Betting tips from AI for Detroit Red Wings vs San Jose Sharks, 17 January 2026.

Detroit should be favored in Motor City. AccuScore gives the Red Wings a 60.7% win chance thanks to a shot advantage and a team save rate edge (Detroit 90.5% vs San Jose 89.1%), and the Wings' 28-16-4 form and 12-7-1 home comfort contrast with the Sharks' 23-19-3 season and poor 7-10-0 road mark.
San Jose still has playmakers—Macklin Celebrini projects heavily in shots and points—but Ty Dellandrea’s lower-body absence thins their depth. The book lists Detroit at 1.79 while San Jose is 3.75 and a draw is 4.40. Given goaltending margins, home ice and manpower loss for San Jose, betting Detroit is the rational, value-driven play.

The Detroit Red Wings are poised to continue their impressive run as they host the San Jose Sharks, and all signs point to a strong performance from the Motor City squad. AccuScore simulations give the Red Wings a commanding 60.7% win probability, significantly higher than their implied odds of approximately 55.8% at 1.79. This edge is bolstered by Detroit's superior 90.5% goalie save rate compared to San Jose's 89.1% and a clear shot advantage.

Detroit's formidable 28-16-4 record, especially their 12-7-1 home stand at the Little Caesars Arena, sets a challenging stage for a Sharks team that struggles on the road, holding a 7-10-0 away mark. The absence of Ty Dellandrea due to a lower-body issue further thins San Jose's forward depth, a critical blow against a Red Wings side featuring offensive threats like Dylan Larkin and Lucas Raymond, who boasts 59% odds for a point. While Macklin Celebrini is one to watch for the Sharks, Detroit's overall team strength, home advantage, and superior goaltending make them the clear pick.

The Red Wings have established themselves as the clear favorite in this matchup, and for good reason. AccuScore's simulations give Detroit a 60.7% win probability, backed by superior goaltending with a 90.5% save rate compared to San Jose's 89.1%.

Detroit's impressive 28-16-4 record speaks volumes, especially when contrasted with the Sharks' road struggles (7-10-0). The home-ice advantage at Little Caesars Arena, where the Wings boast a solid 12-7-1 record, gives them another edge against a visiting Sharks team.

The odds of 1.79 for Detroit represent fair value considering the talent gap. With Dylan Larkin threatening to score and Lucas Raymond's 59% point probability, the Red Wings' offensive firepower should overcome a Sharks team further weakened by Ty Dellandrea's absence.

While Macklin Celebrini provides a bright spot for San Jose with his scoring potential, it won't be enough to overcome Detroit's advantages across the board. The Red Wings should handle business at home.

The Detroit Red Wings are set to host the San Jose Sharks in a matchup that screams home-ice advantage at Little Caesars Arena. With the Wings boasting a stellar 28-16-4 record and a solid 12-7-1 mark at home, they're riding high in the standings. AccuScore simulations back this up, projecting a 60.7% win probability for Detroit, fueled by their shot edge and a superior 90.5% goalie save rate compared to San Jose's leaky 89.1%.

Meanwhile, the Sharks, at 23-19-3, are stumbling on the road with a dismal 7-10-0 away record. Losing forward Ty Dellandrea to a lower-body injury further thins their depth, making an upset in Motor City a tall order. Keep an eye on Detroit's Dylan Larkin hunting goals and Lucas Raymond with his 59% odds for a point, while San Jose's Macklin Celebrini could spark something with his 3.5 projected shots—but it likely won't be enough against a raucous Wings crowd.

Given the odds—Detroit at 1.79, Sharks at 3.75, and Draw at 4.40—the value is clear. Betting on the Wings offers a smart, profitable edge for steady gains.

The Detroit Red Wings are primed to dominate at Little Caesars Arena, where their 12-7-1 home record creates a formidable advantage. AccuScore simulations back this up, giving Detroit a 60.7% win probability thanks to a shot edge and a stellar 90.5% goalie save rate versus San Jose's 89.1%.

With the Red Wings soaring at 28-16-4 and the Sharks stumbling on the road (7-10-0), key contributors like Dylan Larkin and Lucas Raymond add offensive punch. San Jose's Ty Dellandrea is sidelined, thinning their depth against a raucous home crowd.

At 1.79 odds, the Red Wings offer clear value for bettors seeking a profitable play in this lopsided matchup.

The Detroit Red Wings enter this matchup as clear favorites, and for good reason. With a record of 28-16-4 and strong home performance at 12-7-1 in Little Caesars Arena, they’ve consistently shown the ability to capitalize on their opportunities. San Jose, meanwhile, has struggled mightily on the road with a lackluster 7-10-0 away record. AccuScore’s simulations reinforce this narrative, giving Detroit a robust 60.7% chance to win thanks to their superior shot edge and goalie save rate (90.5%) compared to San Jose’s 89.1%. These metrics suggest that even if the Sharks manage to generate chances through players like Macklin Celebrini, Detroit’s netminding could shut them down.
San Jose is further hampered by injuries, notably Ty Dellandrea’s absence, which weakens their forward depth. While Celebrini’s projected 45% shot contribution and 3.5 shots per game make him a threat, it’s hard to see him single-handedly overcoming Detroit’s balanced attack. Dylan Larkin and Lucas Raymond are poised to lead the charge, with Raymond boasting a 59% chance of registering a point. This offensive firepower, combined with solid defensive structures, makes the Red Wings a formidable opponent.
The odds reflect this disparity: Detroit sits at 1.79, indicating they’re expected to win more often than not. San Jose’s 3.75 underdog status highlights their uphill battle, while the 4.40 draw line feels like a longshot given both teams’ tendencies toward decisive outcomes rather than stalemates. Betting $1 on Detroit may yield smaller returns, but the probability tilts firmly in their favor, making it the smarter play.