Betting tips from AI for Brighton and Hove Albion vs Bournemouth, 19 January 2026.

I'll back Bournemouth at 3.90 as the value play.
Brighton arrive as short favourites at 1.87 and look solid on paper, but injuries and rotation after their FA Cup shock win leave soft spots. Bournemouth have been brutal away but manager Andoni Iraola's "beautiful chaos" has flipped matches into wild scorelines — they stunned Spurs 3-2 and their fixtures frequently clear the goals lines.
With ten of Bournemouth's 11 away games exploding past 3.5 goals and a model calling the Cherries a value underdog, the +290 price offers a rare upside: a small real-world upset probability turns a $1 bet into a big win.

This Premier League clash at the Amex Stadium between Brighton and Bournemouth promises fireworks, with pundits eyeing over 1.04 goals given both teams' recent history. Brighton, sitting 11th and unbeaten in four, are fresh off an FA Cup win and possess a strong home advantage. Their key attackers like Danny Welbeck and Mitoma, a 'Cherries-killer,' will be crucial.

Bournemouth, despite a recent upset over Spurs, face a significant challenge on the road. Their away form is a nightmare, with nine straight Premier League road defeats and a tendency to leak goals, as seen in chaotic 1.04-4 and 1.02-2 draws. While Dimers' AI model gives Brighton a 1.50% edge and flags Bournemouth at 3.90 as a value underdog, the Cherries' defensive frailties away from home are too pronounced.

Sports Mole pundits predict a 1.03-2 Brighton win, aligning with the expectation of a goal-fest where both sides are likely to net. Despite Brighton's own injury woes, their attacking prowess and Bournemouth's chronic away struggles make the Seagulls the more probable outcome.

Brighton's home advantage should prove decisive against a Bournemouth side suffering through nine consecutive Premier League away losses. The Seagulls are riding momentum after their FA Cup upset over Manchester United and remain unbeaten in four matches as they chase European qualification. While both teams have defensive vulnerabilities that should produce goals—evidenced by Bournemouth's away games consistently hitting over 3.5 goals—Brighton's attacking weapons make the difference. Danny Welbeck's eight-goal form and Mitoma's historical success against the Cherries give the hosts an edge at 1.87. Bournemouth's injury crisis (missing Dennis, Gannon, Doak, Kluivert and Ünal) compounds their road woes. Though Iraola's men stunned Spurs recently, Brighton's attacking firepower should overwhelm the visitors in what promises to be another high-scoring affair at the Amex.

Brighton and Hove Albion are gearing up for a pulsating clash at the Amex against a Bournemouth side that's all too familiar with road nightmares. Sitting comfortably in 11th and just four points from European contention, the Seagulls are on a roll—unbeaten in four and fresh off a stunning FA Cup upset over a managerless Manchester United. Their home form has been solid, especially against the Cherries, with the last five encounters all surpassing 2.5 goals in this fiery rivalry.

Bournemouth, clinging to 15th after ending an 11-game league winless streak with a chaotic 3-2 thriller over Spurs, face a daunting task. Nine straight Premier League away defeats tell a grim tale, often unraveling in goal-fests like 4-4 draws and heavy leaks. Injuries pile on for both, but Brighton's Danny Welbeck (eight goals) and Mitoma's history of tormenting Bournemouth give them the edge, even with Timas and Offer sidelined.

Pundits at Sports Mole foresee a 3-2 Brighton win, highlighting the Seagulls' resilience after conceding first, while Dimers' AI tips a 50.4% Brighton victory but nods to Bournemouth's value at 3.90. With over 3.5 goals likely—ten of Bournemouth's 11 away games exploded past that mark—this screams fireworks. At 1.87, backing Brighton offers solid value for a profitable punt in this high-stakes shootout.

Brighton and Hove Albion host Bournemouth in a Premier League clash that promises fireworks. The Seagulls are riding high after stunning Manchester United in the FA Cup and are unbeaten in four, while the Cherries' away form is a nightmare with nine straight road defeats.

Injuries plague both sides, but Brighton's Danny Welbeck and Kaoru Mitoma have proven lethal, especially against Bournemouth. Pundits predict a high-scoring affair, with over 3.5 goals likely given Bournemouth's leaky defense on their travels.

With Brighton priced at 1.87, the value aligns with their superior form and home advantage, making them the smart bet for a profitable outcome.

Brighton and Hove Albion enters this clash brimming with confidence, unbeaten in four games and fresh off a stunning FA Cup victory against Manchester United. Their solid positioning in 11th place, just four points shy of European contention, underscores their hunger for results. Bournemouth, on the other hand, has struggled mightily on the road, suffering nine consecutive Premier League away defeats while conceding goals at an alarming rate. While their recent 3-2 home win over Tottenham showcased some resilience, their away form paints a bleak picture.

The odds reflect Brighton's favoritism, with their price at 1.87 suggesting they're the safer bet. However, Dimers' AI model highlights Bournemouth as a potential value underdog at 3.90. Still, given Bournemouth’s defensive frailties and Brighton’s knack for scoring—especially against teams like Bournemouth—the scales tip firmly toward the Seagulls. Danny Welbeck’s goal-scoring prowess and Mitoma’s strong record against the Cherries add further weight to backing Brighton.

Pundits are predicting fireworks, with both teams likely to find the net. Yet, Brighton’s superior form and stability make them more reliable. The likelihood of a high-scoring affair aligns with historical trends between these sides, but Brighton’s edge in quality and momentum makes them the smarter wager.