Betting tips from AI for Coco Gauff vs Hailey Baptiste, 23 January 2026.

All signs point to Coco Gauff — the Dimers model gives her a commanding 91% win probability and an 85% edge in the first set after 10,000 simulations, and she arrived in Melbourne sharp, dismantling Olga Danilovic 6-2, 6-2. Hailey Baptiste likewise brings form after a 6-1, 6-2 win over Storm Hunter, but the matchup history and Gauff’s all‑court power (she beat Baptiste 6-1, 6-4 in 2023) tilt this heavily.
Book odds reflect that gap: 1.08 for Gauff versus 9.83 for Baptiste. For a bettor focused on maximizing win probability, backing Coco is the sensible play — value is limited at 1.08, so consider small stakes or alternative markets (first-set or game handicaps) if you want better ROI.

The Australian Open women's draw sees a clear clash of titans, or rather, a reigning force against an emerging talent. Coco Gauff, the world No. 3, enters this third-round encounter against Hailey Baptiste as an overwhelming favorite, reflected in her 1.08 odds. It's not just the bookmakers; Dimers' model projects a staggering 91% win probability for Gauff, even giving her an 85% edge in the first set.

Gauff's recent form has been nothing short of ruthless, as she cruised past Olga Danilovic with a dominant 6-2, 6-2 victory, breaking serve a remarkable 17 times. While Baptiste has shown impressive grit, demolishing Storm Hunter 6-1, 6-2 to reach her first Melbourne third round, this challenge is a different beast entirely. The Stats Zone journalists predict a swift 2-0 win for Gauff, recalling their lone prior clash in 2023 where Gauff's all-around firepower overwhelmed Baptiste 6-1, 6-4. Despite Baptiste's recent success silencing doubters, Gauff's consistent elite performance and head-to-head advantage make her the undeniable pick for a reliable profit, however modest, in this all-American showdown.

Coco Gauff enters this third-round clash as the overwhelming favorite at 1.08, and the numbers thoroughly support this position. Gauff's clinical 6-2, 6-2 dismantling of Olga Danilovic showcased her championship-caliber form, breaking serve 17 times in just over an hour - efficiency that signals she's locked in.

While Baptiste impressed by crushing Storm Hunter 6-1, 6-2 to reach her first Melbourne third round, the quality gap remains substantial. Dimers' model gives Gauff a commanding 91% win probability after 10,000 simulations, reflecting the massive talent differential between the world No. 3 and No. 70.

Their previous meeting tells the story - Gauff handled Baptiste 6-1, 6-4 in 2023, and Gauff has only improved since then. Baptiste simply lacks the weapons to consistently trouble Gauff's complete game. The 9.83 underdog odds reflect this reality. Expect Gauff to control rallies, dictate play, and advance comfortably to the round of 16.

In this all-American clash at the Australian Open Women's, world No. 3 Coco Gauff faces fellow countrywoman Hailey Baptiste in the third round, and the matchup screams lopsided in Gauff's favor. Gauff, fresh off a ruthless 6-2, 6-2 demolition of Olga Danilovic—where she broke serve a whopping 17 times in under an hour—enters with momentum that could carry her deep into the tournament. Baptiste impressed by thrashing local favorite Storm Hunter 6-1, 6-2, marking her first third-round appearance in Melbourne, but she's stepping into a different league here.

Their head-to-head tells the tale: Gauff overwhelmed Baptiste 6-1, 6-4 in their only prior meeting back in 2023, showcasing her superior all-around firepower. Dimers' advanced model backs this up, simulating 10,000 matches to give Gauff a commanding 91% win probability and an 85% edge in the first set. With odds listing Gauff as a heavy -1201 favorite and Baptiste at +883, the value is clear for the chalk—Gauff's consistency and power should lead to a swift 2-0 victory, keeping her title charge alive.

For bettors eyeing profit on a $1 wager, laying it on Gauff at 1.08 is the smart play, though the payout is modest; it's about banking on the near-certainty to build the roll steadily in this high-stakes Grand Slam.

The Australian Open presents a thrilling all-American showdown as world No. 3 Coco Gauff takes on No. 70 Hailey Baptiste. Gauff has been dominant, cruising past Olga Danilovic 6-2, 6-2 with 17 breaks of serve, and Dimers' model gives her a 91% win probability.

Journalists predict a swift 2-0 win for Gauff, recalling her 6-1, 6-4 victory over Baptiste in 2023. While Baptiste demolished Storm Hunter 6-1, 6-2, Gauff's firepower and consistency at this level are overwhelming.

The odds heavily favor Gauff at 1.08, with Baptiste at 9.83, making Gauff the smart, profitable bet for a high-probability return.

Coco Gauff enters this match as a clear favorite, with bookmakers offering her at 1.08. The odds reflect the overwhelming confidence in Gauff's abilities, backed by her recent performance where she dominated Olga Danilovic 6-2, 6-2. Gauff's powerful and consistent play has been evident, and her 91% win probability from Dimers' model further solidifies her position as the frontrunner. Hailey Baptiste, while impressive in her own right, faces a daunting challenge. Her 6-1, 6-2 victory over Storm Hunter showcased her strength, but it might not be enough against an in-form Gauff. The historical data also supports Gauff, who previously defeated Baptiste 6-1, 6-4 in 2023. Given these factors, the smart bet is on Coco Gauff to secure a decisive victory.