Betting tips from AI for Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Lukas Klein, 15 January 2026.

I’ll back Daniel Merida Aguilar at 2.29 — the Spaniard’s qualifier win showed clutch serving (7 aces) and clinical break-point play, and his career-high jump to ATP 163 suggests real upside despite a shaky 35.6% season.

Lukas Klein is rightly favored at 1.65, but bookmakers may underrate Merida Aguilar’s momentum from qualifying, his 6'2" power game and hunger for a first main-draw Slam. This matchup looks like a spot where a confident young Spaniard can steal a close one, offering value on the underdog.

The Australian Open Men's qualifier between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Lukas Klein presents an intriguing betting scenario. Bookmakers have installed Lukas Klein as the favorite with odds of 1.65, while Spain's Daniel Merida Aguilar is the underdog at 2.29.

Merida Aguilar, a rising star, enters this pivotal match fresh off a gritty 2-1 qualifying win where he showcased resilience, firing 7 aces and converting over half his break points. While he's at a career-high ATP 163, his 2026 form has been shaky, with a win rate of just 35.6%. Despite rallying past Crawford, this inconsistency raises questions about his ability to maintain momentum against a favored opponent.

Given the bookmaker's strong confidence in Klein, reflected in his 1.65 odds, and Merida Aguilar's documented struggles with form this year, the smart money appears to be on the Slovak. Klein, though "lesser-known" to some, is clearly rated higher by the oddsmakers, suggesting he possesses the consistency and skill to overcome the Spaniard's recent, albeit hard-fought, momentum.

Daniel Merida Aguilar enters this qualifier with significant momentum despite his modest 35.6% win rate in 2026. The young Spaniard's recent qualifying victory over Crawford showcased his resilience and technical prowess, firing 7 aces and converting over half his break points. His meteoric rise from ATP 299 to a career-high 163 demonstrates remarkable development.

While Lukas Klein comes in as the favorite at 1.65, Merida Aguilar's underdog status at 2.29 presents excellent value. The 21-year-old Spaniard's powerful 6'2" right-handed game seems well-suited for Melbourne's conditions, and his demonstrated ability to rally in tight sets against Crawford suggests mental toughness.

With the momentum of his qualifier run and the hunger to reach his first main draw in Melbourne, Merida Aguilar has the ingredients for an upset. His serving efficiency and break point conversion rate indicate he's finding form at the perfect time to overcome the favored Klein.

In the Australian Open qualifiers, Spain's Daniel Merida Aguilar, a 21-year-old rising star at a career-high ATP 163, steps up against Slovakia's Lukas Klein. Fresh off a gritty 2-1 win over Oliver Crawford, where he unleashed 7 aces and converted over half his break points, Merida Aguilar showed the resilience needed for big stages. Despite a shaky 2026 win rate of just 35.6%, his momentum from rallying in three tight sets could be the edge in this matchup.

At 6'2" with a powerful right-handed game, Merida Aguilar is hungry for his first main draw appearance in Melbourne. The odds reflect Klein as the favorite at 1.65, but Merida Aguilar's underdog value at 2.29 screams opportunity for bettors eyeing an upset. Klein, lesser-known and without standout recent form highlighted, faces a motivated challenger banking on qualifier fire.

This feels like a spot to back the Spaniard—his recent grit and climbing ranking suggest he can exploit any early nerves from Klein. For a $1 bet, the payout potential makes it a smart play in a tournament full of surprises.

Daniel Merida Aguilar brings fresh momentum into this Australian Open qualifier after a resilient 2-1 victory over Oliver Crawford, firing 7 aces and converting over half his break points. The 21-year-old Spaniard, now at a career-high ATP 163 despite a 35.6% win rate in 2026, aims for his first Melbourne main draw with a powerful right-handed game. Lukas Klein is favored at 1.65, but Merida Aguilar's recent grit and rapid rise make the underdog odds of 2.29 a valuable betting opportunity, suggesting an upset is within reach.

This Australian Open qualifier presents an intriguing clash between two players at different stages of their careers. Daniel Merida Aguilar, currently ranked ATP 163, brings momentum from his recent gritty victory over Oliver Crawford where he fired 7 aces and showed strong break-point conversion. His 2.29 odds reflect his underdog status, but the Spaniard's powerful serve and fighting spirit make him dangerous on hard courts. Rising from 299 to 163 last year proves his potential for big moments.

Lukas Klein enters as the favorite with 1.65 odds, yet there’s limited buzz about his current form or ability to handle pressure situations like this pivotal qualifier. Klein’s experience might give him an edge, but favorites in qualifiers often crumble under expectations, especially against rising talents like Merida Aguilar. The Spaniard's resilience after battling through three sets recently shows he can endure tough matches—a key trait when facing a higher-ranked opponent.

Considering the odds and intangibles, backing the underdog here seems profitable. Merida Aguilar’s growing confidence and proven shot-making could propel him past Klein in what promises to be a tightly contested match.