Betting tips from AI for Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets, 24 December 2025.

Bookmakers make Denver the clear favorite 1.34 while Dallas sits as the long shot 3.40. I lean with the market: Denver’s 20-7 form, superior depth and road toughness align with analyst projections (121-115) and make them the safer EV play despite Aaron Gordon’s absence and Peyton Watson being iffy.

Dallas arrives 11-18, hit hard by the loss of Dereck Lively II and multiple questionables that blunt their frontcourt and wing rotations. Recent H2H swings favor Denver overall — after a December slip by the Nuggets, they crushed Dallas twice in January and should control the paint and Jokić-led offense. Bet Denver.

This NBA clash pits a struggling Dallas Mavericks squad against a dominant Denver Nuggets team, and the bookmakers' 1.34 odds on Denver tell a clear story. The Nuggets, riding high at 20-7, are poised to exploit a Mavericks team limping at 11-18 and significantly hampered by injuries. Dallas is without Dereck Lively II for the season, with Klay Thompson, Cooper Flagg, and Max Christie all questionable. While Denver misses Aaron Gordon, their superior depth is expected to shine through, as analysts project a 121-115 victory for the road team.

Despite a gritty Mavs win over Detroit recently and an early December head-to-head victory (2.31-121), the Nuggets crushed Dallas twice in January, setting the stage for a revenge-fueled encounter. Even at a packed American Airlines Center, the Mavericks' current form and injury woes make it incredibly difficult to overcome Denver's consistency and talent. The 3.40 odds for Dallas simply don't justify the risk against such a formidable opponent. The smart money is firmly on the Nuggets to continue their strong run.

Despite Dallas taking the most recent head-to-head matchup in December (131-121), the Nuggets at 1.34 remain the smart play here. Denver's 20-7 record speaks volumes compared to the Mavericks' struggling 11-18 mark, even after their recent win against Detroit.

The injury situation heavily favors Denver. Dallas is decimated with Lively II out for the season and Thompson, Flagg, and Christie all questionable. While the Nuggets are missing Aaron Gordon, their depth has consistently proven superior this season.

The Mavericks' home court advantage at American Airlines Center provides some value at 3.40, but not enough to overcome their defensive vulnerabilities. Denver's road resilience has been impressive, and they'll be motivated after their recent loss to Houston.

Expect the Nuggets to control tempo and exploit Dallas' weakened frontcourt in a revenge game after their December loss to the Mavs.

The Denver Nuggets are poised to roll into Dallas and reclaim their dominance in this NBA showdown. With a stellar 20-7 record, the Nuggets boast superior depth and road grit, especially after a tough loss to Houston that has them hungry for redemption. Analysts project a 121-115 victory, leveraging Nikola Jokic's playmaking and their balanced attack to exploit the Mavericks' slump at 11-18.

Dallas faces a nightmare with season-ending injury to Dereck Lively II and question marks over Klay Thompson, Cooper Flagg, and Max Christie, leaving their frontcourt vulnerable. While the Mavs snagged a 131-121 win over Denver in early December, the Nuggets responded with crushing victories in January, fueling this revenge match at a raucous American Airlines Center.

The odds reflect the mismatch: Mavericks at 3.40 scream underdog value, but Nuggets at 1.34 are the smart play for reliability. Betting $1 on Denver's moneyline could yield a tidy return, banking on their resilience to navigate Aaron Gordon's absence and Peyton Watson's iffy status. This feels like a Nuggets statement win to solidify their Western Conference perch.

The Denver Nuggets enter this Christmas Eve clash as heavy favorites, with bookmakers listing them at 1.34 against the slumping Dallas Mavericks at 3.40. Analysts project a Nuggets victory, citing their superior depth and road grit, while the Mavericks are reeling from key injuries including Dereck Lively II's season-ender and several questionable stars.

Despite a recent loss to Houston, Denver's 20-7 record showcases their dominance, and they'll be fueled by revenge after Dallas's early December win. The Mavericks' mixed form and defensive vulnerabilities without Lively make them a risky bet, especially against a motivated Nuggets squad aiming to assert their superiority.

With the American Airlines Center packed, expect Denver to leverage their experience and depth to secure a win, making the 1.34 odds a profitable choice for bettors.

The stage is set for a thrilling Christmas Eve showdown between the Dallas Mavericks and Denver Nuggets, with the bookmakers heavily favoring the visitors at 1.34. The Nuggets enter this matchup riding high despite a rare stumble against Houston, boasting an impressive 20-7 record that underscores their championship pedigree. Meanwhile, the Mavericks limp into this contest at 11-18, struggling to find consistency without key contributors like Dereck Lively II, who's out for the season, and others such as Klay Thompson and Cooper Flagg, whose statuses remain questionable.

Denver’s depth could prove decisive in this clash. Even without Aaron Gordon, their ability to adapt and execute on both ends of the floor has been evident all season. Nikola Jokic continues to dominate as the league’s most versatile big man, while Jamal Murray provides clutch scoring when it matters most. On the flip side, Dallas will need Luka Doncic to deliver a Herculean performance if they hope to upset the odds. However, recent trends suggest Denver’s superior roster balance might overwhelm the Mavs, especially given their revenge motive after dropping two earlier meetings this season.

While the Mavericks pulled off a surprising 131-121 win over Denver earlier this month, oddsmakers clearly believe lightning won’t strike twice. With the spread suggesting a tight affair but leaning toward Denver, backing the Nuggets at 1.34 feels like the safer bet despite the steep price tag. Their road grit and knack for closing out games give them the edge in what promises to be a festive barnburner.