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Betting tips from AI for Borussia Dortmund vs FC St. Pauli, 17 January 2026.

AI Consensus

1.45
Home win
6 of 6 AI models pick Borussia Dortmund to win at 1.45

ChatGPT tip
Borussia Dortmund win
1.45

ChatGPT prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs FC St. Pauli, 17 January 2026.

Back Borussia Dortmund to take the three points. Dortmund arrive on a 10-game unbeaten run, boast a near-fortress home record (six wins, two draws) and have regularly punished St. Pauli — scoring at least twice in eight of the last nine meetings — while averaging 1.9 goals this season. The book price for the home win is 1.33, a short but sensible line given the form gap.

St. Pauli sit in the relegation zone, are toothless away (one win in ten, 0.80 away goals), and are hampered by multiple absences (Irvine, Untondji, Sinani, Spahic, Nemeth). With momentum, home advantage and a depleted opponent, Dortmund should control this comfortably; a straight win on Dortmund is the pragmatic $1 play.
Gemini tip
Borussia Dortmund win
1.45

Gemini prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs FC St. Pauli, 17 January 2026.

Borussia Dortmund look poised to extend their impressive 1.33 home advantage against a struggling FC St. Pauli. Dortmund's formidable home record, boasting six wins and two draws this season, paints a stark contrast to St. Pauli's dismal away form, where they remain winless in eight matches. This isn't just about home comfort; Dortmund are on a 10-game unbeaten run, showcasing their momentum.

St. Pauli, languishing in 17th place and battling relegation, face an uphill struggle. Their offensive woes are evident, with only 14 goals all season and an average of just 0.80 goals per game on the road. Compounding their challenges is a significant injury crisis, with key players like Jackson Irvine sidelined, further weakening an already vulnerable squad.

History also favors the hosts, as Dortmund have netted at least two goals in eight of their last nine encounters with St. Pauli. Considering St. Pauli's current form and injury woes, combined with Dortmund's attacking prowess and rock-solid home record, a Dortmund victory is not just predicted, it's virtually expected. Betting on a draw at 5.53 or a St. Pauli upset at 9.45 appears highly speculative given the overwhelming evidence.
Claude tip
Borussia Dortmund win
1.45

Claude prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs FC St. Pauli, 17 January 2026.

Borussia Dortmund's exceptional home record this season makes them overwhelming favorites against struggling FC St. Pauli. With Dortmund currently on a 10-game unbeaten run and sitting second in the Bundesliga, they've established Signal Iduna Park as a fortress with six wins and just two draws at home.

St. Pauli's situation couldn't be more different. Languishing in 17th place and firmly in the relegation battle, they've been winless in eight away matches and scored just 14 goals all season. Their injury crisis compounds their problems, with five key players ruled out and two more doubtful.

The historical head-to-head record heavily favors Dortmund, who have scored at least two goals in eight of their last nine encounters with St. Pauli. The hosts' 1.9 goals per match average this season contrasts sharply with St. Pauli's meager 0.80 goals per game on the road.

With odds of 1.33 for Dortmund reflecting their clear advantage, this match appears to be a straightforward home win despite the seemingly low value.
Grok tip
Borussia Dortmund win
1.45

Grok prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs FC St. Pauli, 17 January 2026.

Borussia Dortmund are poised to extend their impressive unbeaten run against a struggling FC St. Pauli side in this Bundesliga clash. Sitting second in the table, Dortmund boast a fortress-like home record with six wins and two draws this season, averaging 1.9 goals per match and dominating possession at 51%. Their attacking firepower has been ruthless, scoring at least two goals in eight of the last nine encounters with St. Pauli across all competitions.

In contrast, St. Pauli are mired in the relegation zone, 17th place with just 14 goals all season and a dismal away form—winless in eight road games and only one victory in their last ten outings, averaging a meager 0.80 goals per away match. Their injury woes compound the misery, with key players like Jackson Irvine, Andreas Untondji, and others ruled out, leaving them vulnerable.

The odds reflect this mismatch: Dortmund at 1.33 for a clear favorite, St. Pauli at 9.45 as massive underdogs, and draw at 5.53. Betting on Dortmund's win offers solid value for profitability, especially with their momentum building toward a predicted 2-0 victory. This home dominance makes it a smart $1 wager for bettors eyeing consistent returns.
DeepSeek tip
Borussia Dortmund win
1.45

DeepSeek prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs FC St. Pauli, 17 January 2026.

Borussia Dortmund's fortress-like home record, with six wins and two draws this season, makes them heavy favorites against a struggling FC St. Pauli side. The hosts are on a 10-game unbeaten streak in the Bundesliga, averaging 1.9 goals per match, while St. Pauli languishes in 17th place with a winless run in eight away games and an injury crisis depleting their squad.

Historical dominance favors Dortmund, having scored at least two goals in eight of their last nine encounters with St. Pauli. The odds at 1.33 for a Dortmund win reflect their superior form and home advantage, offering a safe bet despite the low return potential.
Qwen tip
Borussia Dortmund win
1.45

Qwen prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs FC St. Pauli, 17 January 2026.

Borussia Dortmund enters this clash as the overwhelming favorite, and for good reason. With a stellar home record boasting six wins and two draws in their last eight matches, they’ve proven nearly unbeatable at Signal Iduna Park. The bookmaker odds reflect this dominance, listing Dortmund at 1.33, while FC St. Pauli’s struggles on the road are encapsulated by their daunting 9.45 underdog status. St. Pauli’s away form has been abysmal, managing just one victory in their last ten trips, averaging a meager 0.80 goals per game.

Adding to the narrative, Dortmund’s attack has consistently dismantled St. Pauli in recent encounters, scoring at least two goals in eight of their last nine meetings. This trend aligns with expert predictions of a 2-0 victory for the hosts, making an over 1.5 goals bet seem logical. Meanwhile, St. Pauli’s injury woes further stack the odds against them. Missing key players like Jackson Irvine and Andreas Untondji weakens their already fragile squad, leaving them ill-equipped to handle Dortmund’s high-pressure style.

While the draw sits at 5.53, it feels like a long shot given Dortmund’s momentum and St. Pauli’s dire situation. The visitors’ relegation battle adds urgency but little hope against a Dortmund side riding a 10-game unbeaten streak and sitting comfortably in second place. Backing Dortmund here is not just about siding with the favorites—it’s about recognizing a mismatch when you see one.

Match News

# Borussia Dortmund vs FC St. Pauli – Match Preview

## Predictions & Expert Analysis

• Dominant home advantage expected: Multiple analysts predict a 2-0 Dortmund victory, citing the hosts' unbeaten home record with six wins and two draws this season, contrasted sharply against St. Pauli's winless streak in eight away matches[1][3].

• Dortmund's attacking prowess favored: Experts highlight that Dortmund have scored at least two goals in eight of their last nine encounters with St. Pauli across all competitions, making an over 1.5 goals bet a logical choice[4].

• Statistical edge for the hosts: Dortmund currently sit second in the Bundesliga on a 10-game unbeaten run, averaging 1.9 goals per match with 51% possession, while St. Pauli languish in 17th place, struggling to find the net with just 14 goals scored all season[2][3].

## Team Form & Context

• St. Pauli's relegation battle intensifies: The visitors occupy the automatic drop zone and recently fell three points behind safety after a defeat, though they maintain a game in hand that could prove crucial in their survival bid[3].

• Dortmund's momentum building: The hosts are extending their unbeaten streak with confidence, bolstered by their fortress-like home record featuring just one loss this season[3].

• St. Pauli's away struggles persist: Despite showing marginal improvement with just one defeat since November, Alexander Blessin's side have collected only one victory in their last ten away matches, averaging just 0.80 goals per game on the road[2].

## Injury Concerns

• St. Pauli's injury crisis: Jackson Irvine, Andreas Untondji, Danel Sinani, Simon Spahic, and David Nemeth are ruled out, with Connor Metcalfe and Ricky-Jade Jones remaining doubts for the clash[1].
See how multiple AI models rate Borussia Dortmund vs FC St. Pauli. We aggregate today's betting tips and highlight agreement between models when it occurs. Use this page to scan the overall picture quickly, then open any model's detailed tip to read short reasoning.