Betting tips from AI for Dmitry Bivol vs Canelo Álvarez, 31 December 2025.

Market pricing clearly favors Dmitry Bivol at 1.32, while Canelo Álvarez sits as the challenger at 3.45. Their first meeting on May 7, 2022 ended with Bivol winning by unanimous decision (115-113 on all three cards), and one report even hints at a potential rematch in "Spring 2026", which keeps narrative and motivation high for both men.

Tactically, Bivol's size, disciplined jab and distance control neutralized Canelo's attempts in 2022 and are the big reasons the market prices him as the clear favorite. Canelo's power and adjustments always make him a live underdog, but for a $1 unit seeking the most probable profitable outcome, Dmitry Bivol represents the cleaner value given history and matchup dynamics.

The boxing world eagerly anticipates a potential rematch between Dmitry Bivol and Canelo Álvarez. Their first encounter in May 2022 saw Bivol deliver a masterclass, securing a unanimous decision victory with all judges scoring it 115-113. That performance highlighted Bivol's superior footwork, jab, and ability to control distance, effectively neutralizing Canelo's power. While Canelo is a pound-for-pound king, Bivol's light heavyweight frame and calculated aggression proved to be a puzzle he couldn't solve.

Looking ahead, bookmakers still favor Bivol significantly at 1.32, reflecting the belief that his style remains a formidable challenge for Canelo. Canelo, at 3.45, would need to make drastic adjustments to his strategy and conditioning to overcome Bivol's defensive prowess and consistent output. While Canelo's heart and determination are undeniable, Bivol's technical superiority and natural size advantage at 175 pounds are likely to dictate the outcome once more. Expect Bivol to once again outbox Canelo over twelve rounds, perhaps even more convincingly.

The rematch between Dmitry Bivol and Canelo Álvarez promises to be a fascinating contest. Their first encounter in 2022 saw Bivol outbox Canelo to a unanimous decision victory, and I expect similar dynamics to play out. Bivol at 1.32 reflects his technical advantage and size edge that troubled Canelo previously.

Canelo at 3.45 offers decent value for a fighter of his caliber, but the stylistic matchup remains problematic. Bivol's jab, footwork, and ability to maintain distance neutralized Canelo's counterpunching in their first meeting. While Canelo has shown remarkable adaptability throughout his career, overcoming Bivol's size and technical proficiency remains a significant challenge.

Bivol's consistent performance level and boxing IQ should allow him to implement a similar gameplan. Unless Canelo has dramatically adjusted his approach to deal with Bivol's style, the Russian champion should retain his advantage and secure another decision victory.

The stage is set for an epic rematch in the boxing world as Dmitry Bivol faces off against Canelo Álvarez on New Year's Eve. Bivol, the reigning light heavyweight champion, enters this bout with the edge from their 2022 clash, where he outboxed Canelo over 12 rounds to claim a unanimous decision victory. That performance showcased Bivol's technical mastery, precise jab, and superior footwork, which frustrated the Mexican superstar and exposed vulnerabilities in Canelo's power punching at higher weights.

Canelo, ever the warrior, has been on a mission to reclaim his dominance since that loss. With his experience across weight classes and relentless pressure fighting, he's a live underdog at 3.45. However, Bivol's youth, reach advantage, and defensive prowess make him the safer pick at 1.32. The draw odds of 19.00 tempt the dreamers, but this feels like another night for Bivol's calculated brilliance to shine.

Betting $1 on Bivol to win could yield a modest return, but in a high-stakes rivalry like this, consistency pays off. Expect Bivol to control the distance and edge out another decision victory, solidifying his legacy while Canelo hunts for that elusive knockout.

Dmitry Bivol enters this bout as the heavy favorite with odds at 1.32, reflecting his elite technical boxing, reach, and defensive skills that consistently challenge opponents. Canelo Álvarez, at 3.45, presents a high-reward underdog opportunity, but overcoming Bivol's tactical dominance requires a near-perfect performance.

From a betting perspective, Bivol's methodical approach and lower risk profile offer steady value, while the draw at 19.00 is too speculative for profit-focused wagers. His consistency and ring IQ make him the prudent pick for maximizing returns in this high-stakes match.

Dmitry Bivol enters this bout as the favorite with odds of 1.32, reflecting his status as a technically sound and defensively brilliant fighter. Canelo Álvarez, despite being the underdog at 3.45, is one of boxing's most versatile and experienced champions, capable of adapting to any style. Their previous encounter in 2022 saw Bivol outclassing Canelo with superior ring IQ and activity, but rematches often bring adjustments that can shift momentum.

Canelo’s pressure and body attack are weapons that could wear down Bivol over time, yet Bivol’s ability to control distance and pace might neutralize these strengths. The draw option at 19.00 seems unlikely given both fighters' aggressive tendencies and history of decisive outcomes. While Canelo has shown resilience against elite opponents, Bivol’s consistent jab and lateral movement give him the edge in a high-stakes rematch scenario.

Considering the dynamics and betting lines, backing Bivol appears to be the smarter play. His victory formula from their first fight remains intact, and unless Canelo makes significant tactical improvements, it’s hard to see him turning the tables.