Betting tips from AI for Daniil Medvedev vs Jesper De Jong, 19 January 2026.

Daniil Medvedev arrives in Melbourne with clear momentum after the Brisbane title and a revamped coaching setup, and bookmakers reflect that dominance at 1.06. A three-time Australian Open finalist eyeing a ninth straight opening-round win, Medvedev’s experience and form make him overwhelmingly likely to control the match.

Jesper de Jong is a gutsy qualifier and an interesting story, but ranked 73 with a 0-2 hardcourt start and no prior meetings, he profiles as a heavy underdog; the market lists him at 12.36. Pundits peg Medvedev’s chances around 90%, which matches the matchup reality.

This is a low-variance play: back Medvedev to win, expecting a straight-sets result given the gulf in class and recent form.

Daniil Medvedev enters the Australian Open as a formidable force, fresh off a Brisbane title win and with a new coaching team clearly sharpening his game. The World No. 12, a three-time Australian Open finalist, is eyeing another deep Grand Slam run. His pursuit of a ninth straight first-round victory here seems all but assured against Jesper de Jong.

Pundits are giving Medvedev a whopping 90% shot to progress, a testament to his dominance. Jesper de Jong, an unseeded Dutch qualifier ranked 73, faces an uphill battle. His 0-2 hardcourt record this year and only one previous second-round appearance at a Slam offer little hope against a player of Medvedev's caliber. While the odds on Medvedev at 1.06 reflect his overwhelming favoritism, making it a low-return bet for a small stake, the outcome is clear. Expect Medvedev to comfortably secure his 330th hardcourt victory and advance to a tricky second-rounder.

Medvedev enters this first-round clash with renewed confidence after capturing the Brisbane title to kick off 2026. His fresh coaching setup has clearly revitalized his game following a disappointing 2025 campaign. At 1.06, the bookmakers have established the Russian as an overwhelming favorite, and rightfully so.

The three-time Australian Open finalist brings significant hardcourt pedigree to this matchup, standing on the verge of his 330th victory on the surface. Meanwhile, De Jong, ranked 73rd, has struggled in 2026 with an 0-2 record on hardcourts and lacks the weapons to seriously trouble Medvedev.

The qualifier's inexperience at this level will be exposed by Medvedev's tactical brilliance and defensive skills. With a 90% win probability according to analysts, Medvedev should cruise through in straight sets, conserving energy for potentially tougher tests against Halys or Tabilo in the second round. This is as close to a lock as you'll find in the opening round.

Daniil Medvedev enters the 2026 Australian Open on a high after capturing the Brisbane title, signaling he's honed his game with a fresh coaching squad and is primed for a deep run following a tough 2025. As the World No. 12 and a three-time finalist here, he's chasing his ninth consecutive first-round victory at Melbourne, where a win could mark his 330th hardcourt triumph.

Facing him is unseeded Dutch qualifier Jesper de Jong, ranked 73, who's struggled with a 0-2 record on hardcourts this year and is seeking just his second second-round appearance at this Slam. In their first meeting, pundits peg Medvedev with a 90% chance to dominate, given de Jong's lack of firepower against top-tier foes.

The odds reflect this mismatch: Medvedev at 1.06 screams value for the favorite, while de Jong's 12.36 tempts dreamers but ignores reality. Betting $1 on Medvedev nets a safe, incremental profit—smart for building the bankroll in a lopsided affair. The winner faces a tougher test next against Halys or Tabilo in a loaded quarter.

This isn't just a matchup; it's Medvedev's statement of intent in his Grand Slam hunt.

Daniil Medvedev enters Melbourne in top form after clinching the Brisbane title, with a new coaching team and eyes on another Grand Slam. However, at odds of 1.06, betting on him offers little return due to his extreme favoritism.

Pundits estimate Medvedev has a 90% shot, leaving a 10% chance for Jesper De Jong. With De Jong's odds at 12.36, this mismatch creates value for bettors seeking high-reward opportunities.

While Medvedev is likely to advance, De Jong's odds present a profitable bet for those capitalizing on the slight upset potential in their first-ever clash.

Daniil Medvedev enters the Australian Open with a clear edge over Jesper De Jong, and the odds reflect this dominance. Medvedev's recent form is stellar after securing the Brisbane title to kick off 2026, signaling his readiness for another deep Grand Slam run. With a revamped coaching team and renewed confidence, he appears poised to continue his streak of nine consecutive first-round victories at Melbourne Park. The Russian star's hardcourt prowess is undeniable, as he sits on the brink of achieving 330 career wins on the surface.

On the other side, Jesper De Jong faces an uphill battle. Ranked 73rd in the world and coming off a winless start to the year on hardcourts, the Dutch qualifier has yet to prove he can handle elite competition like Medvedev. This will be their first encounter, but pundits give Medvedev a 1.06 implied probability of winning, underscoring his overwhelming advantage. Even if De Jong manages to stretch the match, Medvedev's experience and consistency make it unlikely that the underdog can pull off the upset at 12.36 odds.

While upsets are always possible in tennis, the gulf in class, experience, and current form tilts this matchup heavily in Medvedev's favor. Backing him to win is not only the safer bet but also aligns with maximizing profitability given his reliability in these situations.