-game unbeaten run, three wins and two draws in the last five, and just one goal conceded across their last seven European outings. Even without suspended Lykogiannis, their structure has been rock solid, routinely keeping matches low-scoring.

Salzburg arrive short-handed (Kawamura, Mellberg, Onisiwo, Zaqieschitzky out) and short on confidence: only one win from four UEL games, no victory in Italy since 2009, and six straight continental away losses, each conceding 2+.

At the price, Bologna 1.40 is the sensible $1 play; I rate their win chance north of the implied 71% amid a likely 2-0 type game. I’ll resist the noise of Salzburg 7.51 and the draw 4.79.

Bologna enters this Europa League clash as the overwhelming favorite, and for good reason. The Rossoblu are riding a twelve-match unbeaten streak and boast a formidable defense that has conceded just a single goal in their last seven European outings. Their home advantage at the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara is a significant factor against a struggling Salzburg side.

The Austrian visitors have a mountain to climb. Their European campaign has been dismal, securing just one win from four matches. More concerning is their dreadful away form; Salzburg hasn't won on Italian soil since 2009 and has lost its last six continental away fixtures, conceding at least two goals in each.

Compounding Salzburg's problems is a significant injury crisis, sidelining several key players, while Bologna is near full strength. With the Italian side in dominant form and Salzburg weakened and historically poor on the road, all signs point to a home victory. The 1.40 odds on a Bologna win reflect this clear disparity between the two teams.

Bologna enters this clash riding a remarkable 12-match unbeaten streak, showcasing defensive solidity with just one goal conceded in their last seven European fixtures. Their fortress-like home form contrasts sharply with Salzburg's continental struggles.

The Austrian visitors arrive in dire straits, managing only one victory from four Europa League matches and carrying a dismal away record in Europe. They haven't tasted success on Italian soil since 2009 and have lost six consecutive continental away fixtures, shipping at least two goals in each defeat.

Salzburg's injury crisis compounds their problems, with four key players sidelined including Kawamura and Onisiwo. Bologna's superior form, home advantage, and the visitors' defensive frailties make the 1.40 odds on a home win compelling value despite the heavy favoritism.

Bologna are firing on all cylinders this season, extending their unbeaten streak to a dozen matches across all competitions. Their defensive solidity is a standout feature, having conceded just one goal in their last seven European outings and maintaining an average of under one goal per game overall. This makes them a nightmare for any visiting side, especially one like Salzburg, who are grappling with a dismal European campaign.

Salzburg's woes are compounded by a single win in their first four Europa League games, leaving them teetering on the edge of elimination. Their away form in Europe is particularly alarming—no victory on Italian soil since 2009, and they've lost their last six continental road trips, shipping at least two goals each time. Add to that a mounting injury list, with key players like Kawamura and Mellberg sidelined, and it's clear they're up against it in Italy.

With bookmakers listing Bologna as heavy favorites at 1.40, implying a 71.4% chance of victory, this match screams home win. Analysts are tipping a low-scoring affair, perhaps 2-0, aligning with Bologna's trend of under 2.5 goals in three of their four Europa League matches. For bettors, backing Bologna here looks like a smart play to build that bankroll steadily.

Bologna's unbeaten streak now stands at twelve matches, with their defense conceding only one goal in their last seven European outings. This formidable form at home contrasts sharply with Salzburg's dismal continental away record—six consecutive losses on the road, each time shipping at least two goals. Salzburg's injury crisis, sidelining key players like Onisiwo and Zaqieschitzky, further undermines their chances. With odds of 1.40 reflecting a 71.4% implied probability, Bologna's disciplined setup and Salzburg's travel woes point decisively toward a home victory.

Expect a controlled, low-scoring affair, as Bologna's tactical discipline should limit chances while capitalizing on Salzburg's defensive vulnerabilities. Analysts project a 2-0 scoreline, aligning with Bologna's efficient style and Salzburg's streak of away collapses.

Bologna enters this Europa League clash in scintillating form, boasting a 12-match unbeaten streak and a defense that has been virtually impenetrable in Europe. Conceding just one goal in their last seven continental matches is no small feat, and it highlights their tactical discipline under pressure. The odds of 1.40 for a Bologna win reflect their dominance, but such short odds often deter casual bettors. However, when paired with Salzburg’s dismal away record in Italy—six consecutive losses, all while conceding at least two goals per game—the case for backing Bologna becomes even stronger.
Salzburg’s struggles extend beyond their travel woes. With key players like Kawamura, Mellberg, and Onisiwo sidelined, their already inconsistent attack looks set to falter against Bologna’s sturdy backline. While the Austrian side sits on thin ice in the group stage, their lack of firepower and confidence on foreign soil makes them unlikely to break this trend. The odds of 7.51 for a Salzburg victory seem generous but unrealistic given the context.
The likelihood of a low-scoring affair cannot be ignored, especially since three of Bologna’s four Europa League matches have finished under 2.5 goals. However, the draw at 4.79 feels like a trap; both teams’ current trajectories suggest a decisive result rather than a stalemate. Considering Bologna’s home advantage, recent form, and Salzburg’s mounting injury concerns, backing the Italian side appears to be the most logical and profitable choice.
While the heavy favorite tag might make some bettors hesitate, the combination of Bologna’s consistency and Salzburg’s vulnerabilities presents a prime opportunity to capitalize on value despite the short odds.