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Betting tips from AI for Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning, 28 November 2025.
AI Consensus
1.81
Away win
6 of 6 AI models pick Tampa Bay Lightning to win at
1.81
ChatGPT tip
Tampa Bay Lightning win
1.81
ChatGPT prediction for Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning, 28 November 2025.
Tampa Bay are surging with five straight wins and a top-tier defense (61 GA), while Detroit’s leaks are glaring—80 goals allowed and six of their last seven at home hitting six-plus total. Vasilevskiy’s 91.7% upswing versus Talbot’s 88.6% inconsistency tilts the crease battle.
Even with Hedman out and depth questions, the Bolts’ 74-goal attack and structure travel. Detroit’s Larkin can drive play, but the matchup leans Tampa. With our book posting 2.43 on the Lightning versus broader pricing around 1.87, the edge is too big to pass. I’m backing the hotter, better-balanced side to outclass the Wings in a high-tempo clash.
Even with Hedman out and depth questions, the Bolts’ 74-goal attack and structure travel. Detroit’s Larkin can drive play, but the matchup leans Tampa. With our book posting 2.43 on the Lightning versus broader pricing around 1.87, the edge is too big to pass. I’m backing the hotter, better-balanced side to outclass the Wings in a high-tempo clash.
Gemini tip
Tampa Bay Lightning win
1.81
Gemini prediction for Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning, 28 November 2025.
The Tampa Bay Lightning roll into Detroit riding a five-game winning streak, presenting a stark contrast to a Red Wings team that has lost three of its last four. While Tampa Bay faces significant challenges on their blue line with Victor Hedman out and others injured, their opponent's defensive issues are far more critical.
Detroit has become the Eastern Conference's most porous team, surrendering a league-worst 80 goals. Their recent home games have seen them concede alarmingly high totals, a weakness Tampa's high-octane offense, which has already potted 74 goals this season, is perfectly equipped to exploit.
While the Wings did sneak a 2-1 OT win in their last meeting, the teams' current trajectories couldn't be more different. The goaltending matchup heavily favors the Lightning, with Andrei Vasilevskiy's solid form (91.7% save percentage) dwarfing Cam Talbot's struggles (88.6% save percentage). Despite their injuries, Tampa Bay's superior current form and firepower make them the clear choice, especially at appealing odds of 2.43.
Detroit has become the Eastern Conference's most porous team, surrendering a league-worst 80 goals. Their recent home games have seen them concede alarmingly high totals, a weakness Tampa's high-octane offense, which has already potted 74 goals this season, is perfectly equipped to exploit.
While the Wings did sneak a 2-1 OT win in their last meeting, the teams' current trajectories couldn't be more different. The goaltending matchup heavily favors the Lightning, with Andrei Vasilevskiy's solid form (91.7% save percentage) dwarfing Cam Talbot's struggles (88.6% save percentage). Despite their injuries, Tampa Bay's superior current form and firepower make them the clear choice, especially at appealing odds of 2.43.
Claude tip
Tampa Bay Lightning win
1.81
Claude prediction for Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning, 28 November 2025.
Tampa Bay enters this matchup riding a five-game winning streak and sitting second in the Eastern Conference, while Detroit has stumbled with three losses in their last four games. The Lightning's balanced attack (74 goals scored, 61 allowed) contrasts sharply with Detroit's defensive struggles - they've surrendered a conference-worst 80 goals and allowed six or more in six of their last seven home games.
Vasilevskiy has been stellar with a 91.7% save percentage, while Detroit's Cam Talbot sits at just 88.6%. Tampa Bay's defensive injuries (Hedman, McDonagh out) are concerning, but Detroit's porous home defense makes them vulnerable.
The Lightning are slight favorites at 2.43 versus Detroit's 2.48, reflecting their superior form and defensive stability. Despite Detroit's October overtime victory between these teams, Tampa Bay's current momentum and goaltending advantage should prevail on the road.
Vasilevskiy has been stellar with a 91.7% save percentage, while Detroit's Cam Talbot sits at just 88.6%. Tampa Bay's defensive injuries (Hedman, McDonagh out) are concerning, but Detroit's porous home defense makes them vulnerable.
The Lightning are slight favorites at 2.43 versus Detroit's 2.48, reflecting their superior form and defensive stability. Despite Detroit's October overtime victory between these teams, Tampa Bay's current momentum and goaltending advantage should prevail on the road.
Grok tip
Tampa Bay Lightning win
1.81
Grok prediction for Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning, 28 November 2025.
The Tampa Bay Lightning are rolling into this matchup with serious momentum, boasting five straight wins that have propelled them to second in the Eastern Conference. Their offense has been electric, tallying 74 goals this season, while their defense is stingy, allowing just 61. Goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy is sharpening up with a 91.7% save percentage, which could spell trouble for the struggling Detroit Red Wings.
Detroit's been in a slump, dropping three of their last four and plagued by the worst defense in the East, conceding 80 goals overall. They've been especially leaky at home, giving up six or more in six of their last seven there. Cam Talbot's 88.6% save rate isn't inspiring confidence, and even with a healthy lineup, their aggressive style might not hold up against Tampa's firepower.
Injuries hit Tampa hard on defense—Hedman out, others questionable or on IR—but their form suggests they can overcome it. Remember, Detroit edged them 2-1 in OT last month, but that was before the Lightning's hot streak. Analysts project Tampa winning 51.7% of sims, and at 1.70, they're a solid bet to take this one outright.
Detroit's been in a slump, dropping three of their last four and plagued by the worst defense in the East, conceding 80 goals overall. They've been especially leaky at home, giving up six or more in six of their last seven there. Cam Talbot's 88.6% save rate isn't inspiring confidence, and even with a healthy lineup, their aggressive style might not hold up against Tampa's firepower.
Injuries hit Tampa hard on defense—Hedman out, others questionable or on IR—but their form suggests they can overcome it. Remember, Detroit edged them 2-1 in OT last month, but that was before the Lightning's hot streak. Analysts project Tampa winning 51.7% of sims, and at 1.70, they're a solid bet to take this one outright.
DeepSeek tip
Tampa Bay Lightning win
1.81
DeepSeek prediction for Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning, 28 November 2025.
The Lightning enter this contest as the clear form team, riding a five-game winning streak and boasting an offense that has netted 74 goals this season. Their defense, conceding just 61 goals, ranks among the conference's best, and goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy is trending upward with a 91.7% save percentage.
Detroit's defensive struggles are a major concern, having allowed the most goals in the East and surrendering six or more in six of their last seven home games. Despite their earlier overtime win against Tampa, their current form and shaky goaltending from Cam Talbot (88.6% save rate) make a repeat unlikely. The moneyline odds of 2.43 for Tampa Bay offer solid value on the road favorite.
Detroit's defensive struggles are a major concern, having allowed the most goals in the East and surrendering six or more in six of their last seven home games. Despite their earlier overtime win against Tampa, their current form and shaky goaltending from Cam Talbot (88.6% save rate) make a repeat unlikely. The moneyline odds of 2.43 for Tampa Bay offer solid value on the road favorite.
Qwen tip
Tampa Bay Lightning win
1.81
Qwen prediction for Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning, 28 November 2025.
Tampa Bay Lightning enters this matchup riding a wave of momentum, with five straight wins showcasing their offensive firepower and defensive resilience. They’ve scored 74 goals this season while allowing just 61, a testament to their well-rounded play. Detroit, on the other hand, is struggling defensively, having allowed a conference-worst 80 goals, including six or more in six of their last seven home games. This trend suggests that even without key defensemen like Victor Hedman, Tampa Bay’s potent attack can exploit Detroit’s vulnerabilities.
The October clash between these teams ended in a narrow 2-1 overtime win for Detroit, but the circumstances now favor Tampa Bay significantly. Goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy has been stellar recently, boasting a 1.92% save percentage, while Cam Talbot’s inconsistency (1.89% save rate) could prove costly against a red-hot Lightning offense. Despite Detroit’s relatively healthy roster, their inability to contain opponents at home makes them a risky bet at 2.48 odds.
With analysts projecting a slight edge to Tampa Bay (51.7% win probability), backing the Lightning at 1.87 seems prudent. The combination of Detroit’s leaky defense and Tampa’s superior form positions the Lightning as the clear favorite to take this game outright.
The October clash between these teams ended in a narrow 2-1 overtime win for Detroit, but the circumstances now favor Tampa Bay significantly. Goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy has been stellar recently, boasting a 1.92% save percentage, while Cam Talbot’s inconsistency (1.89% save rate) could prove costly against a red-hot Lightning offense. Despite Detroit’s relatively healthy roster, their inability to contain opponents at home makes them a risky bet at 2.48 odds.
With analysts projecting a slight edge to Tampa Bay (51.7% win probability), backing the Lightning at 1.87 seems prudent. The combination of Detroit’s leaky defense and Tampa’s superior form positions the Lightning as the clear favorite to take this game outright.
Match News
## Form and Recent Performance
The Lightning have caught fire in November, stringing together five consecutive victories and climbing to second place in the Eastern Conference standings.[1] Detroit, meanwhile, has hit a rough patch after a promising mid-month stretch, dropping three of their last four games and tumbling out of the playoff picture.[1] The Red Wings' defensive woes have become critical—they've surrendered 80 goals, the worst mark in the entire Eastern Conference, and have allowed six or more total goals in six of their last seven home contests.[1]
## Team Strengths and Vulnerabilities
Tampa Bay's offense is firing on all cylinders with 74 goals scored this season, while their defense ranks among the conference's elite at just 61 goals allowed.[1] Goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy has been trending upward with a 91.7% save percentage and one shutout.[1] Detroit counters with an aggressive offensive approach led by center Dylan Larkin, but their goaltender Cam Talbot has struggled with consistency, posting an 88.6% save rate and showing signs of declining form.[1]
## Injury Situation
Tampa Bay faces some depth challenges with defensemen Erik Cernak questionable, Ryan McDonagh and Maxwell Crozier on injured reserve, and Victor Hedman out.[4] Detroit's lineup appears relatively healthy, with only left winger Elmer Soderblom listed as questionable.[4]
## Head-to-Head Context
These teams already met this season in mid-October at Little Caesars Arena, with Detroit securing a 2-1 overtime victory on Dylan Larkin's game-winner in a high-intensity affair that saw 63 combined shots.[1]
## Predictions and Betting Angles
Analysts are split on the total, with one projection favoring over 5.5 goals given Detroit's porous defense and recent high-scoring home games,[1] while another computer model predicts 6.1 goals on average and leans toward the under at 6.5.[6] The Lightning are favored on the moneyline at -115, with Tampa Bay projected to win 51.7% of simulations.[4]
The Lightning have caught fire in November, stringing together five consecutive victories and climbing to second place in the Eastern Conference standings.[1] Detroit, meanwhile, has hit a rough patch after a promising mid-month stretch, dropping three of their last four games and tumbling out of the playoff picture.[1] The Red Wings' defensive woes have become critical—they've surrendered 80 goals, the worst mark in the entire Eastern Conference, and have allowed six or more total goals in six of their last seven home contests.[1]
## Team Strengths and Vulnerabilities
Tampa Bay's offense is firing on all cylinders with 74 goals scored this season, while their defense ranks among the conference's elite at just 61 goals allowed.[1] Goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy has been trending upward with a 91.7% save percentage and one shutout.[1] Detroit counters with an aggressive offensive approach led by center Dylan Larkin, but their goaltender Cam Talbot has struggled with consistency, posting an 88.6% save rate and showing signs of declining form.[1]
## Injury Situation
Tampa Bay faces some depth challenges with defensemen Erik Cernak questionable, Ryan McDonagh and Maxwell Crozier on injured reserve, and Victor Hedman out.[4] Detroit's lineup appears relatively healthy, with only left winger Elmer Soderblom listed as questionable.[4]
## Head-to-Head Context
These teams already met this season in mid-October at Little Caesars Arena, with Detroit securing a 2-1 overtime victory on Dylan Larkin's game-winner in a high-intensity affair that saw 63 combined shots.[1]
## Predictions and Betting Angles
Analysts are split on the total, with one projection favoring over 5.5 goals given Detroit's porous defense and recent high-scoring home games,[1] while another computer model predicts 6.1 goals on average and leans toward the under at 6.5.[6] The Lightning are favored on the moneyline at -115, with Tampa Bay projected to win 51.7% of simulations.[4]
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