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Betting tips from AI for Calgary Flames vs Pittsburgh Penguins, 22 January 2026.

AI Consensus

2.06
Home win
6 of 6 AI models pick Calgary Flames to win at 2.06

ChatGPT tip
Calgary Flames win
2.06

ChatGPT prediction for Calgary Flames vs Pittsburgh Penguins, 22 January 2026.

Models and several analysts edge toward a Flames win (projected 4-3), which makes Calgary look undervalued on the moneyline at 2.04. Pittsburgh is the favourite at 1.85, but a narrow projection in favor of Calgary plus home-ice steadiness creates real value.
Calgary’s defense has stabilized (10th in goals allowed) and their recent games trend Over, while Pittsburgh’s 28.03% power play is the real threat and the main downside for backing the Flames. Still, Calgary’s home setup and recent form suggest a tight, high-scoring tilt.
Recommendation: back the Calgary Flames moneyline at 2.04 — the models and home advantage imply positive value against a -1.85 favourite.
Gemini tip
Calgary Flames win
2.06

Gemini prediction for Calgary Flames vs Pittsburgh Penguins, 22 January 2026.

This NHL clash pits two teams with contrasting strengths. The Pittsburgh Penguins, priced at 1.85, arrive as the stronger all-around squad, boasting a significant +15 goal differential and a lethal 28.03% power-play conversion rate. Their head-to-head record also favors them.

However, don't count out the Calgary Flames just yet. Despite offensive struggles and the league's worst power play, their defensive solidity ranks 10th in goals allowed. Intriguingly, multiple forecasting models are projecting a Flames victory, specifically a 4-3 scoreline. This makes Calgary, at odds of 2.04, a compelling value bet for those seeking an upset. While the Over 5.5 goals is also tempting, given both teams' combined average of 5.8 goals, the models' specific projection for a Flames win offers the most profitable angle.
Claude tip
Calgary Flames win
2.06

Claude prediction for Calgary Flames vs Pittsburgh Penguins, 22 January 2026.

The Calgary Flames host the Pittsburgh Penguins in what forecasting models suggest will be a tight contest, with multiple predictions pointing to a 4-3 Flames victory. While Pittsburgh enters as the statistical favorite with a +15 goal differential and the league's third-best power play (28.03%), Calgary's defensive prowess cannot be overlooked. The Flames rank 10th in goals allowed, which has kept them competitive despite ranking 29th offensively.

The betting value lies with Calgary at 2.04, representing implied odds that undervalue their home-ice advantage. Their recent offensive surge—going Over in 4 of their last 5 games—suggests they're finding their scoring touch at the right time. Pittsburgh's slight edge in the head-to-head series (18-13) is noteworthy, but Calgary's defensive structure should neutralize the Penguins' power play advantage.

The Flames' moneyline offers positive expected value given the forecasting models' consensus and their defensive stability. Their +1.5 spread position further reflects confidence in their ability to keep this game close or win outright.
Grok tip
Calgary Flames win
2.06

Grok prediction for Calgary Flames vs Pittsburgh Penguins, 22 January 2026.

The NHL clash between the Calgary Flames and Pittsburgh Penguins on January 22, 2026, promises fireworks at the Saddledome. Despite Pittsburgh's superior overall form—with a +15 goal differential and the league's third-best power play at 28.03%—the Flames' home-ice advantage and defensive solidity make them a sneaky value play at 2.04 on the moneyline.

Forecasting models are bullish on Calgary, projecting a narrow 4-3 victory, even as the Penguins hold a historical edge in head-to-heads (18-13). Calgary ranks 10th in goals allowed, stabilizing their middling offense (29th in scoring), while their games have gone Over 5.5 in 29 of 49 this season—hinting at a high-scoring affair against Pittsburgh's potent attack.

Pittsburgh's 1.85 line feels tight given Calgary's recent momentum (Over in 4 of last 5) and power-play woes (last at 14.94%). For a $1 bet, I'm riding the Flames' underdog fire to flip a tidy profit, capitalizing on their grit in a rivalry ripe for an upset.
DeepSeek tip
Calgary Flames win
2.06

DeepSeek prediction for Calgary Flames vs Pittsburgh Penguins, 22 January 2026.

Forecasting models project a Calgary Flames victory, with a 4-3 scoreline favoring the home side despite Pittsburgh's stronger overall record. The Flames' defensive solidity, ranking 10th in goals allowed, should challenge the Penguins' potent power play.

At 2.04 odds, Calgary offers excellent value, especially with their recent offensive momentum pushing games Over. Pittsburgh's 1.85 reflects their strength, but home ice and defensive resilience make the Flames a smart bet.
Qwen tip
Calgary Flames win
2.06

Qwen prediction for Calgary Flames vs Pittsburgh Penguins, 22 January 2026.

The Calgary Flames are set to host the Pittsburgh Penguins in what promises to be an exciting NHL matchup. Despite being underdogs, the Flames are favored by multiple forecasting models to win 4-3, and their defensive strength, ranking 10th in goals allowed, makes them a formidable opponent at home. The Penguins, boasting a +15 goal differential and a ninth-best record, along with a powerful offense, especially on the power play where they rank third, enter as the stronger all-around team. However, Calgary's recent trend of going Over the total in 4 of their last 5 games suggests they are finding their offensive rhythm. The betting analysts' lean toward the Over 5.5 goals is supported by these teams averaging 5.8 combined goals per matchup. Given the Flames' defensive resilience and the Penguins' offensive prowess, this game could be closely contested, but the Flames' home-ice advantage and recent form might just tip the scales in their favor. \
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Despite Pittsburgh's slight edge in head-to-head history, the Flames' current momentum and defensive stability make them a compelling bet. With the odds at 2.04 for the Flames, there's value in backing the home team.

Match News

# Pittsburgh Penguins vs Calgary Flames - January 22, 2026

## Predictions & Expert Analysis

• Multiple forecasting models project a Flames victory 4-3, with the home team favored on the moneyline despite being underdogs in goal differential this season.[1][7]

• Betting analysts lean toward the Over 5.5 goals, citing that these teams average 5.8 combined goals per matchup and Calgary's games have exceeded that threshold in 29 of 49 contests.[1]

• The Flames are backed at +1.5 on the spread, reflecting their defensive strength—they rank 10th in goals allowed despite sitting 29th offensively.[1]

## Team Form & Context

• Pittsburgh enters as the stronger all-around squad with a +15 goal differential and ninth-best record, boasting the league's third-best power-play conversion at 28.03%.[1]

• Calgary's defense has stabilized them despite offensive struggles, but their power play ranks dead last at 14.94%—a significant disadvantage in tight games.[1]

• The Flames have gone Over the total in 4 of their last 5 games, suggesting offensive momentum heading into this matchup.[2]

• In recent head-to-head history, Pittsburgh holds a slight edge with 18 wins versus Calgary's 13 wins in their rivalry.[3]
See how multiple AI models rate Calgary Flames vs Pittsburgh Penguins. We aggregate today's betting tips and highlight agreement between models when it occurs. Use this page to scan the overall picture quickly, then open any model's detailed tip to read short reasoning.