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Betting tips from AI for Egidijus Kavaliauskas vs Samuel Molina, 28 November 2025.
AI Consensus
1.35
Home win
5 of 6 AI models pick Egidijus Kavaliauskas to win at
1.35
ChatGPT tip
Egidijus Kavaliauskas win
1.35
ChatGPT prediction for Egidijus Kavaliauskas vs Samuel Molina, 28 November 2025.
At Žalgiris Arena in Kaunas, Samuel Molina defends his EBU welterweight crown against Lithuanian veteran Egidijus “Mean Machine” Kavaliauskas. Molina, 26, is 32-3-1 (15 KOs) but his August 2024 draw with Anass Messaoudi spotlighted inconsistency. Kavaliauskas, 37, 24-3-1 (19 KOs), owns a 79% KO rate and comes off a world-title loss to Souleymane Cissokho in May 2025. His first fight at home brings a real crowd surge.
From a betting lens, Kavaliauskas’ power, pedigree, and home advantage justify the moneyline at 1.38. Molina’s youth and volume make the upset at 3.35 live, but the matchup and venue tilt toward the Lithuanian. I’m staking the $1 on Kavaliauskas to win; the draw at 17.00 isn’t appealing for a single-unit play.
From a betting lens, Kavaliauskas’ power, pedigree, and home advantage justify the moneyline at 1.38. Molina’s youth and volume make the upset at 3.35 live, but the matchup and venue tilt toward the Lithuanian. I’m staking the $1 on Kavaliauskas to win; the draw at 17.00 isn’t appealing for a single-unit play.
Gemini tip
Egidijus Kavaliauskas win
1.35
Gemini prediction for Egidijus Kavaliauskas vs Samuel Molina, 28 November 2025.
This EBU European title clash presents a fascinating stylistic matchup. The Lithuanian veteran, Egidijus "Mean Machine" Kavaliauskas, returns to his home country for the first time, bringing a significant home-crowd advantage and a fearsome reputation.
At 37, Kavaliauskas is the older fighter, but his power is undeniable. Boasting a staggering 79% knockout rate, he possesses the kind of fight-ending ability that champion Samuel Molina lacks. While Kavaliauskas is coming off a decision loss, it was in a WBC world title fight against a top contender, demonstrating the high level of competition he's accustomed to.
Molina, the 26-year-old champion, has more professional rounds under his belt but raised serious questions with an underwhelming draw in his last title defense. Facing a powerhouse like Kavaliauskas in a hostile environment will be his toughest test to date. Molina's path to victory involves out-boxing the veteran for 12 rounds, a difficult task given the pressure and power coming his way.
Ultimately, Kavaliauskas's superior power, experience against elite opponents, and the energy from the Žalgiris Arena crowd should be the deciding factors. The 1.38 odds reflect his position as a strong favorite, and I expect him to secure a victory and the European title.
At 37, Kavaliauskas is the older fighter, but his power is undeniable. Boasting a staggering 79% knockout rate, he possesses the kind of fight-ending ability that champion Samuel Molina lacks. While Kavaliauskas is coming off a decision loss, it was in a WBC world title fight against a top contender, demonstrating the high level of competition he's accustomed to.
Molina, the 26-year-old champion, has more professional rounds under his belt but raised serious questions with an underwhelming draw in his last title defense. Facing a powerhouse like Kavaliauskas in a hostile environment will be his toughest test to date. Molina's path to victory involves out-boxing the veteran for 12 rounds, a difficult task given the pressure and power coming his way.
Ultimately, Kavaliauskas's superior power, experience against elite opponents, and the energy from the Žalgiris Arena crowd should be the deciding factors. The 1.38 odds reflect his position as a strong favorite, and I expect him to secure a victory and the European title.
Claude tip
Samuel Molina win
3.38
Claude prediction for Egidijus Kavaliauskas vs Samuel Molina, 28 November 2025.
The odds heavily favor Kavaliauskas at 1.38, but this creates excellent value on the underdog. While the Lithuanian veteran brings superior knockout power (79% vs 47%) and home crowd advantage at Žalgiris Arena, his recent world title loss to Cissokho and age concerns at 37 are significant factors.
Molina's disappointing draw with Messaoudi raised questions, but the 26-year-old champion has vastly more professional experience with 243 rounds compared to Kavaliauskas's 145. The Spanish fighter's youth and conditioning advantage could prove decisive in later rounds.
Kavaliauskas needs an early knockout to win, as his aging legs may struggle in a grinding championship fight. Molina's durability and ring IQ should help him weather early storms and capitalize as the veteran fades. The 3.35 odds on Molina represent exceptional value for a defending champion.
Molina's disappointing draw with Messaoudi raised questions, but the 26-year-old champion has vastly more professional experience with 243 rounds compared to Kavaliauskas's 145. The Spanish fighter's youth and conditioning advantage could prove decisive in later rounds.
Kavaliauskas needs an early knockout to win, as his aging legs may struggle in a grinding championship fight. Molina's durability and ring IQ should help him weather early storms and capitalize as the veteran fades. The 3.35 odds on Molina represent exceptional value for a defending champion.
Grok tip
Egidijus Kavaliauskas win
1.35
Grok prediction for Egidijus Kavaliauskas vs Samuel Molina, 28 November 2025.
Boxing fans, get ready for an electrifying welterweight showdown as Lithuanian veteran Egidijus Kavaliauskas challenges Spanish champion Samuel Molina for the EBU European title on November 28 at Žalgiris Arena in Kaunas.
Kavaliauskas, the 'Mean Machine,' boasts a devastating 79% knockout rate with 19 KOs in 24 wins, giving him a clear power edge over Molina's 47%.
Despite Molina's youth at 26 and a solid 32-3-1 record, his recent draw against Anass Messaoudi raises doubts about his elite-level consistency.
At 37, Kavaliauskas brings Olympic experience and world title exposure, plus the massive boost of fighting in his home country for the first time, backed by a roaring 20,000-strong crowd.
With odds favoring Kavaliauskas at 1.38 against Molina's 3.35, I'm betting on the hometown hero to leverage his power and experience for a decisive victory.
Kavaliauskas, the 'Mean Machine,' boasts a devastating 79% knockout rate with 19 KOs in 24 wins, giving him a clear power edge over Molina's 47%.
Despite Molina's youth at 26 and a solid 32-3-1 record, his recent draw against Anass Messaoudi raises doubts about his elite-level consistency.
At 37, Kavaliauskas brings Olympic experience and world title exposure, plus the massive boost of fighting in his home country for the first time, backed by a roaring 20,000-strong crowd.
With odds favoring Kavaliauskas at 1.38 against Molina's 3.35, I'm betting on the hometown hero to leverage his power and experience for a decisive victory.
DeepSeek tip
Egidijus Kavaliauskas win
1.35
DeepSeek prediction for Egidijus Kavaliauskas vs Samuel Molina, 28 November 2025.
Egidijus Kavaliauskas holds significant advantages heading into this bout, fighting in his native Lithuania for the first time before a supportive home crowd at Žalgiris Arena. His formidable power, evidenced by a 79% knockout rate compared to Molina's 47%, is a critical factor, especially against a champion whose last fight was a disappointing draw.
Despite Molina's youth and greater professional round experience, Kavaliauskas's pedigree as a former world title challenger and Olympic competitor provides a class edge that should see him through. The odds of 1.38 reflect his status as the rightful favorite to reclaim a major title.
Despite Molina's youth and greater professional round experience, Kavaliauskas's pedigree as a former world title challenger and Olympic competitor provides a class edge that should see him through. The odds of 1.38 reflect his status as the rightful favorite to reclaim a major title.
Qwen tip
Egidijus Kavaliauskas win
1.35
Qwen prediction for Egidijus Kavaliauskas vs Samuel Molina, 28 November 2025.
Egidijus Kavaliauskas enters this bout as a clear favorite with odds of 1.38, and for good reason. The Lithuanian fighter, known as the "Mean Machine," boasts a staggering 79% knockout rate, significantly higher than Samuel Molina's 47%. This power advantage could prove decisive in a contest where Kavaliauskas will also enjoy the backing of a partisan crowd at the Žalgiris Arena in Kaunas, his first professional fight in his home country.
Molina, despite holding the EBU European title, has shown signs of inconsistency. His recent draw against Anass Messaoudi in August 2024 highlighted vulnerabilities, while Kavaliauskas, even at 37, brings elite-level experience from competing for world titles. Although Molina has more ring time with 243 rounds compared to Kavaliauskas’s 145, the quality of opposition faced by Kavaliauskas—including Souleymane Cissokho earlier in 2025—gives him an edge in high-stakes scenarios.
The odds suggest a Molina win at 3.35 would yield higher returns, but the risk is substantial given his underwhelming performance trends. With the venue advantage and Kavaliauskas’s proven knockout ability, betting on the hometown hero seems like the smarter play. A draw sits at 17.00, but both fighters’ styles indicate they’ll push for a definitive result rather than settle for points.
Considering all factors, Kavaliauskas’s superior power, combined with the electric atmosphere in Kaunas, positions him strongly to reclaim glory on November 28.
Molina, despite holding the EBU European title, has shown signs of inconsistency. His recent draw against Anass Messaoudi in August 2024 highlighted vulnerabilities, while Kavaliauskas, even at 37, brings elite-level experience from competing for world titles. Although Molina has more ring time with 243 rounds compared to Kavaliauskas’s 145, the quality of opposition faced by Kavaliauskas—including Souleymane Cissokho earlier in 2025—gives him an edge in high-stakes scenarios.
The odds suggest a Molina win at 3.35 would yield higher returns, but the risk is substantial given his underwhelming performance trends. With the venue advantage and Kavaliauskas’s proven knockout ability, betting on the hometown hero seems like the smarter play. A draw sits at 17.00, but both fighters’ styles indicate they’ll push for a definitive result rather than settle for points.
Considering all factors, Kavaliauskas’s superior power, combined with the electric atmosphere in Kaunas, positions him strongly to reclaim glory on November 28.
Match News
# Kavaliauskas vs Molina: Fight Preview and Context
## Match Overview
Spanish welterweight champion Samuel Molina will defend his EBU European title against Lithuanian veteran Egidijus Kavaliauskas on November 28 at Žalgiris Arena in Kaunas.[1][2] The 12-round bout represents a significant risk for Molina, who holds the belt after an upset victory over Jordy Weiss last October, though the potential reward for a successful defense is substantial.[1]
## Fighter Profiles and Recent Form
Samuel Molina's Position: The 26-year-old Spanish fighter enters as the defending champion with a record of 32 wins, 3 losses, and 1 draw, including 15 knockouts.[2] Molina's last outing proved underwhelming when he drew with Belgian Anass Messaoudi in August 2024, raising questions about his consistency at the elite level.[1] This marks his third European title defense since capturing the belt.
Egidijus Kavaliauskas's Challenge: The 37-year-old Lithuanian "Mean Machine" arrives with a 24-3-1 record featuring 19 knockouts and boasts a formidable 79% knockout percentage compared to Molina's 47%.[2] Kavaliauskas, ranked fifth by the WBC, suffered a unanimous decision loss to Souleymane Cissokho in May 2025 in a WBC world title fight, marking his most recent competition.[2] Despite his age, he brings significant pedigree as a former Olympic competitor and world title challenger.
## Statistical Advantages
Kavaliauskas possesses a massive power advantage with his superior knockout rate, while Molina compensates with greater experience, having fought 98 more professional rounds across 243 total compared to Kavaliauskas's 145.[2] The age gap of 11 years favors the younger champion, though Kavaliauskas's amateur credentials and world title exposure provide valuable championship experience.
## Venue Significance
The fight takes place in Kavaliauskas's native Lithuania, marking his first bout in his home country and providing him with substantial local support at the 20,000-capacity Žalgiris Arena in Kaunas.[4]
## Match Overview
Spanish welterweight champion Samuel Molina will defend his EBU European title against Lithuanian veteran Egidijus Kavaliauskas on November 28 at Žalgiris Arena in Kaunas.[1][2] The 12-round bout represents a significant risk for Molina, who holds the belt after an upset victory over Jordy Weiss last October, though the potential reward for a successful defense is substantial.[1]
## Fighter Profiles and Recent Form
Samuel Molina's Position: The 26-year-old Spanish fighter enters as the defending champion with a record of 32 wins, 3 losses, and 1 draw, including 15 knockouts.[2] Molina's last outing proved underwhelming when he drew with Belgian Anass Messaoudi in August 2024, raising questions about his consistency at the elite level.[1] This marks his third European title defense since capturing the belt.
Egidijus Kavaliauskas's Challenge: The 37-year-old Lithuanian "Mean Machine" arrives with a 24-3-1 record featuring 19 knockouts and boasts a formidable 79% knockout percentage compared to Molina's 47%.[2] Kavaliauskas, ranked fifth by the WBC, suffered a unanimous decision loss to Souleymane Cissokho in May 2025 in a WBC world title fight, marking his most recent competition.[2] Despite his age, he brings significant pedigree as a former Olympic competitor and world title challenger.
## Statistical Advantages
Kavaliauskas possesses a massive power advantage with his superior knockout rate, while Molina compensates with greater experience, having fought 98 more professional rounds across 243 total compared to Kavaliauskas's 145.[2] The age gap of 11 years favors the younger champion, though Kavaliauskas's amateur credentials and world title exposure provide valuable championship experience.
## Venue Significance
The fight takes place in Kavaliauskas's native Lithuania, marking his first bout in his home country and providing him with substantial local support at the 20,000-capacity Žalgiris Arena in Kaunas.[4]
See how multiple AI models rate Egidijus Kavaliauskas vs Samuel Molina. We aggregate today's
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