Betting tips from AI for CA Osasuna vs Alavés, 20 December 2025.

Osasuna carry the edge here: home crowd, momentum from a dramatic 4-2 extra-time Copa win and a squad at full strength. Bookmakers make that case too, pricing the hosts at 2.23, while Alavés are long shots 3.78 and the draw sits at 3.12.

Despite a heavy 0-2 loss to Barcelona and some fragile defending at El Sadar, Osasuna have the attacking quality to break down a travel-weary Alavés side that has lost four straight on the road. Expect a tight, low-scoring contest — the 1-0 margin tipped by analysts is sensible — but Osasuna’s home initiative and recent cup form give them the winning edge.

This Basque mini-derby sees CA Osasuna, fresh off a Copa del Rey triumph, host an Alavés side struggling on the road. Bookmakers have installed Osasuna as clear favorites at 2.23, a sentiment echoed by analysts who see it as a smart value bet and predict a tight 1-0 win for the hosts. While Osasuna's home form has been a bit shaky, leaking two goals per game, El Sadar is where they've earned the bulk of their points this season. Alavés, despite a recent Copa win, arrives reeling from four straight away losses and a narrow home defeat to Real Madrid. Their overall defensive tightness clashes with their road woes. With both squads boasting a clean bill of health, Osasuna's home advantage and Alavés' poor away record tip the scales in favor of the hosts. This looks like a prime opportunity for Osasuna to secure three vital points.

Osasuna's home advantage at El Sadar should prove decisive against an Alavés side struggling on their travels. Despite sitting 16th in La Liga, Osasuna have collected most of their points at home and come into this fixture with renewed confidence after their 4-2 Copa del Rey victory over Huesca.

Alavés are in poor form away from home with four consecutive road losses, which makes Osasuna at 2.23 odds an attractive proposition. The bookmakers' implied 44% win probability for the hosts seems justified given the circumstances.

The Pamplona outfit may have defensive vulnerabilities, conceding two goals per game at El Sadar, but Alavés' road scoring troubles should mitigate this weakness. Coach Alessio Lisci has a fully fit squad to choose from, allowing him to field his strongest lineup in this Basque mini-derby.

Expect a tight affair similar to the analysts' predicted 1-0 scoreline, with Osasuna's home support pushing them to a narrow victory that could prove crucial in their battle to climb the table.

In the chilly December air of Pamplona, CA Osasuna hosts Alavés in a Basque mini-derby that promises grit and goals. Osasuna, perched at 16th with 15 points, thrives at El Sadar, where they've snagged most of their haul despite a leaky defense averaging two goals conceded per home game. Their recent Copa del Rey thriller—a 4-2 extra-time win over Huesca after a 1-1 draw—shows attacking fire, even if a 0-2 league loss to Barcelona stung. Bookies love them as favorites at 2.23, implying a 44% win probability, and experts echo that with a predicted 1-0 edge, calling it smart value.

Alavés, sitting 13th on 18 points, counters with resilience but falters away, enduring four straight road defeats including a 1-2 home slip to Real Madrid. Their 1-0 Copa upset over Sevilla highlights defensive solidity, yet the road woes loom large. Both teams enter with full squads, no injuries to fret over, setting up a tactical chess match under coaches Lisci and Coudet.

Osasuna's home advantage tips the scales in this tight affair. Expect a narrow victory for the hosts, capitalizing on Alavés' travel fatigue for a profitable 2.23 bet.

Osasuna enters this Basque derby as clear favorites, with bookmakers offering 2.23 odds, aligning with expert predictions of a narrow home win. Despite shaky defense at El Sadar, their Copa del Rey momentum and Alavés' four straight away losses—where they've struggled to score—give the hosts a crucial edge. Both squads are fully fit, setting up a gritty clash where Osasuna's home advantage should prevail for value seekers.

Alavés' tight defense keeps matches close, but their road woes and Osasuna's ability to grind out points at home make the 2.23 price a smart play in this La Liga showdown.

Osasuna enters this Basque mini-derby as the bookies' favorite with odds of 2.23, reflecting their strong chance to secure a home victory. Despite their shaky defensive record at El Sadar, where they concede an average of two goals per game, Osasuna has shown resilience in cup competitions and grabbed most of their league points at home. Their recent 4-2 Copa del Rey triumph could inject confidence into their attacking play, even if their last La Liga match ended in a 0-2 loss to Barcelona.
Alavés, on the other hand, faces a daunting task on the road. They’ve suffered four consecutive away defeats, and their narrow 1-2 loss to Real Madrid highlights their struggles against stronger opponents. While their defense remains relatively solid overall, their inability to score consistently away from home makes them unlikely to capitalize on Osasuna’s vulnerabilities. The odds of 3.78 for an Alavés win suggest they’re clear underdogs in this matchup.
The draw, priced at 3.12, is tempting given both teams’ tendencies to keep games close. However, Osasuna’s home advantage and superior form compared to Alavés’ poor travel record tilt the balance slightly in favor of the hosts. A 1-0 result seems plausible based on expert predictions, aligning with Osasuna's tendency to grind out narrow wins at El Sadar.
Considering all factors, backing Osasuna appears to be the smarter bet despite their inconsistencies. Their edge in form and motivation should prove decisive against a struggling Alavés side.