Betting tips from AI for Deportes Iquique vs Cobresal, 21 November 2025.

This spot sets up as a value play on Cobresal. The market is listing Cobresal at 3.39 while pricing Deportes Iquique around 2.04 and the Draw at 3.70. Those numbers imply roughly a 29–30% chance for Cobresal (even lower after removing the book’s margin), which looks far too conservative given each team’s body of work and the model signals coming in.

Form and fundamentals clearly lean toward the visitors. Cobresal are 6th with 13-5-9 and a +3 goal differential (34 scored, 31 conceded), a profile of a competent, balanced side. Iquique, by contrast, sit near the bottom at 4-6-17 with a -27 goal differential (29 scored, 56 conceded). That’s 2.07 goals conceded per match, and even at home they’ve dropped their last two. Home advantage matters, but it’s not a magic wand when the defensive baseline is this leaky.

Player impact also tilts Cobresal’s way. Diego Coelho’s 11 goals provide a reliable focal point in the final third, while Jorge Henríquez’s service (5 assists) helps sustain chance creation. Iquique’s top threats—Álvaro Ramos (7 goals) and Marcelo Jorquera (4 assists)—are capable, but they’ve been swimming upstream in a side that struggles to control games and protect its box for 90 minutes.

The predictive signals corroborate the edge. One projection gives Cobresal a 50% win probability; another clocks them at 47.34%, with Iquique at 40.85%. Even if we regress those numbers conservatively to a 40–45% Cobresal range to account for away variance and Iquique’s early home intensity (some analysis expects Iquique to start fast in the first half), the price still looks rich. Against an implied ~29.5% from 3.39 (closer to ~28% after de-vigging), the gap is significant.

Translate that to value: at 3.39, the net payout on a $1 stake is $2.39 if Cobresal win. With a conservative 40% true probability, the expected value is 2.39 × 0.40 − 0.60 = +0.356 per dollar, a robust positive ROI. Even at 35%, you’re still in the black. Meanwhile, backing Iquique at 2.04 implies ~49%—a stance that asks you to ignore their -27 differential and recent home slide.

Head-to-head is even on goals and doesn’t overturn the broader read: Cobresal’s steadier defense (1.15 conceded per match) and more reliable scoring rate (1.26 per match) give them more pathways to a result, particularly as Iquique tend to fade later in games once the match stretches.

Recommendation: take Cobresal on the 1X2. The edge isn’t about certainty—it’s about price. With the market offering 3.39 on a team with materially better season-long metrics and model support in the mid-to-high 40s, this is the clearest plus-EV side on the board.

This matchup in the Campeonato Chileno presents a fascinating and, frankly, perplexing betting line. The bookmakers have installed Deportes Iquique as the favorites with odds of 2.04, a decision that seems to defy all statistical logic and current form. This mispricing creates a significant value opportunity for savvy bettors who are willing to look past the home-field advantage and focus on the data.

Deportes Iquique is mired in a dreadful season. With a shocking record of just 4 wins against 17 losses from 27 matches, they are one of the league's weakest sides. Their defense has been particularly porous, conceding an average of 2.07 goals per game, a number that spells disaster against any competent opponent. While their home form offers a slight statistical improvement, they have lost their last two matches at Estadio Cavancha, indicating that their home fortress is anything but secure. Averaging a meager 0.67 points per game overall, it's difficult to justify their status as favorites.

In stark contrast, Cobresal comes into this match as a well-drilled and successful unit. Sitting comfortably in 6th place, they boast a strong record of 13 wins and a positive points-per-game average of 1.63. Their success is built on a much more stable defensive foundation, having conceded only 1.15 goals per match – nearly a full goal per game fewer than their hosts. In attack, they also hold the advantage with Diego Coelho (11 goals) outperforming Iquique's top scorer.

While head-to-head history shows an even split, current season performance is a far more reliable indicator. Cobresal is demonstrably the superior team in every key metric. Expert analysis aligns with this view, giving the visitors a win probability close to 50%, which is far greater than the implied probability of their 3.39 odds (around 29.5%). The market has created a gift here. Betting against a team that has lost 17 of 27 games is a sound strategy, especially when the superior opponent is offered at such a lucrative price. The value is squarely on Cobresal to secure the three points.

This Chilean Primera División matchup presents a compelling betting opportunity with clear statistical disparities between the teams. Deportes Iquique enters this fixture in dire straits, sitting near the bottom of the table with just 4 wins from 27 matches and a concerning defensive record of 56 goals conceded. Their home form offers marginal improvement at 0.85 points per game, but recent losses at Estadio Cavancha highlight ongoing struggles.

Cobresal arrives in significantly better shape, occupying 6th place with 13 victories and a solid 1.63 points per game average. Their defensive organization stands out, conceding only 31 goals compared to Iquique's 56, while maintaining similar attacking output. Diego Coelho's 11-goal tally demonstrates their superior finishing ability compared to Iquique's leading scorer Ramos with just 7 goals.

The bookmaker odds strongly favor Deportes Iquique at 2.04, essentially even money, while Cobresal sits at 3.39 despite their superior league position and form. This pricing appears to overvalue home advantage for a team averaging just over one goal per match while conceding over two.

Expert predictions align with the statistical evidence, showing Cobresal with 47-50% win probability. Their recent record of 5 wins in 10 matches demonstrates consistency that Iquique lacks. The away team's defensive solidity should prove crucial against hosts who struggle to create quality chances.

While one analyst suggests Iquique's aggressive early approach could yield first-half success, their overall season performance indicates this aggression often leaves them exposed. Cobresal's experience and superior squad depth should ultimately prevail in what promises to be a tightly contested affair.

As we gear up for the Chilean Primera División clash between Deportes Iquique and Cobresal on November 21, 2025, at Estadio Cavancha, this match promises intrigue for bettors looking for value. Deportes Iquique, hosting the game, have had a dismal season, languishing with just 4 wins from 27 matches and averaging a paltry 0.67 points per game. Their defense is leaky, conceding over 2 goals per match, and even at home, they've dropped their last two outings. It's no surprise they're fighting to avoid the drop, with only 29 goals scored all season.

On the flip side, Cobresal arrives in 6th place, boasting 13 wins and a solid 1.63 points per game. Their away form might not be stellar, but they've won 5 of their last 10 overall, showing resilience. Defensively, they're far superior, allowing just 1.15 goals per match, and offensively, players like Diego Coelho with 11 goals could exploit Iquique's weaknesses.

Looking at the odds, Deportes Iquique is listed at 2.04, making them slight favorites likely due to home advantage, while Cobresal offers tempting value at 3.39, and the draw sits at 3.70. Expert predictions lean towards Cobresal with around 47-50% win probability, which aligns with their better form and head-to-head parity—each side has scored 5 goals in recent meetings.

One interesting angle is Iquique's potential for an aggressive start at home, as some analysts predict they might lead the first half. However, Cobresal's overall quality and defensive solidity should see them through, especially against a team that's conceded 56 goals this campaign. Betting on Cobresal here feels like a smart play for profit, given the 3.39 payout on a $1 bet could yield a nice return if they capitalize on Iquique's struggles.

For over/under enthusiasts, the 54.4% chance of over 2.5 goals suggests a potentially open game, but both teams to score at 54.17% adds another layer. Still, my money's on Cobresal edging this one, turning their superior record into three points on the road.

The Campeonato Chileno clash between Deportes Iquique and Cobresal on November 21, 2025, presents a compelling betting scenario, pitting a home side in dire straits against a visiting team with playoff aspirations. Deportes Iquique's season has been marred by inconsistency, managing only four wins in 27 matches and conceding a league-high 56 goals. Their defensive frailties, combined with an average of 0.67 points per game, make them vulnerable, especially at home where they've lost their last two outings despite a slightly better points average. Key players like Álvaro Ramos, with seven goals, and Marcelo Jorquera, leading in assists, offer glimpses of threat, but the team's overall lack of cohesion and high concession rate undermine their chances.

Cobresal, sitting sixth in the table, boasts a far more impressive resume with 13 wins, a solid defensive record of 31 goals conceded, and an average of 1.63 points per game. Their balanced attack, spearheaded by Diego Coelho's 11 goals and supported by Jorge Henríquez's creativity, allows them to capitalize on opponents' weaknesses. Recent form includes five wins in their last ten matches, and their ability to perform on the road adds to their reliability. Head-to-head history shows an even split in goals, but current dynamics heavily favor Cobresal due to Iquique's struggles.

Expert predictions estimate a Cobresal victory probability between 47.34% and 50%, compared to just 40.85% for Deportes Iquique, highlighting the visitors' edge. When analyzing the odds, Cobresal's price of 3.39 implies a win probability of only 29.49%, creating significant value for bettors. In contrast, Deportes Iquique's odds of 2.04 suggest a 49.02% chance, which is inflated given their poor form, while the draw at 3.70 also appears overvalued. With both teams likely to score and over 2.5 goals probable, Cobresal's defensive stability and offensive prowess make them the smart pick for a profitable wager.

The upcoming Campeonato Chileno clash between Deportes Iquique and Cobresal presents an intriguing betting scenario, particularly given the contrasting form of both teams this season. Deportes Iquique enters the match in dire straits, with only 4 wins from 27 league matches and a staggering -27 goal difference. Their average of just 0.67 points per game reflects their struggles, especially at the defensive end where they've conceded over 2 goals per match. Even their home form offers little comfort, averaging just 0.85 points per game on home soil. While their top scorer Álvaro Sebastián Ramos Sepúlveda has managed 7 goals, this hasn't been enough to lift the team out of their slump.
Cobresal, on the other hand, sits comfortably in 6th place with a robust record of 13 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses from 27 matches. Their more balanced approach is evident in their defensive solidity, conceding just 1.15 goals per match while scoring consistently through key players like Diego Coelho (11 goals) and Jorge Henríquez (5 assists). Their away form remains competitive, though not as strong as their home performance (57% win rate), making them a formidable opponent for struggling Iquique.
When analyzing the odds, we see Deportes Iquique offered at 2.04, Cobresal at 3.39, and the Draw at 3.70. At first glance, backing Deportes Iquique seems tempting due to their home advantage and relatively shorter odds. However, their poor form and defensive frailties make them a risky bet. The Draw at 3.70 might appeal to some bettors given the evenly split head-to-head history and expert predictions suggesting both teams will likely score.
Despite these considerations, Cobresal emerges as the most logical choice. They possess superior form, better defensive organization, and a stronger attacking threat compared to their hosts. The odds of 3.39 offer significant value considering their 47.34%-50% probability of winning according to expert analysis. Additionally, their ability to maintain consistency throughout the season gives them a psychological edge over a demoralized Iquique side."While early-match aggression from Iquique could pose a temporary threat, Cobresal's overall quality should allow them to weather any initial pressure and dominate as the game progresses. This aligns with broader trends showing that teams with better season-long metrics typically prevail in such mismatches.