Betting tips from AI for David Benavidez vs Anthony Yarde, 22 November 2025.

This matchup is a classic collision of sustained pressure versus explosive power, staged under the bright lights of Riyadh where big-fight nerves can magnify small flaws. The market has planted its flag: David Benavidez sits a heavy favorite at 1.10, with Anthony Yarde a long underdog at 7.00. The pricing mirrors the expert chatter: Teddy Atlas expects Benavidez to wear down Yarde to the body, while a parade of former champions have voiced similar confidence, predicting a late takeover or a points win.

Technically, the edges stack up for Benavidez. He is undefeated (30-0, 24 KOs), now campaigning at light heavyweight with the WBC belt and the same weapon set that made him a nightmare at 168: a busy, educated jab, layered combinations, and relentless, disciplined body work. The cardio is proven; his engine allows him to fight at a clip that forces opponents to choose between throwing and defending. Yarde, for all his gifts, has historically struggled when the pace accelerates and the fight stretches. He is a sharp, twitchy counterpuncher with real power in both hands, especially early, but his output waxes and wanes, and he has faded under elite pressure in the past.

Stylistically, Yarde’s path is narrow but real: he must hurt Benavidez early, discourage the forward march, and carve out pockets where single counters can change momentum. In open space, Yarde can time the jab with the right hand or right uppercut; in the clinch, he is physically strong. But as rounds accumulate, Benavidez’s body investment tends to convert into visible fatigue, lowered guard, and positional giveaways. That is precisely the arc pundits are forecasting: a competitive first third, then Benavidez steadily taking more and more real estate.

From a betting perspective, the moneyline tells a clear story. The favorite at 1.10 implies an overwhelming likelihood, and here the tape, form, and matchup dynamics support it. Yarde’s number at 7.00 prices in the puncher’s chance, but not much else. For a single $1 stake seeking the most reliable return, Benavidez is the side: his high-output style attacks Yarde’s known vulnerabilities, and the neutral-site stage only amplifies the pressure that Benavidez already creates inside the ropes.

The most probable script is Benavidez by late stoppage (rounds 8–11) or a wide decision if Yarde’s chin and pride keep him upright. Either way, the expectation is the same: volume, body work, and ring generalship tilt this fight decisively in Benavidez’s direction. The price is steep, but the read is strong.

David Benavidez vs. Anthony Yarde in Riyadh presents a classic clash of styles: the relentless pressure fighter against the explosive puncher. The betting odds tell a story of their own, with Benavidez positioned as a prohibitive favorite at 1.10, while Yarde is a significant underdog at 7.00. These odds reflect the consensus view that Benavidez, the undefeated WBC champion, possesses a skill set and engine that Yarde has historically struggled to overcome.

Benavidez, known as the 'Mexican Monster', brings a suffocating, high-volume attack to the ring. His primary weapons are a relentless body assault and combination punching that breaks opponents down over time. This is not just speculation; it's a pattern seen throughout his 30-0 career. Legendary trainer Teddy Atlas's prediction that Benavidez will "wear down Yarde" with this exact strategy aligns perfectly with his established fighting style. Benavidez's stamina is arguably his greatest asset, allowing him to maintain a ferocious pace from the opening bell to the final round, something few can match.

Anthony Yarde, on the other hand, is a fighter who lives and dies by his power. With 24 knockouts in his 27 wins, his ability to end a fight with one punch is undeniable and represents his clearest path to victory. However, his record against elite competition is telling. In his biggest fights against Sergey Kovalev and Artur Beterbiev, Yarde showed flashes of brilliance and power but was ultimately outworked, outlasted, and stopped. This bout against a prime, peak-form Benavidez feels like a similar, if not tougher, challenge. The narrative of this being his "last crack at the big time," as noted by pundit Steve Bunce, adds a layer of psychological pressure that could be detrimental against a composed champion like Benavidez.

Expect Yarde to come out strong, looking to land a fight-altering shot in the early rounds. Benavidez must be defensively responsible, but his proven chin should allow him to weather the initial storm. As the fight progresses into the middle and late rounds, Benavidez's superior work rate and body attack will begin to pay dividends. He will drain Yarde's gas tank, slow his movement, and take the pop out of his punches. From there, Benavidez will take complete control, likely forcing a late-round stoppage or cruising to a wide unanimous decision. While the 1.10 odds offer little value on a straight win, they accurately reflect the high probability of this outcome.

The betting odds heavily favor David Benavidez at 1.10, and for good reason. This matchup represents a classic clash between an undefeated rising star and a veteran fighter facing his final opportunity at championship glory.

Benavidez enters this bout with a perfect 30-0 record and 24 knockouts, showcasing the kind of consistent dominance that justifies his status as a significant favorite. His transition to light heavyweight has been seamless, and he brings his trademark high work rate and relentless pressure that has overwhelmed previous opponents. Legendary trainer Teddy Atlas's prediction that Benavidez will "wear down Yarde" through body work aligns perfectly with the Mexican-American fighter's proven strategy of breaking down opponents through volume punching and sustained pressure.

Anthony Yarde, despite his impressive 24 knockouts in 27 wins, faces a critical disadvantage in this matchup. His 27-3 record includes notable struggles against elite-level competition, and at this stage of his career, the narrative of this being his "last crack at the big time" adds psychological pressure that could work against him. While Yarde possesses genuine knockout power that makes him dangerous in any exchange, his tendency to fade against top-tier opponents who can match his intensity presents a significant concern.

The venue in Riyadh's Kingdom Arena adds spectacle but shouldn't significantly impact the fundamental dynamics of this matchup. Benavidez's superior conditioning and work rate should become increasingly apparent as the rounds progress, particularly if he can weather any early storm from Yarde.

Given the 1.10 odds on Benavidez, the value isn't exceptional, but the probability of victory appears even higher than the implied 90.9% suggested by the bookmakers. Yarde's power keeps this from being a complete mismatch, but Benavidez's combination of skill, conditioning, and career trajectory makes him the clear choice.

The upcoming boxing bout between David Benavidez and Anthony Yarde at the Kingdom Arena in Riyadh is shaping up to be a classic clash of styles, with Benavidez's relentless pressure facing off against Yarde's explosive power. As a sports betting expert, I'm diving deep into why this fight screams value on the favorite, even with those steep odds of 1.10 for Benavidez.

First off, let's talk records and form. Benavidez is undefeated at 30-0 with 24 knockouts, holding the WBC light heavyweight title. He's at the peak of his powers, known for his high work rate, stamina, and vicious body shots that break opponents down over time. Legendary trainer Teddy Atlas nailed it when he predicted Benavidez would 'wear down Yarde' with that relentless body work and pressure. This isn't just hype—Benavidez has proven it against top competition, transitioning smoothly to light heavyweight and dominating.

On the flip side, Anthony Yarde brings a 27-3 record with 24 KOs, but his losses tell a story. He's struggled against elite fighters, and at this stage, British pundit Steve Bunce calls it his 'last crack at the big time.' Yarde's power is legit—he can end fights with one punch—but his stamina has been questioned in longer bouts. Against a volume puncher like Benavidez, who averages insane output, Yarde might find himself overwhelmed after the early rounds.

The expert consensus leans heavily toward Benavidez. At the 'Night of the Champions' event, former champs predicted he'd outwork Yarde for a decision or late stoppage. No injuries reported, and the Riyadh venue adds that high-stakes vibe, but it won't faze Benavidez, who's fought in big spots before. Yarde, pushing into his mid-30s, might show early resistance, but Benavidez's youth and conditioning should prevail.

From a betting perspective, while 1.10 means you'd need to risk a lot to win a little, it's a safe anchor for parlays or props. Look at method of victory—Benavidez by decision could offer better value than the moneyline. Yarde at 7.00 is tempting for underdog hunters, but the risk is high given the matchup. If Yarde lands big early, sure, but Benavidez's chin and recovery are top-notch.

Overall, this fight is Benavidez's to lose. He's on a mission to solidify his legacy at light heavyweight, and Yarde's 'make-or-break' narrative adds drama without shifting the odds. For bettors, ride the favorite here—expect Benavidez to take over mid-fight and cruise to victory, potentially by TKO in the later rounds. The electric atmosphere in Saudi Arabia will make it memorable, but the result feels predictable.

The light heavyweight showdown between David Benavidez and Anthony Yarde in Riyadh's Kingdom Arena is shaping up to be a defining moment for both fighters. Benavidez, the undefeated WBC champion with a perfect 30-0 record and 24 knockouts, enters this bout at the peak of his powers. His high work rate, relentless pressure, and exceptional stamina have been highlighted by experts like Teddy Atlas, who predicts Benavidez will systematically wear down Yarde with targeted body shots. This approach has proven effective in past fights, allowing Benavidez to dominate opponents and secure late stoppages or decisive wins on the scorecards. The support from former champions at the 'Night of the Champions' event further cements his status as the man to beat, with many noting his adaptability and hunger to prove himself in the division.

Anthony Yarde, boasting a 27-3 record with 24 KOs, brings undeniable power that can end fights abruptly. However, his history against elite competition reveals inconsistencies; losses to Sergey Kovalev and Artur Beterbiev exposed difficulties in handling sustained pressure and superior pace. As British pundit Steve Bunce pointed out, this fight represents Yarde's 'last crack at the big time,' adding immense psychological pressure. At 33, Yarde may struggle to match Benavidez's youth and energy, particularly if the fight extends into the later rounds where Benavidez's conditioning often shines. While Yarde's punching power is a legitimate threat, it may not be enough to overcome Benavidez's technical prowess and durability.

From a betting standpoint, the odds heavily favor Benavidez at 1.10, reflecting an implied probability of over 90% for his victory. This makes a bet on him a low-risk, low-reward option, with a $1 wager returning just $0.10 in profit. In contrast, Yarde's odds at 7.00 offer a high-reward potential of $6 profit on a $1 bet, but the substantial risk aligns with his underdog status and past struggles. For bettors focused on long-term profitability, backing Benavidez—despite the minimal returns—is a strategic move based on consistency and expert analysis. The venue's electric atmosphere in Riyadh may intensify the action, but Benavidez's composure in high-stakes settings gives him an edge.

Ultimately, Benavidez's combination of skill, record, and physical advantages positions him as the clear favorite. Yarde's power could lead to moments of excitement, but Benavidez's ability to control the pace and land volume punches should secure a win, most likely by decision or late stoppage. Betting on Benavidez aligns with a prudent approach to maximizing earnings through reliable outcomes.

David Benavidez enters this bout as the overwhelming favorite with odds of 1.10, and for good reason. The undefeated WBC light heavyweight champion brings a perfect record of 30-0, including 24 knockouts, showcasing both power and precision. His relentless work rate and stamina have been hallmarks of his career, allowing him to dominate opponents over the full duration of fights. Legendary trainer Teddy Atlas has already predicted that Benavidez will “wear down Yarde” through body work and pressure, suggesting a tactical fight designed to break Yarde’s will as it progresses. This aligns with what we’ve seen from Benavidez in previous title defenses, where he systematically dismantles his opponents by outworking them round after round.
Anthony Yarde, on the other hand, comes into this fight with a respectable but less convincing record of 27-3, featuring 24 knockouts. While Yarde possesses undeniable punching power, his struggles against elite-level competition raise red flags. Two of his three losses came against Sergey Kovalev and Artur Beterbiev—both dominant forces in the light heavyweight division—and neither contest was particularly close. British pundit Steve Bunce framed this fight as Yarde’s “last crack at the big time,” emphasizing not only the stakes but also the narrative surrounding Yarde’s age and declining opportunities. At this stage of his career, Yarde must either deliver a career-defining performance or risk fading further into boxing obscurity.
Venue dynamics also play a role here. The Kingdom Arena in Riyadh is known for hosting high-profile events under intense scrutiny, which could amplify the psychological pressure on both fighters. For Benavidez, fighting abroad doesn’t appear to faze him; his aggressive style thrives regardless of location. However, Yarde may feel the added weight of expectation given the significance of this bout for his legacy. The electric atmosphere might energize fans, but it won’t compensate for any deficiencies in skill or strategy once the bell rings.
From a technical standpoint, Benavidez’s advantages are clear. His activity level and defensive awareness give him an edge in exchanges, while his ability to adjust mid-fight makes him adaptable to whatever Yarde tries to throw his way. Several former champions have publicly backed Benavidez to win by decision or late stoppage, citing his superior conditioning and ring IQ. Given Yarde’s tendency to fade against durable opponents, these predictions seem credible. If Yarde cannot secure an early knockout—a tall order against someone like Benavidez—he’ll find himself increasingly outclassed as the rounds progress.
Considering the bookmaker odds, betting on Benavidez at 1.10 offers minimal reward relative to risk. While his victory seems almost certain based on available information, such lopsided odds reflect the lack of value in wagering on the favorite. Conversely, Yarde’s odds of 7.00 present tempting upside if you believe in his ability to shock the world. Yet, when weighing all factors—from recent form and expert opinions to historical matchups and stylistic matchups—the likelihood of an upset remains slim. A bet on Yarde would essentially rely on a perfect storm scenario: Benavidez making critical errors combined with Yarde executing flawlessly beyond his usual capacity.
Ultimately, this fight appears destined to follow a familiar script for Benavidez—one where he controls the pace, chips away at his opponent, and secures victory either via decision or late stoppage. The narrative around Yarde’s “last chance” adds drama but little substance to change the outcome. Even though the payout isn’t substantial, backing Benavidez remains the most logical choice based on the evidence.